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weatherwiz

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by weatherwiz

  1. weatherwiz
    We'll see what happens. There is a pretty stout cap around 500mb. Convection may have a tough time
  2. weatherwiz
    Casino is like 10 min away. I'm not sure if the rooftop is open though. Tried going there last summer and it was closed.
  3. weatherwiz
    Springfield (northeast side closer to Wilbraham). I'm also debating on looking to head east towards Brimfield or maybe Monson.
  4. weatherwiz
    That cell may head my way. I really wish I knew of some great viewing areas here that were elevated and looked west.
  5. weatherwiz
    I think that area is going to get nailed later. That's where I think you'll see a concentrated area of wind damage
  6. weatherwiz
    My one worry for CT is the better shear is lifting north of the state. The instability is certainly great and dynamics are still certainly good, but with the poor lapse rates I would like to see 0-6km shear more in the 40 knot range and bulk shear 40-45 knots. Those values are certainly enough for storm organization, but a bit more would help with stronger updrafts
  7. weatherwiz
    Saturday has crappy lapse rates but actually may hold a bit more potential then today. Shortwave doesn't seem to be de-amplifying like today and there are stronger height falls.
  8. weatherwiz
    Also the BEST directional shear is beginning to lift farther north and east as the warm front moves through.
  9. weatherwiz
    We may be able to avoid that since the overall forcing isn't terribly strong.
  10. weatherwiz
    I think it's down because the watch has been issued.
  11. weatherwiz
    I wonder if storm mode was a big driver in SVR vs. TOR
  12. weatherwiz
    Maybe someone growing corn there
  13. weatherwiz
    Sun starting to break through here over the last 5 min or so. It's like the movies or shows where people talk to the heavens and God sends down light
  14. weatherwiz
    agreed
  15. weatherwiz
    I think we'll see a small, but concentrated area of wind damage. CAMs have been pretty consistent in getting a line going and has been hitting northeast MA.
  16. weatherwiz
    There is plenty of sun...it's just being blocked by clouds
  17. weatherwiz
    The overall extent of this is certainly going to be held back by the extensive cloud cover and poor mid-level lapse rates. With this said, they'll still be numerous thunderstorms today and a few very potent ones.
  18. weatherwiz
    Be curious to see if its a Tornado Watch. Might be a consideration since its purple
  19. weatherwiz
    Don't see SIG TOR get above 1 here too often
  20. weatherwiz
    Lapse rates suck which will hold back potential. Decent CAPE with strong shear so they’ll be some nasty storms about. At doctor now. Hopefully I can get out and chase after but depends how early things fire up.
  21. weatherwiz
    I 100% agree on this and it’s something I have thought of too. We have had multiple solid Convective events where we got warmer and more humid behind the system.
  22. weatherwiz
    It’s all about expectations. Being on this forum, I think we all want, expect, and anticipate any type of weather event is going to be high end. This seems to be especially true with thunderstorms. Everyone seems to expect whenever there is a mention for thunderstorms or strong thunderstorms it means widespread damage.
  23. weatherwiz
    It is but it also depends on what the definition of "big is". It's very difficult to get higher end severe weather (winds > 60 knots, hail > 2'' in diameter, EF2+ tornadoes) without an EML. We can get widespread severe weather (though many would argue most of the reports are just weak/damaged trees) without an EML.
  24. weatherwiz
    Similar setup Saturday too.
  25. weatherwiz
    I wonder if it follows the instability gradient and ends up progressing into areas not within the Outlook
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