snywx

lol.. Looks like your area through Rockland/ N westchester may jack this event.. How much do you have right now?

Temp 30° Moderate Snow 5.8" at the stake

Like father like son? lol.. @IrishRob17 loves to hear when @JerseyWx reports 4.3581"

What side of Middletown are you in?

What do you think the chances of those legit bands making it up here before the pivot?

Approaching 5" here as well. All of Orange county upgraded to 15-20" Hopefully we can get the real serious banding up here before the pivot

Have legit man snow falling now. S+

12z HRDPS still quite generous for the area. 12"+

2.6" here... Snow has picked up in intensity within the last 5 mins

How much do you have so far?

You mean the 6th boro? lol

Its coming boys! Mesoscale Discussion 110 < Previous MD Mesoscale Discussion 0110 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 AM CST Wed Mar 07 2018 Areas affected...eastern PA...central and northern NJ Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 071347Z - 071745Z SUMMARY...Heavy hourly snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour are likely to develop later this morning. Locally higher rates (2+ inches/hour) are possible primarily after noon local time within the frontal snow band and/or convectively augmented bursts. DISCUSSION...13Z surface analysis places a sub 1000mb developing low 60 mi ESE of WAL. Temperatures are in the 32-34 degrees F range from the northern part of Chesapeake Bay to NYC. The 12Z IAD RAOB from Dulles, VA showed a temperature profile subfreezing except immediately near the surface. The 500mb temperature was -25.5 C. Looping water-vapor imagery indicates the mid-level trough was located over the central Appalachians as of 13-14Z. As this disturbance approaches the region, strong mid-level ascent associated with the trough (leading to significant columnar cooling in the mid-levels) coupled with the northern periphery of a plume of steep 700-500mb lapse rates (7-8 degrees C per km) will combine and result in pockets of weak buoyancy and upright convection. Convection will increase in coverage from northern DE northeast towards the NYC area during the late morning into the early afternoon. Models indicate the development of strong frontogenetic forcing will begin primarily around or after 17Z. As the deep-layer large-scale ascent strengthens and becomes vertically juxtaposed with the intensifying frontogenesis, hourly precipitation rates will markedly increase from around 0.10 inch to 0.10-0.25 inch. Marginal surface temperatures will effectively result in a significant concern/limiting factor for the spatial coverage of 1+ inch/hour rates farther southeast across portions of NJ as a sharp rain/snow precipitation-type gradient becomes established. Eastern PA into northern NJ will likely maintain snow as the precipitation type and heavy snowfall rates will focus in a narrow corridor from the north part of PHL north-northeast into northern NJ. Higher elevations will likely attain the coldest temperatures (due to the low-level thermal profile cooling as elevation increases from sea level to 1-2 kft) and the most intense accumulation/hourly rates. ..Smith.. 03/07/2018 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM... LAT...LON 40197573 41297505 41527459 41407422 41187402 40637420 40077524 40047555 40197573

For those that were ready to panic 12z NAM came back alittle west. Still liking a general 12-16" on top of what has already fallen

Snow has picked up to moderate intensity now. Roads completely covered again. Temp down to 29°

TWC is reporting live in Central Valley next to the Woodbury Commons lol..

06z HRDPS

Upton has actually increased totals for O.C in their latest package.. HRRR looks good. RGEM & HRDPS look identical with their amounts from 0z. Almost 2" otg here

Dt

0z NAM 1 hr earlier than the image you posted above..

I go back to the days of WWBB ( before eastern) around 2003 back when regional subforums didn't exist. It was pure madness! lol.. I also remember when we decided to create our own little thread here. Best thing we ever did!

My lord.. Thats ridiculous.

Same here.. Looks like a general 12-18" for the area. Wouldn't be surprised to see some 24" amounts popping up in favored upslope areas & areas of banding.

DT

If I didn't know any better I would think I was looking at a snow map of 12/30/00.

0z 3k NAM is widespread 18-24" up here lol.. The usual snow spots of the Hudson Highlands look to jack with 20-25"