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Everything posted by LP08
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Positive changes early on the Ukie
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May be a tick east but still should be good
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Definitely a broader Trof through 36
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It’s not a great model but the fv3 is a beatdown and still going at 60
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I’ll be honest….we here near dc need to wait for nighttime for any real shot.
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It’s maybe not as good as the 12k but the majority of our accumulation is post 57. Coastal portion is kinda just starting.
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Houston’s lovely if you are love big traffic and interstates ❤️
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Gotta think that some sort of mid level band would be further west than the main fronto one along the Delmarva. Happens almost every time with a coastal
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At 42. Trough not quite as sharp as 6z. Coastal might climb a bit before capture?
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Anyone know how to block the gfs? My son keeps telling everyone we are getting 15+ this weekend and I’m trying really hard to tone down the expectations haha
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Temps in this scenario are all driven by rates/coastal. If we miss the main coastal, wherever the IVT sets up is going to be big winners and losers. Under it? 31/32 and pounding, edge of it? 34/35 and snizzle. It wouldn’t be a broad accumulation.
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Ukie looks quite a bit different at 33. More interaction between the NS and ss
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Man Fuck the GFS haha
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Rgem going to be real close…
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Really liking both Icon and Rgem at h5. Good trends
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Like the early on shifts on the Rgem with our NS sw
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The Norlun was post 84 with the closed h5 low going across the Va/nc border
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Damn that was significantly better at h5…one more of those?
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Sharper Trof and a little more stream interaction on the NAM through 39
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Can’t wait for the “I’m at 42° at 3 pm posts”
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Its over the upper midwest at 45 that it diverges. GFS phases in the Canadian SW to the SS one, every other model leaves them separate.
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Maybe the best HECS is the friends we made along the way. -pna
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both Rgem and ICON get the IVT and both in almost the same spot offshore at 84
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Moved to banter, but my guess is we will get a mild cave while everything trends a little better before it pulls the rug.
