weatherwiz

5 minutes ago, Chinook said:

I have an interesting question about prediction. Does the NWS WPC provide any QPF map for Hawaii at any time? Now that the event is half-over (or something like that,) and the floods have already occurred, I am wondering if there is any way to get a model QPF for Hawaii other than GFS/ other global models?

I have that same exact question and I have been able to find nothing. In fact, I have had trouble finding sources to view model data for Hawaii. Tropical Tidbits was probably the best site because you could get pretty close on HI but the products are very limited. I had juse been using the MAG page from NOAA and clicking the HI sector and using the few models available to look at projected rainfall totals. 

Is the NWS doing any rainfall total maps? I saw something posted from their social media but can't find anything on their home page. Using some of the radar sites for estimation but the quality is poor and doesn't give a good read over the island as a whole. 

55 minutes ago, wxsean said:

Two Roads is good, they have a helluva marketing team!

Sea Hag is my go-to beer Also Ghost Island (outside of my own brews that is).  

Yes...Ghost Island! 

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Can your body handle the extra calories? 

No...that’s why he puked all over Will’s car several years back and killed his brakes 

30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Now that is not very good. It’s drinkable in a pinch 

It’s delicious. Strong and not something you chug. I’ll go with anything Two Roads though. Also a big fan of Sea Hag...Fat Tire is delicious too. 

17 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Like 4 years ago.

I picture you as a 40oz Steel Reserve type guy.

I love the 40’s of Steel Reserve and now they’re 42oz!!!

16 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Pink Lemonade with Everclear Pong. All the girls get naked immediately...and quickly pass out. You’ll find your bride. 

Lol

Sip of Sunshine is where its at

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

deformation

ohh sick! 

What the heck is this parameter?

850 hPa Okubo-Weiss Dilatation Axes? 

Wind shear is there but tough to get good enough instability with poor lapse rates and extensive clouds around (although more sun out east) and temps only in the 70's. Maybe a few strong thunderstorms. 

18 minutes ago, Rtd208 said:

You can't weenie yourself, against the rules. lol

Just now, weatherwiz said:

EML Alert: Monday 

EML Alert: Monday 

Hey Kevin,

We should meet up sometime for a drink! Haven’t seen you in like probably 7 years 

Not necessarily myself but a few people I'm associated with who are worlds better at computer programming (and have the brain for it unlike me) have dabbled in linux and other ways to extract model data and generate graphics and such.  I know there are these links:

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/data-access/model-data/model-datasets/global-forcast-system-gfs

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/products/gfs/

Does anyone know any other sources where you can grab model data (more specifically for the GFS) and easily choose which parameters and data you specifically want?

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Sunny and tanning . Glad we in

naked? 

Tonight looking rather meh now. 

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Haven’t even looked. I’ll take a peak soon.

Cool! I really need to like learn tropical forecasting and gain confidence in that very quickly. 

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You’ve been full of random questions lately. But yes, James, high winds are possible bringing down coconuts and pineapples...adjust your tropical fruit purchases.

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

This is true.

Random but do you think it's unreasonable to think that some portions of the Hawaiian Islands could see potential winds gusts of 75-90 mph with Lane? (Assuming something like the GFS pans out). 

Thinking of headed to New Milford

33 minutes ago, dendrite said:

June or July 02 I think? 5/31/2010 was another very smoky day up here.

Yeah that sounds about right. I was so pissed b/c for once we didn’t have cloud debris to screw things up. 

I remember one year in the early 200's I think it was we had a good severe wx setup but heavy smoke from Canadian fires like prevented us from gull destabilizing. I think tat's how smoke got termed FU

Think I am going to head to Danbury and hang there and hope some action moves through there like models show. 

Lets see what today brings. Not sure what satellite looks like or how much is out (laying in bed). But if we can get some sun we should get pretty unstable and shear doesn’t look awful. Should be some leftover boundaries too 

I wonder if West Hartford has wind. Saw some large branches down in the road next to home with some leaf debris around the roads

Watch tomorrow be more fun