I wouldn’t be fretting about temperatures this far out. If we end up with more clouds/precip the most extreme of the cool anomalies will verify, if we end up with less precip and sneak in sun then we end up probably within a few degrees of average (solely talking daytime temps here)
From the temperature profile (which this is also apparent by how poor the 700-500 lapse rates are) convection would really struggle in that environment. The llvl turning is nice but not a ton of speed shear there in the lowest 3km or really through the column...winds aren't really increasing with height. Could see some gusty winds in that environment with the dewpoint depression/inverted-v look
Yeah this is more central/northern New England today. Best forcing too late for southern areas. Those mlvl lapse rates hang on a few more hours today and there could be some nasty storms up north.
Correct, discrete cells is where you can get violent, long tracked tornadoes in these setups. Those cells are in a prime environment. Going to be an ugly few hours
I couldn't imagine being in any of those buildings on the higher floors and seeing that. I think I would literally start jumping floors and not even running down the stairs
Perfect, that was an option I was debating too. Ultimately, I'm not looking to get crazy or too much into the weeds with precipitation, just want to focus on "where it's wet" and "where its dry"