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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    HRRR pretty nasty looking for tomorrow...actually favoring southern CT. If we get that much 3km CAPE with that shear...yikes Also need to watch overnight and southern sections depending on track of Elsa. Going to be a pretty wild day tomorrow I think
  2. weatherwiz
    I wouldn't mind a badge for that
  3. weatherwiz
    Today has played out perfectly! Figured the 3km NAM was right with the initial round with the HRRR being right with the second round.
  4. weatherwiz
    Had to be texting and driving
  5. weatherwiz
    What an idiot how do you not see a giant tree down https://twitter.com/newsycaitlin/status/1412904358669426688?s=21
  6. weatherwiz
    CG’s going on and there’s a soccer game going on
  7. weatherwiz
    Positioned myself just south of Windsor or southern side of Windsor
  8. weatherwiz
    I knew it was hailing when a piece hit me in the forehead
  9. weatherwiz
    Pretty decent wind signature too
  10. weatherwiz
    Round 2 incoming!!!
  11. weatherwiz
    Wow not a bad estimate
  12. weatherwiz
    At BDL
  13. weatherwiz
    Estimating 65-70 mph winds. Wonder what BDL got
  14. weatherwiz
    ONFG!!!!!! Hail damaging winds!!!!
  15. weatherwiz
  16. weatherwiz
    Holy shit!!!
  17. weatherwiz
    BDL!!!
  18. weatherwiz
    Leaving Branford and going to meet my friend in Enfield
  19. weatherwiz
    The difference between the GFS/NAM tomorrow in some of these Northeast locations is insane...typically the NAM tends to overdo the clouds but the NAM is HOT in the warm sector...also noting it does have NBM support. Anyways...if the NAM is correct tomorrow with alot of its output there is going to be a quite a bit of severe weather with at least a few tornadoes tomorrow. Does this extend much into SNE...I'm not sure but I definitely would watch into SW CT.
  20. weatherwiz
    Remains fairly unstable aloft through the night so I would anticipate we see showers and thunderstorms (elevated) through the overnight.
  21. weatherwiz
    We've also mixed out dews some which is hurting the building of MLCAPE. Actually looks like there is a pocket of some lower dewpoint air in the llvls but looks like we do increase slightly later this afternoon. Also appears that there is a very diffuse boundary very near the CT/MA border. Maybe we do see two rounds of action today...one in a very small corridor from MA Pike to CT/MA border and then a second round later moving SW to NE across CT.
  22. weatherwiz
    mid-level lapse rates are a little poopy right now but should steepen somewhat over the next several hours and MLCAPE should jump
  23. weatherwiz
    Have to assess that radar further but it's possible that could have been a gustnado
  24. weatherwiz
    I'm wagering between 6-8 and then need to watch again later on for another round
  25. weatherwiz
    I am starting to lean in the direction of tossing the HRRR although not completely...yet. The "not completely yet" is due to the fact that it's been rather consistent in the 6/7-11 PM timeframe with rapid development across SW CT and moving NE. It has been very inconsistent though what happens late afternoon. Big differences too between 3km NAM/HRRR. I'm not a huge 3km NAM fan but I am inclined to believe it may have the best handle on how later today evolves.
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