weatherwiz

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Are your undies muddy?

Dried mud

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Depends where you live. Lots of spots are muddy.

Wow. Guess just pretty lucky here. But lots of areas probably dry up quite a bit over the next few days.

Remember when everyone was worried about mud lol. Might be the most overrated worry come spring time. Its literally muddy for like 3 days and that's it. Unless you live in a field of dirt 

6 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

We had the WWB in the WPAC and two strong TCs form in the SPAC w/ one currently developing in the NW PAC.  A strong WWB like this is often a precursor for s sig El Nino.

Yeah the strength of the few WWBs we've seen this early is pretty noteworthy. If we maintain surges of WWB moving into the summer we are goin to see EL Nino become established rather quickly

12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

you can see the snow coverage pretty fantastically here...

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

The only thing I can see is GWDLT

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

ha... watch, the polar boundary ends up PIT - ACK ...and we have 38 -r with one or two pellets that day

Certainly can't rule that out this early in the season  

4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I doubt it...  

The continent is too dry.  The flow is WSW under that polar boundary transporting a kinetically charged well mixed layer originating from the west TX high country.  Good luck.   If we are safely in that warm conveyor like the GFS?  not much cloud.   That's a red flag warning scenario there this early and prior to our own geographical green up. 

Even if the RH sigmas are juicier ( 800 to 300 mb levels) I'd personally lean on that being dryer verifying.

 

I agree with that, however, I think what we'd have to watch for is cloud cover from upstream precipitation/convection...though perhaps shear vectors favor us avoiding this mess.

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI like Tuesday for big warmth and that’s about it.

Wednesday could be socked in with clouds, though could be some potential to get some breaks in 

What a beautiful blue sky today. Have seen several high planes/jet contrails traversing the skies today. 

Not a heck of alot of lift around but maybe a chance for a few strong storms Tuesday north and west...been a pretty decent signal for a few days. maybe some sort of weak pre-frontal trough around?

this sums up todays thread

Pretty gusty with this squall. Seems to be mostly rain but with some graupel mixed in

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Monday and Tuesday some spots could hit 80

Potential is definitely there for that to happen. 

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I'm talking 8 days from now

Probably can't rule out some snow showers just behind the front but the front is looking pretty weak and not much in the way of colder air with that. This may very well be the final snow for just about everyone except up north. 

Next week is going to be quite mild out ahead of the front

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

This is wild its been dumping the last hour!!   still going 

You must live in the greatest climo spot in the region  

Somehow always able to pull off accumulating snow. Like its mostly sunny here right now and you're ripping snow. There could be like 3 separate snow showers moving through the region, two of them happen to get you and somehow drop 1.5". 

You also always seem to get crushed with thunderstorms. 

the weather gods certainly love that area

I think a strong EL Nino has some pretty high odds, you have some anomalously warm subsurface sea temperatures in the equatorial PAC and have already significantly weakened the easterlies with some impressive WWBs as of late. We shall see what happens though over the next 6-8 weeks but if the ongoing trends continue through these next 6-8 weeks I think we are definitely headed towards a strong EL Nino.

Well that was fun while it lasted. Saw something out of the corner of my eye and looked and it was snow lol. Just enough for a little bit to stick to the grass, not much though. Down to a very light flurry now 

Snowing pretty good out. 

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I could see a inch or two here if things break right.. NAM and HRRR look good

That might be a tough ask. Ski areas up north though I could wee getting 2-4...maybe 5". 

5 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Ya i think we whiten tomorrow.. HRRR is fun 

certainly could see some coatings on grassy/colder surfaces 

Could see some squalls or heavier snow showers moving through right in time for AM rush hour tomorrow

Wind is cranking 

Well spider season is here. Had one of those stupid brownish yellow ones that move really fast crawling on the coffee maker when I was making coffee and there is one of the same type on my office room wall and its a bit too high up for me to get with the device to put it outside. Must be a nest 

This is more like it. What a difference a few hours can make