weatherwiz

I'm sure we will spit out some good CAPE numbers tomorrow...SBCAPE anyways. Lift to me tomorrow looks pretty subpar and actually even some hints at some subsidence behind the passage of the morning s/w with the warm front lifting north. We will certainly see some sorts tomorrow but aerial coverage should be pretty limited and what does form could certainty produce some localized damaging wind gusts.

I don't use MS Paint anymore. For social media I just use this app called You doodle and write stuff on there with a pen and draw stuff

How did you make such a cute drawing with those nearly perfect arrows and fronts?

at some point this month we'll be dealing with wildfire smoke aloft

No forcing tomorrow, weakening shear, pretty neutral heights...meh

meh

damn...so much for storms tomorrow. Looks like crap. Maybe even only isolated and probably well west

well at least we have a few chances this week. Maybe later on when the cold front approaches

Looks like severe threat stays southwest of CT...down into SE PA/NJ/NYC area

Potential is absolutely there but cloud cover could be an issue...going to be tons of convective debris around.

Isn't it pretty crazy lol. When I was looking at this week Friday I saw the 594+ heights building West from the Atlantic and was expecting maybe we would be looking at a week characterized by temperatures in the 93-97 range...but alas not the case. Just so much going on in the lower atmosphere. I think the situation would be different though if these 594+ heights were building in from the West or Southwest...then we would probably get the 20-22C+ 850 air in here. They have like one sentence on it and it says localized damaging wind gusts

Looks like 18z runs keep the sfc warm front pretty far SW

yeah SW CT looks to be in a pretty favorable area for a good overlap of shear/cape.

decent severe potential tomorrow

I have come across that sounding before!! That is like something a severe weenie would dream of lol. Storm tops would probably punch well into the mesosphere

Hoping for another nice light show

I am familiar with the fact they get real nasty severe weather(they get crazy EML's) but I have never really looked into it such as videos, setups, etc. I'll take a look!

Looks like DSM reported hail

Sometimes I'm a little shocked you never hear stories in the news of people getting seriously hurt or even killed by hail (maybe there are but I just never come across them). But winds that strong blowing those hail stones...can't even imagine. Ive been pelted with 1'' hail before and that hurts

crazy how quickly things dry too...a hour or two after it stopped raining...roads and parking lots dry. You could look outside now and wouldn't even know it rained.

completely agreed...when you start seeing glaring signals and those signals remain consistent it kinda starts to open eyes. You look at SST's off the coast (and correlate that to SSTA's) and things are beginning to cook.

I've been thinking about that quite a bit...especially considering how strong the Bermuda high has been off the coast and also its proximity to the U.S. Given here there is really no signs of the strong ridging in the West breaking these reloading troughs in the Great Lakes will continue

Woah never seen this wording before

Gotta say...this was pretty damn well forecast. Obviously the exact details had to be ironed out as we got closer but I remember last Friday the look on the models gave pretty good confidence we were going to be impacted.