Jackstraw

Ima gonna go sit and wait on that cell near Frankfort IN. Its dangling pre frontal all alone and has that look. Its moving @ 60 right at me so shouldn't have to wait long lol Edit: shoiuld have a helluva shelf cloud from velocity if its not too dark

Phreakin' confirmed hailers lining up in IN/IL. Stay up there dammit Tor watch for OH where lake breeze interaction has a better chance with already organized cells. Mesoscale Discussion 0292 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CDT Thu Mar 26 2026 Areas affected...much of Ohio into western Pennsylvania Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 262025Z - 262200Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Gradual convective development should support an increasing risk for supercells late this afternoon into this evening. Hail, damaging gusts are likely, with a couple of tornadoes possible. DISCUSSION...Afternoon visible and radar imagery showed an area of showers and weak convection gradually intensifying across southern Lower MI into northwestern OH. Located along and south of a front/lake breeze intersection, warming and moistening of the air mass across much of OH and PA this afternoon has resulted in weak to moderate buoyancy. Area VADs show very strong mid-level flow with elongated and veering hodographs. This will favor a mix of supercells and linear segments as the primary storm mode. Given the sufficient buoyancy and strong low/deep-layer shear, hail and severe gusts are likely. Tornadoes are also possible given ESRH of 300-400 m2/s2. Additional vertical vorticity near the lake breeze boundary could also support a locally greater tornado risk given favorable storm motions parallel to the lake shore. Recent CAM guidance and satellite trends regarding the ongoing shallow convection/showers over northwest OH and Lower MI show them gradually deepening as continued heating and mid-level ascent erode inhibition. This should support an increase in the severe risk late this afternoon into the evening. A Tornado Watch will likely be needed. ..Lyons/Smith.. 03/26/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX... LAT...LON 41748249 42038144 42058046 41617949 41077934 40447956 39768013 39258145 39148316 39458405 39838433 40468450 41188445 41648424 41758388 41768347 41748249 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN NOAA / National Weather Service National Centers for Environmental Prediction Storm Prediction Center 120 David L. Boren Blvd. Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A. [email protected] Page last modified: March 26, 2026 Disclaimer Information Quality Help Glossary Privacy Policy Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) About Us Career Opportunities

Any Tor threat with this is if a surface low can spin up with a strong enough W/NW flow (or super cell outflows, unlikely but non zero). Hell (hehe) the current surface low looks more like a strung out wave. Theres a stout SW around 700mb racing east out of Kansas/Nebraska with a surface reflection but even with it there's no backing flow yet. SPC addresses this in their latest write up. Backside elevated hailers with this moist HOT lol, surface air being flat out jammed upwards into the very cold air aloft by the strong CAA a bigger deal. Might see hail once every couple years where I live, seen it twice in a little more than a week. Last one (similar to this setup) covered the ground completely. Me know likey hail

Van Wert (of course lol) wants to kick off the weekend with an 80mph Tpole snapping semi flipping dust storm lol. Tis a bit breezy with multiple 60+ gusts here. for the last 4-5 hours. most N/S highways and Interstates are closed with flipped semi's around here. Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Northern Indiana 127 PM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0115 PM Non-Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 N Van Wert 40.89N 84.58W 03/13/2026 Van Wert OH Emergency Mngr Multiple semi trucks rolled over and power poles down in Van Wert county. A lot of blowing dust too.

Waiting on a reply from my new dog sitter. I'm looking at hotels up around the Rhinelander area. GFS puking out 60 inches lmao. Most snow I ever experienced was in March just outside of Denver in 2014. 26inches in 24hrs. I'm 50/50 just to go see this insanity lmao.

Dude, after what you went through you not only picked a great storm to chase again but you did it right (except for one thing). It sounds like you (and from your posts during) were patient and waited for them/it to come to you which is always the best way IMO. ESPECIALLY in the Lakes/OH Valley where we get more 60 mph screaming F3's than most places. Your one mistake was getting on 65. NEVER GET ON 65 when theres bad weather lol. 65 will kill you and I'm serious. It's a Semi UFC ring as far as I'm concerned. It's bad enough on a sunny day. I seldom chase anymore because about 10 years ago my buddy and I were about killed when a Honda Pilot with Harbor Freight flashing lights plastered on it and 3 Iphones hanging out the windows going 90 mph blew through a 4 way stop sign and missed us by inches. Our chase turned from the storm to them and when we caught them we put the fear of God into them. They said they were "pros" and I told them so is this baseball bat. After that nope. You have more chances of getting killed by another chaser than a storm nowadays. Study, prep, pick, sit, wait. Thats my method now if I do lol. Thanx for the vid and hope you exorcised some demons

I've got to do a test run with a new dog sitter for my trip late next week. Hell I may just head N into the middle of this cement for a day or 2 for fun. Nothing better than sitting at a bar and hearing people bitch about shoveling concrete lmao

Models have been puking out 20-30 inch numbers inside 120 hrs all winter only to cave at the last minute to 2 to 3 and we've come to expect it. Watch this one be the models "I'll show you" moment lmao.

2 pages if it were 75 miles S. 1 of them all bitching and moaning. 12Z Euro spitting out 5 to 1 ratios for NE IL. Get out the pick axe's lol

Watched that storm on HiRes Sat throughout its life and that was the most impressive sustained updraft with intense rotation up through 50-60k ft I've seen in our sub. I'm also curious how that early lake breeze that moved inland and stalled right around the IKK area affected it. That storm sure looked like it got rooted into that stalled outflow boundary that collided with the warm front. Some extra enhancement there? Thats a rare updraft for even TX hail country to be juggling 5-6 inchers 5 miles in the air. Truly epic updraft.

If this long tracker keeps its legs look out. Its starting to enter areas less of farmland and more of subdivisions.

What a name for a band lol

Twin couplets now near @KeenerWx. Heads up

Yeah this one has legs for sure. Still good pressure falls out ahead. That was a MASSIVE updraft (still is) back around IKK. Like to see a Level 2/3 slice of it.

Strong couplet on tilt 4 from IWX. Massive updraft right there

Anvil on that storm is over 100 miles long. I mean divergence from hell on that thing with a 150KT+ upper level jet. You can see this updraft rotating through its overshooting top on sat. thats a trip. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G19&sector=cgl&band=GEOCOLOR&length=12&src=nav

Full on hook now. We'll see if it chokes off. This could be a long tracker rooted. 30 miles WNW of Morocco IN wink wink

IKK storm has some 700mb help per meso analysis. Subtle shortwave pushing it along

Only game in town unless you like chasing power flashes in the dark. I'd stay on it if you're close. It'll be dark before the western stuff gets to IKK area.

Yeah, it's notched and cocked. Patient IKK chasers may be rewarded

Man, once any of these get their feet into the BL and locked it could get scary. The ventilation is crazy good. Look for one to hang a hard right. Somebody gonna get smacked. Hopefully just a cow

48 in Joliet 79 in Pontiac in IL. Where's Waldo lol

Great single source site

HRR has been sliding a solo SUP between Marion and you between 10pm and 2am across a few runs over the last 8 hours. Its a left mover out ahead of that SSE propagating MCS coming down across the state early morning. Saw some SRH values as high as 450 m2s2 with that thing. I will be up into the wee hours with my ears perked. Big potential for an after dark long tracker across N IN and then possibly some 60+ winds depending on how that MCS pans out. Keep those falling rocks in MI lol. Part of this system looks like freaking July lol.

Better pick right, you may only have an hour or 2 to see anything. Personally I'd park it in Morocco IN, eat lunch and wait lol.