weatherwiz

Today worked out pretty well. Performed as it should have 

Def had some weak rotation pass overhead. Rain was coming like a curtain and quickly shifted with a huge gust. Not bad!

I think that cell has a BWER though wish I had my laptop to use GR lvl 2 to identify more easily then trying to switch tilts on my phone 

1 minute ago, Modfan2 said:

Fish on air and doesnt see it?? 

Might want to look harder 

Need a warning south of these ones for Charlton

Actually I think there was a brief TDS just southwest of Paxton 

Low CCs but not quite enough for TDS

Stuff appears to be getting a bit more oomph. I wonder if the shear lessening is actually helping a bit 

Interesting around New Braintree

1 minute ago, radarman said:

from 202 in Granby/Btown

Sick!

Back end view of the cell to the north 

1 minute ago, Modfan2 said:

You might do ok with that line out near Otis 

Yeah it’s continuing to build. Fingers crossed 

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Maybe you can get picked up?

Beam me up Scotty

I can literally feel these updrafts going up around me. Getting dark all around me 

Hoping that cell over Agawam perks up but not doing much so far. 

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

From my phone…Sped it up 9x

 

Nice!!!!

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Just got my 80 ... 80/67   

rustling breeze with cracker alto strata and a few scud shred moving swiftly underneath.   Intervals of sun.   Actually feels like an tropical island morning. 

Bahama blues here. Great looking satellite out ahead of this stuff. Have to wonder though if that mid-level dry air moving in will really hurt, despite the building lower CAPE

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This could be fun... we clearly have a warm frontal thrust/wedge now up to EEN and we're opening the skies to sun.  Temp popped 4-6F in the last hr west of ORH up through FIT and across my region.

79/67

 

Have to watch for rapid destabilization out ahead of the line given the sky conditions and rapid jump in temps...may have a similar affect to parcel acceleration that you would see with steeper lapse rates because the air is becoming less buoyant rapidly. 

You gotta be careful with TVS in setups like this with very strong shear. I don't think Radarscope does this but these are probably elevated TVS signatures...so there are probably 2 or 3 bins (forget the minimum requirement...think its 3) on successive scans meeting shear threshold and above a certain distance above the ground.

Nothing is really standing out in terms of rotation. OF course much of this stuff is in some awful radar coverage but going up a tilt or so, nothing is really impressive so a sign anything llvl is probably minor as well. Don't think there is enough instability right now to really get something spinning.

May actually have to watch into Berkshire County...some higher sfc vorticity there per mesoanalysis with increasing 3km Cape. 

cells firing east or the Berk as the airmass begins to destabilize and MLCIN has eroded.

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Interesting all the ltg is way up in VT for the most part. Shallow stuff currently near and SW of Albany. That or better instability in the graupel/hail zone with cooler temps aloft in VT.

Kind of shocked we haven't seen a downstream MCD or watch extension yet

You get enough MLCAPE or 3km CAPE in this and you could be looking at the potential for a stronger tornado 

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

I doubt the valley is going to clear out. The breaks in the clouds in ENY do not really seem to be advancing east.

 

 

 

The valley probably does but that is going to be the product of mid-level air advecting in which is also going to negatively impact potential for thunderstorm development down this way as well. However, its been noteworthy that the CAMs have become more aggressive and have remained consistent with developing convection, even down into CT later this afternoon. We'll see...too much mid-level dry air can really screw things...not too mention its rather warm aloft too