weatherwiz
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Everything posted by weatherwiz
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We're really in a crap spot with this system. Removed from the better dynamics and forcing and like you said...just too much junk around. A bit intrigued with tonight though with the strengthening LLJ and a little plume of steep lapse rates. IMO for tomorrow though, the marginal risk should be removed or even shifted much farther west. Looks like a warm bubble aloft and forcing seems quite weak tomorrow.
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Always down for one of those.
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yup... but tonight though could be pretty interesting. Could see some nasty storms if that cluster verifies tonight.
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Looks like we may have some capping issues tomorrow
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Pretty much Unless you're lucky enough to be one of the hits and not misses
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The HRRR does have a cluster moving SW to NE across the region overnight. Could be some truth to that. Nose of nocturnal increase of the LLJ and a bit of a theta-e ridge over the region.
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Majority of activity is going to be to our west and southwest, but we'll see hit-and-miss storms around today. Flash flooding could be a bit of an issue given weak shear and slow movement of storms. Strongest storms could produce some localized damaging wind gusts. Could see some nasty stuff down across SE PA/NJ/DE later on.
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HRRR not impressed with tomorrow. Has a batch of early action center/northern sections and nothing south. Keeps everything west.
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Going to happen Tuesday too…except they be rotating
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I hate the casino
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Noticing a bunch of mushrooms going in the yard. @Ginx snewxare they poisonous for dogs?
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@dendrite may be playing Twister with the chickens Tuesday and I don't mean the Twister with the mat
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I miss West Hartford
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Going to have to watch central New England Tuesday perhaps
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Lift is rather weak and mostly just southwest
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Finally got our marginal risk for tomorrow
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I kinda figured it was still there From the original image it looked like it was colder than average (should have zoomed in)
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Pretty crazy how much above-average the waters are in the northern Atlantic. Also what's going on with the Gulf Stream
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Which has eroded quickly
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TCU’s playing peek-a-boo with the low cloud deck
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It's a deluge now
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Cute little downpour here
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key here may be triple point. Also may have a plume of steeper lapse rates. Best overall potential may be just to our southwest but if we can get some rich theta-e into parts of the region we'll have something to watch for.
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Getting intrigued for severe Monday night and even Tuesday. May start a thread in a bit!!
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Humidity makes things special. I think something like 96/48 sucks. All you feel is heat. But when you add in high dews it becomes special. I welcome the uncomfortable. I like to slowly take off my sweat soaked jeans as if I was peeling a banana. The sound is quite soothing.
