weatherwiz

3 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

And MET is going away in Oct.

Thank God. 

IT is unfortunate because its obviously great with CAD scenarios and tends to be better with temperatures along boundaries with extensive clouds and precip but its useless 99% of the time. Oh...should add its also a bit more down to Earth where it will have 93/74 versus the 101/63 the GFS will pull.

Just now, dendrite said:

That would be like my peak gust for the last 20 years here.

Looks like they got 58 mph 6 minutes later 

54 mph at IND and I think that was just from the gust front

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just the whole region blows for anything remotely exciting or extreme 

I've said this before...the extremeness of our weather events is relatively tame. Even winter storms. Sure now and then we get the monster 2-3ft snowstorms but they're really not crippling. Look at the northern/central Plains and upper-Midwest...they will have large stretches of major interstates closed because combination of winds and snow. But infrastructure and density of trees and the issues of tree disease, the impacts for lesser weather extremes can be far greater than elsewhere. 

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s happened about 12 times perfectly for that area this summer 

Where they are geographically it just works out. They tend to end up on the northern periphery of the ridging and also closer to the EML source so a lesser chance to disrupt the integrity of the EML and they can very easily pull up dews well into the 70's. You get temps well into the 80's and 90's with dews into the mid 70's under lapse rates > 7.5-8 C/KM, good shear, and shortwaves moving through the flow and it all comes together. 

Big wind headed to SBN. Can't wait to see the obs

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why can’t we ever get anything remotely similar to that ? We just live in such a boring area of the country .Terrible 

It's just so hard to get everything to align perfectly. You need the ridge to be oriented just the right way, you need to time EML advection with a shortwave/front, you need the llvl flow to transport rich moisture into the region. Everything has to be perfection 

I couldn't imagine what the scenes would be like if something like that ripped through here. I mean it kind of did on 7/15/95 but the Adirondacks took the worst of it...imagine just blowing through populated areas. 

17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

holy shizboom

  

Some serious wind on the south end of Chicago and headed into northern IN. 70-80+ knots ~1500 ft off the ground!!!

What a difference between MAV/MET for tomorrow  

Yup...quite warm and humid will be the consistent theme well into the second half of the month with some days of average to slightly below average temps and low humidity mixed in when fronts go through. Should also remain active with convective chances

19 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

I have to ask...what's the point of standing near the car with the door open?  Are you planning on jumping into the car before the bolt strikes?

Just makes it easier to get inside once you start getting that "bad" feeling 

28 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

No talk of tstm potential today?  HRRR shows discrete supercells in VT early this evening.  0-6 km shear 45-50 kt kt, so there you go.  Small looped hodographs as well. Surprised SPC does not have MRGL across NNE.  It's a decent s/w trof, so no reason why there not should be some svr.  CAPE maxes only around 1500, but that's misleading.  When the deep layer shear is good, that make a big difference, and you don't need honkin' CAPE values for sold storms.

Then a SQLN evolves that sweeps through NH/ME, and then some last min cells psbl for 1-3am far ern MA.

I think @CoastalWx's sullied attitude towards convection is a factor here! 
 

Lower dews may be a bit of a killer today but we certainly could see a few strong storms around 

2 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

And yet how many times do you see ppl come out to walk the dog, jogging, or just causally strolling from the pool from their apartment complex when CGs are near and the thunder is wicked loud?  I know this sounds callous, but they are just asking for it. You'd think thunder that loud would galvanize ppl.  A mere flash I get not doing it, but the sound wave decibel level alone, you''d think that would do it!   Any sudden loud noise typically will make anyone jump.  And I am not talking about the typical thunder rumbles/crashes, you know what I mean -- the ones you are never quite ready for even when you know it's coming! 

Yes, the odds you yourself would get hit are extremely low, but when you give LTG millions of targets daily, that odds become 100% some will be hit.
 

It's interesting for sure. I think alot of it comes down to the mindset many people have of, "it won't happen to me". At least when it comes to lightning, I don't think people truly respect how deadly it can be. Same goes with flooding, most people don't realize how powerful moving water is. It's hard to totally fault people this because the education on this is lacking but it's definitely become better over the years with the awareness provided by local TV mets, NWS, etc. But there needs to be another element to this. It's probably something that should be incorporated into sciences courses beginning at the middle school level - I'm sure it probably is in some districts but how in-depth, not sure. 

At least for myself, I am extremely cautious when I am outside when there is an approaching storm. Even if the storm is a good 15-20 miles away. If I am outside with the camera I am right next to the car door with the door open or if I'm at home I'm very close to the door. I'm pretty mindful of the objects around me and what they are. But all of this of course comes with my knowledge of thunderstorms and lightning. So I am thinking of things that most people don't even realize.

On 8/7/2026 at 11:30 PM, Ginx snewx said:

Bullshit its very very true. Hair sticks up and gives you a tingling feeling, you become a negative 

On 8/8/2026 at 9:04 AM, FXWX said:

Very well documented for decades... 

Wanted to respond to this earlier since it's pretty important lightning safety but it is 100% true. People can be a great source as a connecting leader between the ground and the forming stepped leader with positive charges flowing up the connecting leader (which can be people) and when the stepped leader establishes a connection with a connecting leader...lightning! In fact, because of this the "flash" actually travels from the ground to the cloud but the whole process is so quick we see it was going from the ground to the cloud.

Was reading up about downtown Springfield/Forest Park area...pretty crazy. Forest Park closed until further notice due to storm damage. Was just at the Forest Park Zoo last weekend for Bew at the Zoo. When I parked at the T station, saw the watch was out, and those storms in east-central NY, I knew Springfield would get crushed. Don't think it was bad on my end though...a good 10-15 minutes northeast of that area. 

Knew I’d get whacked at home while at Fenway. I’m like the amazing crescent 

Probably get slammed at home while I’m at Fenway 

Standing g outside under the overhang between house and garage. Starting to get tingles all over from electricity. May have to head in

Convection popping overhead 

The lightning from that Sturbridge storm is nuts. It’s like blue 

Getting lightning in all directions here 

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Dews aren’t the problem .. never below 74 here. We’re losing  forcing and instability. 

Instability is still very high and we’ll maintain the MUCAPE. Forcing is actually increasing a bit with a weak shortwave. I would have to think too this has developed a solid cold pool which should help maintenance of it. We going to get a good light show 

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Maybe Springfield 

I think this keeps going pretty well inland. Have to watch dew recovery 

We keeping it going baby