weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Just north of Hatfield!
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Might go into South Hadley
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At Golyoke mall. Saw a super interesting lowering north getting off highway. Looked like tail cloud or wall cloud. Of course it’s obstructed by trees now
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yeah that's what I'm thinking
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Pretty impressive DCAPE values and bulk shear...even well into CT. I would just like to see some greater 3KM CAPE
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because the watch went up
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The best shot probably say south of the CT/MA border is to get a solid line organizing dropping through MA and then interacting with any leftover boundaries from yesterday. The HRRR looks like crap but it's been quite inconsistent and given how it's handling the atmosphere I think we toss the HRRR
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well I think it's safe to say dewpoints aren't mixing out and in fact looks like we may have some pooling occurring
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Could be some boundary enhancement out that way
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Could be some interesting cells tomorrow. I think I saw Tip make mention but this is a setup where you can get brief low LCL spinups. Any localized pockets of heating tomorrow will make things intriguing. I could actually see enhanced risk in parts of NJ into SE NY/Fairfield County
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HRRR/GFS pretty bullish on dewpoints mixing out. That does make sense when you consider the fact that sfc winds may have a more westerly component, however, llvl moisture is pretty rich with pretty high theta-e air. Based on the setup I would expect dewpoint pooling. I don't think we'll see dewpoints as high as the NAM is advertising (maybe over a small area) but they should remain in the 70-73F. I'd be stunned if they dropped into the 60's
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The HRRR is mixing out dewpoints. Don't really see that happening given 850 dews that are like +14C
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Actually speaking of spiders I've hardly seen any thus far inside my house yet. There's a huge daddy long-leg that's kinda parked near my bed but those don't really scare me. They just sit and chill in the same spot until they die. As long as they don't come near me I'm good. It's these stupid Wolf and fishing spiders I had last year I'm kinda scared about.
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It didn't really handle yesterday well. Given what transpired yesterday (lots of leftover boundaries) and plenty of heating/moisture with increasing shear aloft and weak pressure trough moving through just after prime heating I would think today's is a pretty active day.
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yeah the plan is to probably go into MA. Maybe around Springfield.
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Yes!
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STAY ON TOPIC
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There were more damaging wind reports outside of the marginal area then there were inside (Not a knock on SPC...just funny how that works sometimes)
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Dallas?
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Yes but there may be some local enhanced tornado potential in a few areas tomorrow
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No derecho but may see a concentrated area of numerous damage reports
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It’s a downed tree limb lol
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No tree left standing tomorrow
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I actually think there is potential for a tornado around BOS. P
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Friends house in Chestnut Hill
