weatherwiz

Ryan Maue's page has that as well. His page also has Euro data at 1-HR intervals...does WxBell?

I hope that southeast ridge isn't a major factor this winter...or at least it positions itself farther east. Could be a long fall too in terms of fire danger in the west.

ahhh that explains a lot. I think I may go ahead and explore weather.us. Ryan Maue's site is alright (was great when it first happened) but there really have not been any additions or improvements (from what I've seen anyways). I should just use wxbell though...have a subscription from school.

I must be confusing weathermodels.com and weather.us I have the $10/month subscription for weathermodels.com. Is weather.us better?

For $10/month subscription you really can't go wrong. I wish it was a bit better to navigate as well and the maps were a bit better and some more products but it's certainly worth the buy I think.

hmmm think I need to start up another low topped convective thread for end of next week

Euro could be a pretty decent severe wx outbreak next week too from southern OH Valley to Gulf Coast. ughhhh why can't we ever get in on these

wait...I think I got it now. Referencing the affair between Seguin and Horton's wife?

Was it? I thought that was Seguin...he sent some tweet out thanking people for reaching out to him. Maybe both their homes were destroyed.

Tyler Seguin's house he had just sold or was in the process of selling was destroyed during the tornado Sunday

I totally see the point about the cooler air quickly undercutting activity tomorrow, but there is a window...albeit brief where there is an impressive overlap of parameters. Even looks like some 350K theta-e air poking into the area. Lapse rates may not be much but that could yield some pretty decent MLCAPE values

I think tornado potential is being downplayed a bit in south-central TX tomorrow...especially just N and W of Austin.

Typically hot tubs don't lead to sinking motion

Let's expand that and look at that subsidence this afternoon. Sinking motion to rising motion like BOOM

Fun at Colorado springs tonight!!!

WOWZERS

^^^^^ Pretty much this. The past few years have been annoying with brutal cold into May. I'd rather just deal with it now and get it over with.

If things can work in our favor I could see a shot at accumulating snow in early November. I actually wouldn't mind a front loaded winter and get all our snow through January and then warm up in February and get an early spring

Great point...did not consider that. Woah...the NAM is hinting at several inches of snow for parts of the TX Panhandle tomorrow night.

SWEET!!!

Was there any lightning last night or this AM?

Here's a question...this is EPS 6-10 day mean. See how that ridge is oriented in the GoA...how it extends into AK from like a SSW to a NNE orientation? (Excuse my drawing, but if that ridge was configured more south to north and positioned slightly differently, would the result of the central US trough be farther east with the east ridging now into the Atlantic...but how would that pool of below-average heights (assuming that's the Azores high_ behave? Also, does this Azores high play any significance to how the pattern is configured across the east? When the NAO is positive this feature is always going to be weaker than average (showing up as below-average heights)...I feel like anytime you have a trough centered in the central U.S. and you have these below-average heights with the Azores high, the response in the middle has to be a ridge.

Didn't realize it's available...though guessing experimental https://www.weather.gov/mdl/nbm_text

The HRRR seems to have tremendous potential. the extended runs of the HRRR have seemed to do a pretty decent job...though that's just observation...could be completely wrong and quickly shot down via the scores.