weatherwiz

Pretty sure I saw the top of that. Should have taken a picture.

Went to go spin a Pokestop and happened to look around and see cute, sexy, crisp TCU blossoming all around. Storms starting to pop!!

Low dews suck

Must be evaporation from all the water you used to wash the truck

I was around haha...I was 6 that summer. I'm not sure if I have a memory of that day or not. I remember 5/29/95 (I was at my sisters in West Hartford and the news was talking about it) and 7/15/95 (I woke up around 6 AM b/c I wasn't feeling well so I turned on TWC, but there was no weather and when my mom woke up I asked her...turned out the stations had been changed and when she found TWC the first thing I saw was the massive derecho on radar), but I am not sure about that June event (was it the 26th?). I have a memory of one time watching the local news and them talking about this big storm but I don't know if it was that day or another time.

I was initially thinking a few days back that we would see slow movers and perhaps poor drainage threat, but the movement of storms will be aided by the advancement of the front. Pretty crazy (it seems) to get such strong moisture advection and convergence from the north.

Thinking we should see scattered thunderstorms pop mid-to-late afternoon. Shear is pretty bad so not expecting anything severe, but lapse rates aren't too terrible and the NAM at least is pretty robust with elevated instability. Maybe there could be some small hail if any cores can become deep enough. Gusty winds probably as cores collapse.

Keeping hopes up (or praying I guess) we can muster up some cold pool low topped hailers next week

BOS Tomorrow MAV: 76 MET: 65 NBM: 83

Agreed, I don't think you'll see QPF as widespread as ensembles had or even what globals had. Most of the precipitation is likely to be more convective in nature, however, depending on the exact evolution of things there could be a narrow band/swath of heavier rain or maybe even some upslope induced rains.

70 does seem a bit much for this region. Seems like that would be more likely within the inter-mountain West or within the Great Plains.

hmmm not sure what GFS MOS is smoking. GFS bufkit supports 90 or low 90's at BDL

Wow rare time where MET > MAV. FWIW NBM is 93

It's the 6z HRRR (although lots of support from mesos and globals) but it's pretty robust with development tomorrow (robust in terms of aerial coverage).

Shear and lapse rates blow but could see some slow moving pulsers and gusty winds as cores collapse

I wonder if we can get some cold pool hailers next week

Probably should move that to the June thread and kiss the May thread good-bye.

Closed off system up through 250mb. This is ugly for early June for sure. Even if we start with some sun Sunday or Monday its super cold aloft...clouds will develop quickly. I think those QPF charts are a bit overstated in terms of being widespread, but there should be a narrow axis of high QPF totals. Maybe two different axes with one in upslope favored areas.

Is that 71 over someone's pool?

I know that Iowa State has those charts where you can see how MOS has performed but does anybody know of anything that does both MOS and NBM? The differences between MOS and NBM can be beyond laughable. EDIT: NBM was added into the ISU histrograms!

It was super well forecast. The Friday prior (05.29) we had a strong cold front come through which also produced severe weather. The cold front then stalled to our south. That Sunday morning, it lifted north as a warm front bringing rain and thunderstorms during the morning (I even think there was some severe with this). I want to say by 10...11 the latest we were all out sun and the temps and dews skyrocketed. I obviously didn't know what an EML was at the time (never encountered that until I joined the boards) but we had an EML overhead. I remember them talking about potential tornadoes on the news/radio/weather channel the Saturday before. You almost never heard the word tornado used up this way in forecasts lol.

NBM with 92 for BDL tomorrow!!

It's been a consideration

To a crisp

Hopefully not a bad wildfire summer in the US. With all these fires going on everywhere the ozone layer is going to get depleted and we'll have to live underground as we will be attacked by UVA rays and turn to lobsters