Jackstraw

From the Meteosat it's looking like the wave train is full steam ahead. There are several strong and a couple weaker ones lined up like a bowling ball return. We'll see how it pans out, but with the activity over equatorial Africa and the incoming Kelvin Wave it could get very very interesting. Seems #10 and the next wave models have are going to have some decent SAL to fight off so we shall watch the battle begin.

I've actually seen some Maples starting to lighten up around here. The conifers on my property are producing large cones a good 2-3 weeks ahead of time. With the cool temps lately and the looks of the tree's would've thought we were into late Sept. not early. As is usual with a departing strong tropical system ridging building in behind it tends to pump our temps. But looks to be fairly short lived with the models pointing to another cool down beyond 5-7 days. I really hope we can experience a "true" fall this year. The falls I remember 40 years ago with comfortable to sometimes warm daytime temps and cool jacket wearing nighttime temps, heralding in high school football season, just haven't materialized in my 7 years back. It's my favorite time of year. Hope we actually have one this year.

Strange but intersting mode around here today. Been on the road most of the day. I've experienced elevated thunderstorms, strong ones, but not as cellular as these. There was one from my location I literally could watch it work it's way down to the surface. I've never visibly seen that, was pretty cool.

I've never been able to tweet embed. True story

Spent about 15 years in Fl. Experienced some good ones. Some I chased some didn't have to. Elena (72 hours of hell), Andrew (West coast still a monster), Katrina (scariest cat 1/2 ever), Ivan (was prepared and actually enjoyed it) to name a few. I'm of the opinion know where you live. Canes come with the territory down there so deal with it and prepare yourself. For most of Fl. it's not that hard to evacuate 20 or 30 miles inland (if you have to go that far) if you live within 5 miles of the coast and then hunker down. If you live in Fl. and your evac plan is Georgia move back up north lol. Pinellas county (St. Pete, Clearwater, Largo area where I lived) is just a disaster waiting to happen however because there's just nowhere to go. Water on 3 sides, an average above sea level of about 15-20 feet, 4 bridges and a highway paralleling the coast north the only way out for about 1 million people to evacuate. It's been like 100 years since that area was slammed with a big dog and it will happen again. IMO that area is a powder keg during cane season.

Need to freeze frame the weather forecast for this week. Freakin awesome

Oshkosh air show could get a little crazy this morning with pilots trying to beat any weather coming in. If you get hot and bored today you can listen and watch some of the arrivals here....... https://www.liveatc.net/hlisten.php?mount=kosh3 https://www.eaa.org/airventure/eaa-airventure-news-and-multimedia/eaa-airventure-webcams/~/~/~/link.aspx?_id=73424B0E16414774A6AF336DECC455B9&_z=z

Still raining here. Gonna be a sauna when that big shiny thing comes up in a few hours.

"TWA 517, do you want to report a UFO?" Kidding. There are some hints of a trough in the gulf around that time frame on some of the models so we'll see if that blip pops back up.

From its performance up around our area I'm wondering if it's atmosphere coupled lol.

Too Funny. Actually have experienced a summer "windchill" in the mountains where the "feels like" temp was less than the air temp like whats posted. I've also seen dew temps higher than air temps on ATIS reports, more often than you would think, which can be a bit unnerving flying around. You begin wondering if any local instrumentation is accurate.

Well at least an officer on the side of the road wont have trouble reading it lol. That's crazy. Never seen "plate" damage before.

Don't know about anywhere else but when the 4th is in the middle of the week I kinda root for the fireworks to get rained out. If they do around here they usually postpone until Labor Day, a solid 3 day weekend when I can enjoy them the most. Edit: Forgot to add there is some greed in there as I have a little private fireworks store where I take pre-orders to order bulk and get discount prices so I kinda can cash in twice

Skirts just to my north. Storms have surrounded this area the past week but no love here in N Central IN except the occasional diurnal light show like a poor kid watching the rich kids shoot off fireworks from afar . I'll be moving this discussion to the complaint thread if this pattern persists lol.

That outflow is already into Indy so it was moving.

The western side will be intersecting an outflow boundary just west of the QC on SE thats very visible on radar. Could provide additional focus.

New day 1... Slash right down 65 lol...

Decent hail core on it also

From the latest SPC meso discussion, perfect timing, and a case where the local NWS re-instituted the watch perhaps? DISCUSSION...The intensity of convection across WW 433 has decreased over the last 30-60 minutes in some area from western TN into eastern AR. Other areas, mainly western KY/southern IL and portions of southern AR, have increased in intensity. In the short term, WFOs PAH, MEG and LZK have addressed the continued strong wind threat will local aerial extensions as needed.... Further north, across western KY/southern IL, the line has been intensifying and surging eastward. This is likely being driven by the expansive cold pool across AR/MO as well as stronger deep flow in the vicinity of stronger forcing occurring with a weak shortwave impulse migrating across the mid-MS Valley region. This portion of the line may continue to produce damaging wind gusts and PAH has addressed this by expanding WW 433. A line of storms moved across parts of western/central KY early today, but recent observations show conditions have likely recovered somewhat across western portions of WFO LMK. This may require an additional watch later this evening depending on trends as the line approaches this previously disturbed airmass.

That warned line around Paducha has some wicked QLCS hooks along it

Hope it doesn't out run the instability as it moves NE of Indy.

Thank goodness the 21st has passed. DST just flippin' sucks. Still daylight at 9:30 and twilight after 10? DST wasn't so bad down south but when I moved back here it blew my mind. Especially since IN was a holdout. I don't give a crap about the advantages they spout out. If I wanted to live in the land of the midnight sun I'd be there. Stop f%^&ing with my clock!

Depends on your interpretation of worse lol. I'll take it

These storms are crawling. Maybe 10mph. Whole state is under a flood watch now.

Prelim's from today's survey... Public Information Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 551 PM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019 ...FIRST NWS DAMAGE SURVEY FOR 06/15/2019 ... A widespread tornado outbreak occurred the evening of June 15th as a remnant MCV from earlier storms interacted with a warm front in southern Indiana. This is the first PNS that covers the surveys that were completed today, Sunday June 16th with additional surveys to be completed tomorrow, Monday June 17th. .Tornado #1 Freedom Tornado... Rating: EF-1 Estimated peak wind: 110 mph Path length /Statute/: 8.22 miles Path width /Maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:29 PM EDT Start location: Freedom/Owen Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.2038 N/-86.8726 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 6:45 PM EDT End location: 2 S Spencer/Owen Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.2738 N/ -86.7509 W The tornado began just southwest of downtown Freedom before moving into the town shearing numerous trees around town. The tornado continued to the northeast leaving a very clear path of sheared and uprooted trees in a path about 200 yards wide. The storm crossed the White River several times over its lifetime and followed the river line to south of Spencer. This is where a large building had its roof uplifted and walls collapsed. The building was part of a business that was set to open for the first time on Monday. The damage ended shortly after and the storm recycled into the next tornado. .TORNADO #2 Ellettsville Tornado... Rating: EF-2 Estimated peak wind: 130 mph Path length /Statute/: 3.7 miles Path width /Maximum/: 400 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:48 PM EDT Start location: 2 W Ellettsville/Monroe Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.2739 N / -86.6075 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 6:58 PM EDT End location: 4 N Ellettsville/Monroe Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.2473 N / -86.6671 W The tornado began in rural countryside northeast of Ellettsville doing some tree damage before crossing State Road 46 and doing significant tree damage along Chafin Chapel Road. A 400 yard wide path of trees was completely shredded in spots. Additional widespread tree damage was found on Mount Tabor road and West Cowden Road. Along West Cowden Road, several barns and outbuildings were destroyed as well as a loosely anchored garage completely swept off of its foundation. The tornado continued into rural forest before dissipating. .TORNADO #3 Greene County Tornado... Rating: EF-2 Estimated peak wind: 130 mph Path length /Statute/: 3.52 miles Path width /Maximum/: 400 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 6:56 PM EDT Start location: 4 NE Koleen/Greene Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.0456 N / -86.7965 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:00 PM EDT End location: 5 SSE Solsberry/Greene Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.0500 N / -86.7312 W The tornado started west of North Crowe Road causing significant damage to a newly built building on Crowe Road. The owner verified it was well built and in very good shape. The track continued across State Road 54 and left a wide swath of tree damage with a resident stating over 100 acres of trees were snapped. The storm cross State Road 43 and dissipated in a field to the east. .TORNADO 4 BEECH GROVE TORNADO... Rating: EF-1 Estimated peak wind: 100 mph Path length /Statute/: 1.86 miles Path width /Maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 7:26 PM EDT Start location: 2 SW Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN tart Lat/Lon: 39.7071 N / -86.0971 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:30 PM EDT End location: 1 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.7160 N / -86.0641 W The tornado began southwest of Beech Grove causing roof damage before crossing Emerson Avenue and causing additional roof damage to a school and house. The tornado continued for several hundred feet before dissipating. .TORNADO 5 East Marion Co... Rating: EF-0 Estimated peak wind: 70 mph Path length /Statute/: 0.9 miles Path width /Maximum/: 100 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start date: 06/15/2019 Start time: 7:37 PM EDT Start location: 4 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN Start Lat/Lon: 39.7397 N / -86.0009 W End date: 06/15/2019 End time: 7:38 PM EDT End location: 5 E Beech Grove/Marion Co/IN End_lat/lon: 39.7411 N / -85.9842 W A brief touchdown near Brookville road and East Raymond street caused significant damage to several outbuildings and minor tree damage near Brookville Road. EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale Classifies Tornadoes into the following categories. EF0...Weak......65 to 85 mph EF1...Weak......86 to 110 mph EF2...Strong....111 to 135 mph EF3...Strong....136 to 165 mph EF4...Violent...166 To 200 mph EF5...Violent...>200 mph NOTE: The information in this statement is PRELIMINARY and subject to change pending final review of the events and publication in NWS Storm Data.