dan11295

California: 49K cases, 16,400 LA County. Hospital: 16,965 (+549) ICU: 3,553 (+161) LA County Hospital: 5,763 (+297) ICU: 1,144 (+73)

Unfortunately is likely just a data blip. Cases and hospitalizations are continuing to rise. Numbers are going to be messy again with Christmas and New Years next two Fridays. Would expect following Tuesday/Wednesday after each to have some really bad dumps.

Numbers in the Upper Midwest continue to fall a bit, but Southeast is really starting to spike now. 8400 in NC, 5300 AL, 13000 FL for example. Looking at California hospitalizations, 17,000 now. At current rate of increases they will pass NY April peak in 4-5 days. Obviously CA has more population, but that doesn't diminish the seriousness of the situation there.

7-day moving case average in California is now higher than the recent peak in Illinois, even when adjusted for population. Read there is a 4-day waiting time to get tested in LA County.

14,300 in LA County today. Going to be 45k for CA on Worldometer

I thought that was yesterday, with 7k of that being a backlog

Wonder how rare this reaction is? Haven't heard of this showing up in trials AFAIK

Latest disco was talking higher amounts rt 2 corridor. looks like a big sucker hole atm. Looks like good stuff might be about done here. Probably tack on a few more inches with like-mod stuff though.

Look like about to get sucker holed here.

8.3" a bit less than mike or seminole even though im about midway between Westborough and Burlington.

Heavy snow here now, had 6.5" at 330 am when I cleared. About to go measure again,

6.2" here in Maynard at about 240 am.

Might be a bit quicker if they can get LTC facilities focused, as they are responsible for ~33% deaths. but everything in the next 5-6 weeks is pretty much baked in,

Yes the numbers are going down in the upper Midwest and Plains, that's how epidemic waves work. Rise, peak and fall. Per capita, Wisconsin has gotten off a bit easier than say, the Dakotas or Iowa. The Dakotas have some of the worst morality rates in the entire country, despite having very little impact from it through the summer and having access to better treatment than in the Spring.

I came home and saw that and thought LA County reported early or something, when i saw that they didn't I was like wtf. LA County just reported 21,400 cases!!!. I read there was a bit of a backlog but they were already reporting 10k+ daily. Hospital: 15,886 (+688) ICU 3,297 (+104). The rise in hospitalizations is steeper than last week.This is rapidly becoming the worst situation anywhere in the country.

They are having a rough time, more hospitalized in PA (6375) now than in Illinois at peak and higher average deaths/day as well. Higher than their spring peak as well, despite advances in treatment. the lower CFR now has had more to do with testing more people than treatment advances.

California is now 3rd per capita in the U.S. in cases/day, behind Tennessee and Rhode Island., with a much larger population.

Interestingly we had a fairly significant drop in cases compared to last Tuesday, like 12-13k less, maybe coming off to Thanksgiving surge?

Probably a good bet the northeast snowstorm is going to mess with the numbers some. Nationwide I think the case numbers have about peaked. Much of the Plains/Upper Midwest from Colorado to Michigan is falling in case numbers and hospitalizations. Obviously once you get outside those areas you have areas still surging. In hospital: 112,816 (+2,267)

California 15,199 (+610) hospitalizations today

IL was flat with their hospital number today. OH up slightly

A few states already show some notable jumps in hospital numbers today, including PA (+300), NC (+180) and FL (+250)

https://deadline.com/2020/12/los-angeles-covid-19-l-a-just-56-adult-icu-beds-left-orange-county-0-icu-1234656346/ Good overview of the situation in Southern California.

Eradication of the virus is not going to happen. What most likely happens is at some point the virus adapts to humans more and will become endemic like other coronaviruses. It will then generally produce mild symptoms in most people and wont need a vaccine for it. I.e. it WILL become "another cold". This could take many years. The 1890 pandemic which has been postulated as being caused by coronavirus in a couple of papers, had waves over 4-5 years. By the way, the mortality pattern of that event closely resembled Covid. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29336941/ "Age-specific excess mortality rates displayed a J-shape pattern, with school children aged 5-14 years experiencing the lowest respiratory excess death rates (8.8 excess respiratory deaths per 10,000), whereas older populations aged greater than or equal to 70 years had the highest rates (367.9 per 10,000)"

What is going on with Tennessee? Over 10k cases two days in a row. That's very high for their population.