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a5ehren

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Everything posted by a5ehren

  1. 948mb fish is fine by me. That would get some pretty satellite pictures if it verified.
  2. To close the topic, NHC has issued their final advisory on Marco: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2020/al14/al142020.discus.021.shtml?
  3. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/SPC_probotlk_info.html Yeah, 60% hatched to go HIGH for wind. 30% hatched for HIGH on tornadoes.
  4. I would expect some geographical shifts (MDT extended west, maybe a hatched area for winds added somewhere?), but can't see a HIGH justified from the new runs in the last 12 hours.
  5. Spann has a different job than being technically correct on minor details that only weenies care about. He can’t just casually invoke 4/27/11 because people will flip their lids. He is absolutely right to phrase things the way he did, and I can’t imagine any reason why arguing semantics is worth the time for either of you.
  6. Flakes in Dunwoody now. Much prettier than the flizzard yesterday.
  7. Having to have a CAD event just to get back down to average-ish for a few days is pretty annoying though.
  8. Got a brief (maybe a minute) snow shower on the back end of the precip shield. 38* so nothing stuck.
  9. High temp forecast for me has already busted. Sitting at 47, supposed to be at 44. I'm thinking this one is dead for the core metro unless there are some really good reports from TN Valley.
  10. Medicine is a science. Financial analysts and stock brokers provide negative value over the long-term. Bad example :-P
  11. I haven't seen <60 since April. Beyond excited for summer to finally be over.
  12. FWIW, the wind maps seem to be overdone for everyone outside of the center core. I never got a TS force gust here in N ATL like the maps said, unless that is supposed to come later.
  13. Ha, someone coached the ABC news guy on how to say Al-bany, GA correctly. Must be someone from down there in the newsroom.
  14. I think they just broke into that house to escape the surge.
  15. Yeah, he's in serious trouble right now. I'm going to TWC. Not interested in watching someone die.
  16. I'm going this weekend and it's going to be like 85. Ideal fest temp is about 65, IMO.
  17. NHC just said it's dead and none of the models indicate redevelopment in the 5-day period. So not really looking like a threat.
  18. 12z Euro is...interesting. If it holds on to that solution and it verifies, I'll be willing to hail King Euro forever and ever. But I'm skeptical. Edit: For discussion's sake I'll say that the 12z Euro is showing Flo stalling out just off Wilmington for ~3 days then scooting south and making landfall in Charleston.
  19. Yeah I'm going to Charleston on the 13th for a long weekend. Figures, hoping for a recurve!
  20. Heh, nothing like seeing a foot of rain predicted right before I leave for Charleston on vacation. Awesome
  21. FWIW, this is the exact same pattern we had around ATL this afternoon. The snow will come back in a few hours.
  22. An inch in CoA would mean you did pretty well. Pretty low chance of getting more than that.
  23. And a corollary to that: if any model or person says "no p-type issues, plenty of cold", they're just wrong. Totally wrong, every time.
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