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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by weatherwiz

  1. 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

    Being on the nrn edge potentially introduces fronto fun so I’m not ruling it out, but man I can’t help thinking we may see some ticks southeast. I don’t see how it can improve from some mid those 12z solutions. 

    My stance is by 12z runs tomorrow any guidance that was ticking more “favorable” will revert back leaving an outcome of just some snow showers. Maybe someone gets a coating 

  2. 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

    Will has it. Dec is actually a very prolific month and up there on highest monthly average. 

    Screenshot_20251211_143643_Chrome.jpg

    December can have some biggies but that also shows that March used to be just as snowy, if not snowier than December. I'm sure the BDL average for March the past 10-15 years has went down

    • Like 1
  3. 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

    Will has it

    I have the gaps in the data in a notebook that Will posted way back in the day and some stuff from Ryan too for BDL. It just sucks you check the records online and you either have no data or incorrect. Just think of the discrepancies it elicits. Like if you go check BDL on threadex for 1995-1996...it only has BDL like 106" or something versus 115.2" or 116.2" (forgot what it is).  

  4. Just now, ORH_wxman said:

    On which model? There’s like 10 different variations of what I’ve seen for that period. 

    I was just rip and reading the GFS lol. 

    But I just happened to look at the Euro...what a difference. 

    anyways I am with you, I think the extent of the ridging we've been seeing will end up getting muted (though we probably still end up on the milder side). 

    • Like 1
  5. Gotta say...for that Christmas period, it is getting a bit more difficult to find any potential to wedge at the surface. The position of the sfc low would favor deep southwesterly flow across the eastern third of the country. Doesn't look like there is any room for a high to our north or northeast.

    • Crap 1
  6. 6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

    For now we have spam, and they(pretty much everybody else around us)have prime rib…oh ya, I feel alot better now. :lol::axe: 

     

    All kidding aside, just hoping for a low end advisory event….to boost the morale some. 

    Right...2-4" does so much to the morale. The 4" I got last week was perfect. It really sucks things haven't worked out as well in this pattern. You get 3-4 events which produce even 2-4" and they just add up quick. 

    • Like 1
    • 100% 1
  7. 58 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

    This thing is still 3.5 days out …you don’t think there’s enough time to trend this a 100 miles? Geez Paul, I think we all know that’s very doable at this juncture for sure. But maybe you’ll be right? Gonna be a fun couple days seeing how this turns out. 

    IMO, there's alot more that needs to happen than just trending west but I am also not necessarily sold on some of the recent trends we have seen with the ridging and better interaction of the two energies...we've seen this happen plenty of times of late where within this time range (3-5 days) there are these subtle shifts which trend better. I suspect by 12z Friday we will begin to see a trend back in the opposite direction with the heights in the west and energy interaction. 

    Also, even with the better interaction of energies, the upper level dynamics still aren't very favorable for low pressure development at the sfc...we have to look closer to where the baroclinic zone is present to get some llvl spinup present and I think its just too far south to do any good for us. But that said, at least snow showers are still possible farther east. 

    • clap 2
  8. 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

    Idk about several hundred miles lol we are talking about snow in New England not Hudson Bay

    probably more so a few hundred miles but we always play the "what if" game with these things :lol: 

    A heck of alot more needs to happen than just tweaking the interaction between the two energies 

     

    • Confused 1
    • Crap 1
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