weatherwiz

Thanks!! I feel like I had this site bookmarked at one point but probably lost it when something happened with my bookmarks. Curious if they will roll over to ERSSTv6 at some point

Wow, I totally missed that. I'll have to read some more into it. I wonder if this CORe is just a more improved dataset?

what site can you pull that from? Are you able to choose our own climatology periods or does it provide a list? I've used this https://psl.noaa.gov/data/atmoswrit/map/ You can create your own climatology period by subtracting from dataset two and using the years to subtract. I really like this because say I wanted to look at 1974...it's nice to see how 1974 compared to the 1941-1970 climo instead of just to the current climo (and even better because you can do both and see where the greatest changes have occurred)

was going to try and create a composite comparing March to 1971-2000, 1981-2010, and 1991-2020 climo but March 2026 not available yet on the reanalysis page. Also just found out that NCEP/NCAR R1 is being discontinued

These days I think are extremely underrated from a scientific aspect. There is something about watching the temps just absolutely sky rocket once mixing gets cranking. It's even more fun when you're in the sun because you can feel the science doing its thing. Love it

Still looks like we're largely under the influence of high pressure on Sunday though...looks pretty dry. We increase mid-level moisture/clouds through the day. Perhaps some showers late in the day or moreso overnight but I hear soggy and I think rain most of the day

Not a bad day today. At least it will be nice going into Hartford to see the shitty Wolf Pack play. Only reason I was going to go tonight was see Hagens play. Now I'm going to be stuck watching the awful Wolf Pack.

where are they getting "soggy" for on Sunday?

Totally went over my head. But with that yup...imagine having that assistance then.

I might be off on the time period actually. I had thought there were some significant tropical waves in that region which led to multiple significant tropical systems (where parts of Australia was hit multiple times) but I think that was actually more late January or something.

wasn't there a (or multiple) significant tropical systems in that part of the hemisphere around that time?

Dried mud

Wow. Guess just pretty lucky here. But lots of areas probably dry up quite a bit over the next few days.

Remember when everyone was worried about mud lol. Might be the most overrated worry come spring time. Its literally muddy for like 3 days and that's it. Unless you live in a field of dirt

Yeah the strength of the few WWBs we've seen this early is pretty noteworthy. If we maintain surges of WWB moving into the summer we are goin to see EL Nino become established rather quickly

The only thing I can see is GWDLT

Certainly can't rule that out this early in the season

I agree with that, however, I think what we'd have to watch for is cloud cover from upstream precipitation/convection...though perhaps shear vectors favor us avoiding this mess.

Wednesday could be socked in with clouds, though could be some potential to get some breaks in

What a beautiful blue sky today. Have seen several high planes/jet contrails traversing the skies today.

Not a heck of alot of lift around but maybe a chance for a few strong storms Tuesday north and west...been a pretty decent signal for a few days. maybe some sort of weak pre-frontal trough around?

this sums up todays thread

Pretty gusty with this squall. Seems to be mostly rain but with some graupel mixed in

Potential is definitely there for that to happen.

Probably can't rule out some snow showers just behind the front but the front is looking pretty weak and not much in the way of colder air with that. This may very well be the final snow for just about everyone except up north.