weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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Maybe we can at least get the trough to position itself to favor cold pool setups for us
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Haven't had good COC in a while!
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Extrapolating!!!
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Is this really true?
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Be fun to see how this changes after yesterday/today
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We wouldn't have been able to make it out anyways
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There is nothing like a surprise
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The GFS has like no CAPE through May 20th. This is pathetic
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At least on the GFS...Saturday looks downright miserable
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Forecasting temperatures >3-5 days out this time of year here is such a crap shoot. I feel bad for those on TV where they do 10-day forecasts. I know that's what people want since people are always looking ahead but you're just setting yourself up for failure and embarrassment. This week is a great example...especially here in CT. The consensus was for the front to stall so close by that parts of SW CT could have been into the 70's while NE CT 50's. HTF do you portray this on a 1-day temp graphic?
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Looks like maybe we can get some cold pool setups moving through the next few weeks. The second most fun setups behind EML's
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Happy Birthday @dendrite!! I'm going on train trip to Chicago Monday, June 14 and coming back Wednesday night. Hopefully they get a derecho!!!
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Patterns where we flip very quickly tend to come with increased severe potential
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maybe up there
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Pattern trying so hard to shoot EML's out way. Let's get slapped with EML's
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Correct!!
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That is actually not true…at all. There have been more bigger severe weather events in May then snow. And even if you count snow showers or rain/snow mixes…severe still outweighs
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All the snow talk…it needs to go. It’s May alright…we’re into climatology severe season. This means that historically we have better chances for severe weather than snow. Ok…so it might snow at 2K…big fooking deal. It’s snow in the mountains of Hawaii. When there is a snow threat in valleys or down to the coast in May…then we can talk. It’s severe weather now. He many big snow events we’ve had in May? How many severe weather? Severe weather > Snow in May. ITS SEVERE SEASON DAMNIT
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If a tree falls down in the forest and nobody’s around to hear it, did it really fall?
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congrats!!!
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DC about to get smacked with winds
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that flows with the wind
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Pretty intrigued with severe weather potential across southeast PA Tuesday. Looks like another EML plume may move overhead with the warm front lifting just north of the area yielding a very warm/moist and unstable airmass. Pretty decent shear aloft with shortwave energy approaching. May even be pretty close to triple point...you throw that in with EML air, decent shear, and warm/moist/unstable airmass...could be favorable for some supercells.
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I think the biggest killer for us is it appears the front at the beginning of the week gets hung up nearby and multiple waves of low pressure develop along it...going to be tough to push the warm front north with that. This is why I'm heavily interested in SE PA...EML plume with PVA, warm sector, and triple point location...all the makings for some nasty supercells.
