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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. This looks to occlude pretty quickly...I wonder if that could throw a wrench into some of the ranges for like northern NH and parts of ME
  2. HRRR though does keep the most impressive lift just below the DGZ
  3. should note the HRRR has been extremely consistent. I wish more than just the 4 main times would run to 48 but started monitoring it with 18z run yesterday.
  4. yeah def some sleet involved too...HRRR actually throwing up some 40-50+ dbz echos
  5. ehh I don't know about that. I think it really depends. Certainly from a preparation standpoint getting 8-10'' if only like 2 was forecast presents big problems with if like 8-10'' was forecast and 4-6'' fell...people start crying hype and "oh we didn't get as much as they said we would" "we never do" and blah blah blah
  6. true...I'm sure the 5 people who live there won't know the difference
  7. noooo we've gone like 5+ pages without a model snow map. don't tempt anyone
  8. Kinda sucks this is suck a quick mover. Might be tough to pull more than 10-12'' but if someone can rip 3-4''/hour rates for like 2 hours then it's very doable. But...there look to be some hints that the band could end up pivoting. Like it initially develops east, but then gets shifted west as the dynamical process continues to evolve and as the low pulls away it pivots back over eastern sections.
  9. GFS for ORH. Would be nice that that -40 could tickle the DGZ. Also should note the cobb technique spitting out some solid ratios under the band.
  10. If this doesn't get you in the mood for a white, wet crushing I don't know what does
  11. yeah that's what I'm thinking. maybe even early-to-mid morning for hills
  12. Nuts...you have an 80+ knot LLJ streak throwing copious moisture back into the CCB where 850 temps start crashing to around -5C
  13. during the height of it under the heaviest part of the band...that's is lift into the DGZ is maximized.
  14. I was thinking ratios maybe 12:1 - 13:1 if you can maximize the lift into the DGZ
  15. Widespread power issues are certainly a possibility here...thankfully trees are bare so not sure this will be as bad as say 2011 but this aspect should be addressed. Right when this band materializes places will flip from RA to +SN probably in the matter of 10-15 minutes.
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