weatherwiz

Got back to Springfield to a coating of snow 

In terms of convectively induced wind damage, not bad for December. 

Driving to Hartford soon for the Wolf Pack game. Haven't been since opening night (boooo) but trying to leave a tad earlier to avoid any squalls that might come in as early as 6

26 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think model data assimilation and initialization is still going to be a big limiting factor. So I’m not expecting anything crazy awesome in the next few years until that part of modeling is improved. 

This right here for 100000

2 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

We still have coverage in Westfield, but down to about 50 percent. By the time I get home, it'll probably be just piles

I wish I did a before and after picture lol. 

All of the snow in my backyard is gone...vanished. Outside of some bare spots along the fence line which is hit by the sun, there was probably a good couple inches of cover still. I can see gradd, mud, and melted dog poop

Tornado Warning in Hawaii!

We've steepened up the 2-6km lapse rates well. Gusts here in Springfield are becoming more frequent and a bit stronger too. Really curious to see what the next 1-2 hours brings, especially with the thinning overcast on satellite. 

wow, a mesonet station in Middletown, CT measured 63 mph

I would definitely watch for some low topped convection to evolve this afternoon and move across Rhode Island and interior southeast Mass. Wouldn't even rule out the potential for a very brief tornado. You can see some convection developing south of Long Island now. We get any convection with thunder/lightning and we may see some 70-75 mph gusts (not widespread but very localized). 

A pretty impressive satellite presentation this morning and you can see some embedded areas of convection which have contributed to some locally stronger gusts. Noticing some breaks too just to our southwest, so something to watch as we move through the next 3-4 hours.

Just ripped a pretty solid gust here a few minutes ago. I love how every now and then you can hear what sounds like a freight train 

1 minute ago, Patrick-02540 said:

 

usually these kinds of slips (called expressive errors or paraphasias in writing/typing) happen when the brain is translating thoughts into language faster than the fingers can keep up, annd relying heavily on muscle memory and autopilot. When typing quickly without full attention, the mind races ahead, leading to omitted words, wrong similar-sounding words, or incomplete ones.  A lot of people ask me about this, and happens   moreso during acute stress or anxious periods.

Interesting stuff! Makes alot of sense

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Certainly one of the more innocuous ones I have observed on this forum...

When I was at WestConn, one semester during my broadcasting class I had made a snow map for a potential storm we were getting (I don't remember the year). But I had text saying, totals could shift depending on track...but I wrote shit and didn't catch it until we reviewed the video in class. 

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Hopefully it doesn't blow the soap and shampoo away

I literally have no clue what is wrong. Over the past week or two I've been making some insane typing errors. Like I am typing stuff that is not matching what I am thinking in my head...like missing words of a sentence or using incorrect verbiage (like saying uncertain but forgetting to add on "ty"...things like that). so weird   

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Post up the map just for fun 

Pretty intrigued seeing mesos this impressive still this close in

3km is pretty wild out east late morning and early afternoon. If we can dry out behind this bath of rain there could be some room for 65-70 mph gusts.  

3 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

Not surprised considering this line ripping through...

yeah I imagine that might rip some solid gusts just out ahead of it or along it. Beautiful looking fine line

32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Twitter is pretty useless for weather. I was thinking about posting on there this winter but not sure I’m going to. Lots of hype. You’ll get that anywhere on social media but it’s especially pervasive where people scroll quickly and you want clicks. 

Its a cesspool for weather...absolutely horrible. Believe it or not though, I think its actually worse for severe weather than it is in winter weather. The severe weenies on there are awful

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Meso low south of LI. Best winds east of that.

Some good winds on OKX with that and very low too

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Soundings had good shear. Turning wise.

yeah soundings are solid looking. I suppose there could be potential for a brief spinup along the leading edge today. I know there had a few warnings around STL yesterday and in fact, the line looks pretty similar to what went across that area yesterday. 

Kind of interesting the SVR in NE PA has a tornado possible tag. Only instability is elevated 

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Also, watch for a nasty squall of rain changing to snow, especially higher el with second fropa this evening. Wouldn’t shock me if that had thunder too. Higher elevations best shot of snow. Might be @Damage In Tolland

I was just going to come with this. Been interested in this for a few days. HRRR has remained consistent with this signal. 

HRRR also remains impressive EOR today 

@Typhoon Tip got his marginal

Couple solid gusts in upstate NY too