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weatherwiz

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    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    9 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

    4.5" max in Johnson Co. TX ydy.  Enjoy it b/c that will be the last of sig svr in the "Alley" for the next week!  This pattern out there is the equivalent of CoastalWx "THIS BLOWS" for the Northeast, but at least we may get some half-decent tstm activity here w/ so many FROPAs and the mean trough position stuck in the E UFN.
     

    Yeah looks like a quiet period upcoming but some signals things may get a bit more active...probably around the time too many are heading out to the Plains to chase. But def can't sleep on next week, have to see what moisture return is like but that is going to be an anomalously strong jet traversing the deep South again 

    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

    We didn't have ours outdoors (except for a happy hour b/w the wedding and party), but we chose July-we figured that was the best month for dry weather (and it was-had a cold front come through the night before it was 78 and sunny/breezy-perfection!

    I think the worst outdoor event I've endured was my high school graduation. Having to wear a suit under our gown that day and it was in the mid 90's under full sun...the ceremony I think was late afternoon but it was brutal. Thankfully they were very stocked and prepared with waters for everyone. 

    Second would have to be this event which hosted a ton of various sports mascots from around the region. It was when I worked part time with the Town of West Hartford and at the skating rink and our mascot went (and my brother was the mascot and I was the guide). It was in the 90's that day...I felt absolutely horrible for those in the costumes but they had a ton of tents with AC/fans and plenty of water. Some of the costumes even had built in fans. 

    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Layman said:

    Brutal spot for a flat!  That must've sucked.  I was in Boston yesterday trying to get back to the Tobin to head north and some lady was walking along this little 18" width from the white line on the right to the barriers on some super tight section of road.  No idea how she didn't get hit.

    It was awful. All of a sudden I started hearing a noise and said to my girlfriend, "Do I have a flat?" so I pulled over and the tire was toast. It was around 10:00 PM and we had been driving for over 3 hours. Not too mention it was chilly. The guy who came almost seemed hesitant to even want to change the tire, he said a lot of people get killed in that area. 

    That is scary stuff too...I've seen quite a people walking along sides of highways, most because their car broke down but I'd be petrified.  

    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

    Gamble to have an outdoor wedding this time of year-that's for sure.

    Very much so, they're both meteorologists too :lol: 

    But they were willing to take the gamble. Gotta live dangerously sometimes lol

    • Haha 1

    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

    Seeing as you ask haha

    not me.

    Altho, with one stipulation - we don't parlay from week's ending rain into unending relentless Labradorian nut sweat weather that never truly ends until summer begins on August 11th and ends with an early cold snap in early September ruining of summer. 

    2020 did something like that...  ugly year for warm enthusiasts.    No, the worst year was 2000.  I lived in Waltham that summer... man... we put together a lot of 69/62 misty diurnals that year and it just stole the whole fucking go if it -

    Anyway, excluding something like that ... I'd like to grab a basin wide 2-3" soaker that then more ideally moves into days that are pithy warm - not gossamer like depending entirely on sun and nape affect.  

    But we dream ...

    I recall being happy about the prospects last week but I totally forgot about the wedding. Its an outside wedding too I believe so I don't want their ceremony to be ruined from rain. Just hoping its one of those quick ceremonies then we can get to the reception then I can settle in and get the Bruins game loaded on my phone 

    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    Really happy actually this end of the week rain isn't panning out. Have to drive to New Jersey tomorrow evening for another wedding Friday night. I just hope this journey is better than our trip to Long Island two weeks ago. My rear passenger tire decided to go flat on the Long Island Expressway about 10 minutes from our hotel. That was incredibly scary having to stand in this divider area between guardrails where the highway split off waiting for All State to come and change out the tire (I have to invest in a tool to do this myself). 

    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    24 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

    Too much AM convection likely the culprit.  That can be overcome though it conditions are ideal, like April 27, 2011, but so often is mucks up the low-levels,

    Good point. There might not have been that much of a recovery time, despite the evolving environment. 

    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    1 hour ago, vortex95 said:

    Big bust for tors.  PDS tor watch and MEH.  When the PDS watch was issued, it took several hours even to have a single tstm in it!

    I was initially shocked to see the PDS tornado watch, especially given it was south of where the best overlap of ingredients seemed to be and even south of the moderate risk which was for the higher tornado probs. I wonder if the lack of upper-level forcing was a big culprit in this...those situations are always a challenge because too much forcing (or too strong) and you'll have convection developing all over the place making it difficult for convection to become mature enough and utilize the environment fully. Probably should throw in capping too...that EML may have been a bit too strong (coincident with the weaker forcing). This may have been a huge issue even in Missouri...many of those cells were really trying to take off but something was impeding those updrafts from really taking off. 

    May 2026 Obs/Discussion

    in New England

    Posted

    Unfortunately, the prospects for any sustained temperatures above the seasonal average is quite low as we move into the month of May and we may even have to wait fairly deep into May to flip the script. Unseasonably strong late season blocking continues to be a dominant mode within the Arctic domain and Greenland resulting in troughniess and below average heights dominating from the northern Inter-mountain West region across the northern Plains, upper-Midwest, and Northeast. There are some hints on the GFS/Euro we could see this pattern breakdown a bit moving towards mid-May, however, it is very possible that is a bit too optimistic and it is just the weighting of climo towards the end of the run making it appear the pattern will breakdown. 

    Hopefully towards the back end of the month we can introduce some heat, humidity, and severe weather chances. While May is the beginning of severe weather season, that doesn't mean we get flooded with threats right away. Just like how June 1 is the official beginning to the Atlantic hurricane season...we aren't flooded with hurricanes on June 2. Patience, patience, patience. 

    Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

    in New England

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Brian5671 said:

    We can hope high pressure wins out over SE canada-it would be cool but at least we could get some sun.

    Yeah it's not going to be doom and gloom 100% of the time. We'll have our mix of pleasant days and crap day, it's just the crap days may win out. So, we just take the pleasant days we can and hope they happen on the weekend. For the most part its just going to be a bit on the cool side, but with climatological maxes slowly creeping up, even the "cool days" with respect to climo won't be too bad. 

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