1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

When his kid gets older and especially if he has another one, he will embrace the NYC sweathog in him. 

Don’t speak that into existence 

In Enfield at my nieces for a cookout. Absolutely awful out. Wish when ours have held onto the weather we had in the morning. Wasn’t great but better than this 

If it’s raining where you are, GWDLT. Actually not bad here if you throw on a light sweatshirt 

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

Subjective reply here but ...I'd even go worse than 'mehhh'

I'd piece of shit down right frustrating and pushing one's patients closer to pulling the trigger on a relo

These protracted continental folding patterns that cause the Maritime to try and fist it's way back SW all the way to Florida thing that's been (apparently) a paradoxical /counter-intuitive consequence of CC ...are getting unbearable.  

As an aside, I had a feeling we would have a problem with this, this particular latter spring this year...because of the way the persistent upstream seasonal pattern behavior was.  Since last October, really... I showed the evidence of this every month during the cold season, Nov-Apr...  despite those 3 or 4 months average ( Globally ) in contention for 3rd warmest since Humanity became a geological force in history ( eh hm),  the NE CONUS/SE Canada were persistently showing relative offset cooler than everywhere else.   This was true whether we were technically above average those months, or not.  It's like always coming in last?    I still see vestigial markers for that still going on, tho harder to see it. 

It's some kind of fractal in the hemisphere that hasn't broken completely down... and having these back ward carving Maritime troughs like the current Euro and GFS are doing is some kind of "non-Markovian" bias playing out.

I agree, but trying to be a bit optimistic  

But anytime you see an omega-block like look...always prepare for crap 

Yeah after next Wednesday things could get back to mehhh for the weekend...go figure 

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Convection 

Maybe another shot for some locally strong storms as long as the front times right

Tuesday and Wednesday should be quite warm next week (though obviously nothing like this week). Wednesday though we'll see a front moving south so there will be a gradient within the region so northern areas may only be a one day ordeal. 

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The January fluff bomb had more wind here I think…now it wasn’t true blizzard…but we had very low visibility’s for a good amount of time in that one…with windy conditions at times…went out for a walk at the height(probably was a mistake lol), and couldn’t walk back to the house forwards, which was heading north into the snow, due to the wind driven snow here..and the cold was ferocious with 5 degree air temps, and  sub zero wind chills.  So that’s more what I mean. I took a little video…but I doubt I could upload it here. 

do you have a YouTube account? can upload there and post the link here

1 minute ago, Snowedin said:

Soon enough, the pattern will transition to an all you can bathe swampfest and all you’ll hear outside are the sound of A/Cs buzzing and frogs buzzing away deep in to the night. The trend is our friend baby!

Nothing line the unison hum of ACs on the block. It’s like a Mozart symphony 

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why would you wear jeans at all until mid fall? Shorts season begins in Morch . As long as arms are covered you stay warm . Jeans in May  

This is a great point. 

12 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sad

Not looking forward to having to wear jeans tomorrow. Can’t wait until we are ripping 73+ dews. Soon enough 

4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

At end of April, folks were calling for May 2005.  nor'easter after nor'easter and wheel o rhea.

There were a few of us who mentioned we would see a flip to significantly warmer weather (even some heat and humidity) moving into the second half of May

What a stretch this week, called beautifully too back at the end of April. 

2 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Going to be really close based on some of the modelling

HRRR has been all over the place so can probably toss that. Interesting how the 3km NAM at 12z was very similar evolution to the HRRR yesterday. There is good convergence along the shoreline so I would not be surprised if things took off a bit as the front nears

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Kiss of death?

was unsure if they would go with the watch or not. I could certainly see so a bit southwest but might be a stretch for southern CT...although no choice but to throw entire counties under the watch. 

8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Let's go!  Destruction time!

you might be in a good spot in Fairfield. Looks like greatest potential is right along the shoreline. Most of the action though may end up crossing the Sound

2 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Watch coming for Southern CT into NY/NJ? Some cells popping in Central Mass

Watch is out until 9:00 PM

5 minutes ago, Nova737 said:

Am I gonna have to worry about any storms here during the 1-5pm range? Got an appointment I and some errands to run and was hoping I could ride my bike.

you should be good...timing for anything there is after 4-5 PM...probably more towards 5-7

10 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Latest NAM/GFS MOS shows 87-88.  So where do you think the NBM is getting 95 from?  2m temps?  But I checked the HRRR/NAM/GFS/ECMWF, those do not show any higher than 89-90.

The 7z run knocked BDL down to 92 for today but gotta say...the NBM did quite well for yesterday's temps. 

In the case of today, the only thing I can think of is there was a good bit of guidance perhaps slower with the cold front. I want to read more into what changes were made with NBMv5...I briefly did this a few weeks ago and there was mention this version was even more accurate with temperatures. I think the NBM may have a more "accurate" mixing capability versus traditional MOS and also isn't as scaled or tied into climo. 

3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I’ll take that for the next month.  Plus a little rain. 

I’ll take it too…

if the 75-80 are dews

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Will you leave the eastern time zone?

Unfortunately not. 

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

congrats eastern MA

Massachusetts Power Outages

Updated 9m ago

Customers Out70,785

Wow not bad. Just wait until we get a massive derecho to blow across the whole region one day 

Just as long as things get active for my annual first two weeks of June storm chasing 

24 minutes ago, dendrite said:

MHT 97R
CON 96
BOS 96R
BDL 96R
PVD 93R
PWM 92R
ORH 90
BTV 90

Not a record for ORH? What’s the record 

Izzy finally came home