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wxmanmitch

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wxmanmitch

  1. I'm done! Totally chucking this pathetic excuse of a winter out the window! Not as bad as 2015-16, but still bad to say the least! We've not had a single event exceed the 4-5" range all winter besides the one big bomb. If it was colder and we kept the pack around more, it would be much better, but the rainy cutters and thaws have sucked! Making matters worse is the poor performance of the models teasing us with snowstorms all season. Even the normally more trusty Euro has had some massive fails lately...this weekend's "storm" notwithstanding. I haven't seen such a severe correction with regards to the placement of a 500 mb low this close to verification time in a good long while. They are definitely struggling with this fast, zonal pattern with no blocking and a SE ridge. Last year had a lot of similarities to this year, but was a little colder overall and we did get some decent events in January even if they underachieved due to sleet or freezing rain contamination. I'm happy we got that one nice bowling ball that nailed locations around my latitude back at the start of December. Otherwise this winter has resembled the aforementioned ratter along with others like 2001-2, 2005-6, and to some extent 2011-12. At least 2011-12 featured Snowtober and some decent upslope events. We can't even get a decent upslope event this year with storms cruising along at such a fast pace. Maybe we get a transient cold pattern and another rogue storm sometime on February or March, for which I will be exceedingly grateful. However, psychologically, I'm out. I look for sustained cold and snowy patterns that build and retain a deep pack in a good winter, and I don't see that happening anytime soon. Besides the sun angle is creeping upward and the days getting longer now. Sure good years sometimes have relaxations and thaws, but when arcane monotony dominates over invigoration and excitement, it's time to toss and move on. Someone fire up the lawn thread...
  2. 850 mb temps still plenty cold for snow across most of NNE. GFS is often too warm in the low levels at this juncture.
  3. It is. Would be a quick 6-8" thump verbatim before going to a light 33° F drizzle in the dry slot. Euro has us getting a bit more Sunday too on the backside. Will take this solution in a heartbeat.
  4. This event has the looks of a Savoy, MA to Woodford, VT special all over it right now. 1K+ on the eastern slopes of the northern Berkshires or S VT look good. A potent LLJ out of the E and SE will work wonders when it slams up against the terrain here.
  5. 4.3", another dud. I was thinking 6-9". First 3 to 4 hours were a fine white sand. Heavier part of the storm had a lot of snow pellets instead of dendrites. Not sure what causes snow pellets instead of dendrites, but they definitely hurt ratios.
  6. 4.0" total so far with a burst of moderate upslope snow right now. Hopefully we can keep it going.
  7. I like where I stand with this one. Nice little thumper overnight tonight and then upslope tomorrow. 6-8" with a spot 10" locally?
  8. I'm liking the southward bumps today. Looks like I may be in play for this little event after all with a little front end dump overnight tomorrow and then some upslope type stuff on Thursday as the low strengthens off to my E and NE. We desperately need snow here. The pack is currently less than it was at this time during the much maligned 2015-16 winter. I have about 70% coverage (depth ranges from 1-6") but that still leaves 30% bare. It definitely has that early April mud season vibe here right now with the dirty snow and mud everywhere. May that torch we just had rot in the deepest depths of weather history hell!
  9. This weather sucks! I simply don't get how or why people are so happy about this weather in the middle of January. It's not normal. It should be snowy and cold with subzero temperatures and a snow pack measured in feet, not inches.
  10. I had this Barred Owl stop by and perch in one of my balsams for over an hour earlier today. Such beautiful and graceful creatures. I love how they can rotate their heads >270° as if it's on a swivel. It's not often I get to see an owl let alone photograph one, but I only tend to see them only cloudy winter days.
  11. 55.5", 25.5" from December 1-2. Probably running around average thanks to that one storm. Everything else has been nickels and dimes.
  12. 2" of sleet and snow above the 0.3" of glaze. Definitely getting some upslope enhancement with the easterly flow as it's snowing harder than the radar would suggest. We probably get it from the reverse direction this time tomorrow... Edit: I should add that we had some impressive thundersleet earlier with 3 flashes of lightning and rumbles of thunder. 2nd occurrence of thunder this month with the first back on December 1st.
  13. Dodged a bullet! Only about 0.3" of ice accretion. We went to sleet around 4-4:30 AM, which is much earlier than a lot of the model guidance had suggested. There's enough to cause some bending of the tree branches, especially the birches, and cause some twigs to come down. No significant damage or disruptions to power/telecom so far. Currently getting some light snow growth beneath the inversion, but the precipitation from aloft is sleet. Kind of weird and there's blowing snow around too.
  14. Steady light to moderate freezing rain, 29.9° F. Everything is a sheet of ice. Birch and spruce/fir branches are beginning to droop slightly. Persistent breeze out of the east too. Fully expecting a damaging ice storm here, but I have backup power if grid goes down.
  15. Tell me about it, I know. The Berkshire hilltowns have it worse than I do in many cases, which is why I ruled them out for moving to. The MA hilltowns have Verizon and they're not upgrading/fixing the copper wire infrastructure and are not taking new DSL customers from what I'm told. If you don't have cell, you're screwed unless you get satellite. At least Consolidated will take new customers (if you can get them to show up, lol) and I have VDSL2 which is faster (~9-9.5 mbps down, 1-1.25 mbps up) than the traditional DSL which is usually 1-3 mbps down.
  16. 20 minutes to North Adams, MA, 30 to Bennington. City life is not for me. Getting around in a large city can be a PITA, but not here.
  17. Unfortunately I do have them and unless I get satellite Internet ($$$ and data cap, latency issues) they are the only game in town. Much of VT, NH, and ME is under their domain outside of the larger towns and cities that have fiber or cable. My cell signal is very weak and data based apps won't work. Texts usually go through but patience is required. Of course with Internet iMessages will go through the Wifi. One of my bonded DSL lines went down last Wednesday night (12/11) and the Internet won't work with one of them down since they're encoded to be together. Bonded DSL increases the speed of the connection and the distance the signal can travel from the central office. DSL uses the old copper phone wire infrastructure that's been around for God only knows how long and things are bound to fail. I've seen a number of Consolidated trucks around my neighborhood lately so I'm not the only one having issues. The problem is that the techs don't show up for appointments, holding people hostage while they wait for someone to show. Fortunately I didn't have to be home as the issue was outside the house. A tech finally came this morning after I threatened to cancel Internet service after 3 days of no shows and one day where a tech came but seemed to not know what he was doing. To their credit, I think most of the employees usually care for the customers but the management is God awful. Customer service and techs have little power to deal with the incompetent and uncaring management. The tech I had the first time was not local and was likely employed by a contractor working on behalf of Consolidated according to the tech who showed this morning. One of the minor downsides of living here I guess...hopefully one day fiber or cable will arrive because the current infrastructure is crumbling and can't handle the speeds most people these days require. Anyway, I still have 12" of snow OTG and am at 51.9" for the season.
  18. 22.4" total as of 12 noon. Moderate snow starting back up again. Wonder if I can crack 30"?
  19. 18.0" as of 11:35 pm. Had 4.6" in one hour. Rivaling the death band I had on 3/8/18.
  20. 11.0" as of 9:40 pm. Had about an inch in ~12 minutes!!! Big fat juicy dendrites just puking from the heavens!!!!
  21. THUNDERSNOW!!!! Rolling rumbles of thunder from that strike to my south by Florida, MA.
  22. 7.5" as of 8:30 pm. Just getting nuked! Not good snow growth (10-12:1 type stuff), since DGZ is quite high from WAA.
  23. 3.7" as of 5:15 pm. Just pounding snow and radar looks great upstream too.
  24. Dumping...+SN, ~2" new. Probably 1.5-2" per hour now. 17.4° F. It's go time!!!!
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