Jackstraw

Beautiful Mothership man!! I'd run a Waffle House out of coffee picking Trey's brain lol. Happy you didn't get totally burned. Great pics!

Around 500 homes reportedly damaged or destroyed as of this morning including a trailer park wiped out. No reports of deaths but upper teens in injuries so far, most from the trailer park. Night time tornadoes have always been my greatest fear, even with the tools we have today. Going through Hugo for 18 hours, mostly at night kinda gave me PTSD about it. Saw some NWS warnings for 150-185 radar estimated winds and 1 warning that said radar estimated 200mph with that thing. From a weather nerd standpoint, those were 2 beautiful classic Dixie Ally long track sups. As always it just sux afterwards. And a note... These things were very well forecasted and very well warned with NWS giving up to 25 min lead times. Probably saved a lot of lives. The only good thing about big sups all by themselves. They're usually pretty predictable where they are going.

We had hail around midnight last night again. Pea to dime size so just loud. I've had more storms with hail this late winter/early spring than any single period I can remember. Think last night was the 5th time its hailed since Feb. Most of it like last night. One storm had some 1/2 to 1 inchers. Maybe this month will get exciting towards the end and the beginning of June.

Feast or famine rain wise. Just another South Carolina winter day here. 40's/50's and rain lol.

Put 1.7 in the bucket with that one so that puts me over 2in locally. At least thats something. That and the incoming cold snap ought to trigger the Morels that haven't flushed yet to do so and the areas that have, to do it again, hopefully. Double flushes of mushrooms DO happen so if your favorite spot popped early because of the wet and the cold/heat/cold/heat cycles over the last month check them again over the next couple of weeks. Cold snaps shock them into fruiting. I've had 2 spots double flush this year. Been the best year in while for me, I'm over 400 bagged. Hell found 50 in my front yard 2 weeks ago and it hasn't flushed since Covid. They are finicky lol

I agree. The CAM's were stacking these semi discreet bows like Civil War regiment lines for the last 48hrs whereas the lower res models were playing the synoptic game. Think the CAM's won (maybe not the HRRR, it was just wonky). Some of them looked like late June/July ridge riding cold pool driven bows. Definitely not enough spacing for any sups to bust and run. There's still 80/70's down south and a definite nocturnal threat ongoing down there. Kinda the price we pay in Spring for these setups. We need wide open warm sectors all morning and day with just enough capping to allow more surface based initiation. Sux to waste a stout EML that worked its way this far East. Those will be harder and harder to come by as we move into mid June.

If you want to know where the worst weather is just open you're favorite flight tracker lol

Not sure why it lapsed. A secondary line through there was pretty well modeled.

Your morning soaker is about my monthly total locally. Still under an inch

Tor warning near Taylorville IL embedded in that very shrimpy looking bow in Central IL. Right on top of my friend over there. Said he hasn't even left the parking lot. He's going to head S/SW and get into the clearing out warm sector. Think that area is where the best potential for some explosive cap busters.

Nah. Old chasing friend of mine was trying to talk me into going with him last night. We've been talking about this setup, the potential mess it could be most of the weekend. That's the area, IMO, I'd be IF I were chasing. I decided not to go. He left last night is in a hotel just S of Springfield. I'll be playing base camp for him lol. Do believe for any lone sups its gonna be highest chance in that area. Could be a lot of embedded sups and MCV spin ups but chasing those just sux. Think kind of like the last system, Tail End Charlies will be best isolated sup options when you get bows and shrimps like this setup could be full of. Like you said that area just got elevated to MOD so yeah, thats a good call IMO if your going. Anything isolated East into IL/IN is probably going to be close to or after dark. Another reason I'm not going. Good chance for a late night MCS/MCV rolling through here. I've got a donkey, 2 goats and 2 dogs. They get quite upset when there's big thunder dragons outside lol. Good luck to anyone who dares and be safe. Idiots IPhones and storms don't mix lol.

I'll take it. With the race at Indy coming a bit early this year a cool to chilly May makes for crazy fast cars!

Pretty good couplet headed towards New Castle Indiana on the nose of a baby bow thats Tor warned right now. Thats a not so small town.

Well, if Dustnado chasing is a thing I'm the king lol. I counted a Bakers Dozen in my travels today. Some pretty stout ones too, a couple hundred feet tall and 10 to 20 feet wide. Some rated a 5 on the limb whipping scale when they ran into woods from the Dust Fields. Probably scared the crap out of some squirrels. Just call me Tweed Rimmer..... The Dustnado Chasing King

Well I guess it all comes out in the wash, kinda. While I just watched the last 2 or 3 severe outbreaks in our sub blow by with nary a drop, we received .25 inches total in a couple of quick, severe warned downpours. One elevated cell around 11pm last night and another around 4am. Had dime size hail with the first and pea size hail with the second. They both lasted less than 10min and the wind gusted to 45 with the first. The ground slurped it up like a drunk waiting on the bar door to be unlocked. Farmers were out doing their thing by 11, dust everywhere again. That's .6 locally for April so far. Yay

Tree benders here this afternoon. A bit unexpected to be as strong here as they are today.

So got a measly .2 of precip with the last "severe" outbreak here. Storms have been dodging us like crazy lately. Dust blowing everywhere today with the winds gusting upwards of 40-45. It's brutally dry locally. This incoming line looks to continue the trend.

Don't see many Jumbo Shrimp lines like this one has been in April. July maybe but few in April. Pretty impressive.

Yeah, folks think he's bad now, he's actually mellowed. Well, let's just say he's aged like Ripple missing the bottle cap. Way back when there were no cameras around he was the WORST! I swung on him in a hotel parking lot after happy hour and missed 30 years ago lol

That lines still looking Shrimpy

Timmer on it, this time of day on a Friday, densely populated area approaching Chitown burbs, every hill dilly jack boot armchair chaser is gonna be on that thing with Old Styles and IPhones hanging out the windows lol. No thanx

About to have a fairly significant cell merger west of Springfield IL. They're out ahead of front all by themselves moving into ever increasing instability and shear with plenty of backing surface winds. If they can get rooted look out, there's nothing in the way. Big overshooting tops.

Yes it was. Might be cycling out to a classic hook now. Was the tail end charlie of that initial prefrontal line. This might be the long tracker of the day. Clean uninterrupted juice flowing into it from the south.

You can see what they're talking about on the SPC meso page in the 700mb and visible sat. I might add there's a very impressive dry line trying to out run the front in W/NW Iowa SW MN. I think any SUPS in IA. IL, WS will seed there as this area tries to race E ahead of the front. It's pretty prominent and has upper level help coming in behind it.

Yeah, we got about .75 the 5th and 6th but nothing since. Of course we had some super soakers back in March but my memory doesn't work that far back anymore lol. Hope you're feeling better