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LP08

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Everything posted by LP08

  1. It’s not a great model but the fv3 is a beatdown and still going at 60
  2. I’ll be honest….we here near dc need to wait for nighttime for any real shot.
  3. It’s maybe not as good as the 12k but the majority of our accumulation is post 57. Coastal portion is kinda just starting.
  4. Houston’s lovely if you are love big traffic and interstates ❤️
  5. Gotta think that some sort of mid level band would be further west than the main fronto one along the Delmarva. Happens almost every time with a coastal
  6. At 42. Trough not quite as sharp as 6z. Coastal might climb a bit before capture?
  7. Anyone know how to block the gfs? My son keeps telling everyone we are getting 15+ this weekend and I’m trying really hard to tone down the expectations haha
  8. Temps in this scenario are all driven by rates/coastal. If we miss the main coastal, wherever the IVT sets up is going to be big winners and losers. Under it? 31/32 and pounding, edge of it? 34/35 and snizzle. It wouldn’t be a broad accumulation.
  9. Ukie looks quite a bit different at 33. More interaction between the NS and ss
  10. The Norlun was post 84 with the closed h5 low going across the Va/nc border
  11. Sharper Trof and a little more stream interaction on the NAM through 39
  12. Its over the upper midwest at 45 that it diverges. GFS phases in the Canadian SW to the SS one, every other model leaves them separate.
  13. both Rgem and ICON get the IVT and both in almost the same spot offshore at 84
  14. Moved to banter, but my guess is we will get a mild cave while everything trends a little better before it pulls the rug.
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