weatherwiz

There's nothing to really discuss lol. Not much in the way of forcing today. Localized boundaries/orographic effects will contribute to isolated to widely scattered stuff...with exception of southern VT into NH

meh

With real severe wx

Could get pretty active with MCS potential during the second half of the month. Only thing we're missing which could result in some bigger severe threats is an EML. All the stupid EML plumes just get compromised as they move across the upper-Midwest (per the GFS anyways). Might just be missing a bit more of a trough signal at H7 across the PAC NW area

Some of the hi-res stuff pretty aggressive from western to central Mass later on. Some nice backing of the winds too in the llvls.

wat about trout?

does wildfire smoke screw up EML's? I wonder

Also might be one of the tiniest slight risks I've ever seen

My biggest fear. When I am at places watching storms come in (airport, golf course, open field) I am super conscious of the lightning. I usually stay quite close to my car and as soon as I either start seeing an increase in CG's or CG's get a bit closer I get inside the car. I remember one time (don't remember the year maybe like early 2010's) we had a severe thunderstorm move through West Hartford and my brother and I went on a walk to look for damage. We had waited until the storm well quite a distance away. All of a sudden we saw this insanely close CG which looked to hit something and we both freaked and just ran onto someone's porch for cover lol.

True...I did get a 3 star Charmander

TERRIBLE. Went to go on a Poke walk since I hatched an egg walking to the mailbox and I equipped another egg which needs 12km distance to hatch. Well I completed a special research set and the next set popped up...one of the tasks is to hatch 3 eggs...I JUST EQUIPT a 12-km egg...that could take multiple days of walking to complete (especially with this weather). I guess I could by a multiple incubator thing. But as soon as I start my walk...drizzle...then the drizzle became heavier...my hair got wet glasses got wet, phone got wet which made it hard to spin the balls, my shirt got wet, and my pants. Absolutely freaking awful. Then this weekend is going to be trash. THIS IS JULY NOT NOVEMBER

I'm sure we will spit out some good CAPE numbers tomorrow...SBCAPE anyways. Lift to me tomorrow looks pretty subpar and actually even some hints at some subsidence behind the passage of the morning s/w with the warm front lifting north. We will certainly see some sorts tomorrow but aerial coverage should be pretty limited and what does form could certainty produce some localized damaging wind gusts.

I don't use MS Paint anymore. For social media I just use this app called You doodle and write stuff on there with a pen and draw stuff

How did you make such a cute drawing with those nearly perfect arrows and fronts?

at some point this month we'll be dealing with wildfire smoke aloft

No forcing tomorrow, weakening shear, pretty neutral heights...meh

meh

damn...so much for storms tomorrow. Looks like crap. Maybe even only isolated and probably well west

well at least we have a few chances this week. Maybe later on when the cold front approaches

Looks like severe threat stays southwest of CT...down into SE PA/NJ/NYC area

Potential is absolutely there but cloud cover could be an issue...going to be tons of convective debris around.

Isn't it pretty crazy lol. When I was looking at this week Friday I saw the 594+ heights building West from the Atlantic and was expecting maybe we would be looking at a week characterized by temperatures in the 93-97 range...but alas not the case. Just so much going on in the lower atmosphere. I think the situation would be different though if these 594+ heights were building in from the West or Southwest...then we would probably get the 20-22C+ 850 air in here. They have like one sentence on it and it says localized damaging wind gusts

Looks like 18z runs keep the sfc warm front pretty far SW

yeah SW CT looks to be in a pretty favorable area for a good overlap of shear/cape.

decent severe potential tomorrow