Ralph Wiggum

So a normal winter lol

ICON seems OK. Poor Mid A crew tho

Don't buy into the hype. That's why I went avg to below avg this season...not all the analogs were super.

Agreed, but the VV max is nudging N. 18 hrs ago they were the bullseye. Still could be, maybe just some late windshield wiper effect happening.

Really can't complain about this winter considering we are in a Nino. We are near avg snowfall to date and have had like 8 separate little events so far. I'm at a C+ grade currently, let's see what happens tonight.

12k nam

Feel bad for the Mid Atl crew. Another one maybe slipping away from them.

Hrdps

6z gfs was nice has the band setup for a S PA jackpot

Mint?

Looks like some squalls during the day Saturday. Pattern change has been anything but dull.

Ditto. That might be the ultimate jinx to start one then delete it?

30F in Telford...still full snow cover here. Home in Warminster just patchy areas remain.

Groundhog > Weeklies/Ens ?

Before I went on my rant in early Feb then subsequently took some time away, I noted in the Philly forum to tread lightly with the weeklies and the epic looks. Of course I got booed off the forum even suggesting that. But in all seriousness I will reiterate what I did at that time. Many of these extended products are heavily weighted on past analogs when there are rolled out. So if a group of indices like the QBO, PDO, enso etc match a particular year (let's use 2010 as an example because this year had many similar key features), then the weeklies would tend to spit out something similar that transpired during those analog years. Not saying this is sole reason we got the head fake, but partly is due to this, of that I have no doubt. Many of us actually discussed this in the past and there is truth to the algorithms involved in creating an extended product. Now could I tell you which specific products use more of the analog data? No, I dont have that I fo, but maybe a red tagger would?

Magnolia mauler?

I'm pulling for mid 90s next January. At least.

Was just talking about this with someone. They noticed the past few years the sun's rays have felt hotter. I noted that I also sensed that. Wonder if there is something to this?

CMC was damn close to a MECS at the end of the run.

Yep, took me a while. 309N shut down. Eyeballing looks like 6-6.5 in telford.

Just hit 4" snow accumulation in Warminster. 32F

Puking snow now. Highest rates in quite a while. Closing in on 2"

Snowing sideways moderate+ here. Wind is starring to rip. Inflatable snowman living his best life in the yard. 31F

We r in the line of fire. Heaviest band setting up pretty much over us maybe a hair N if you do a loop and look at the axis starting to pivot and deform band beginning to form.

Mashed potatoes raining down from the sky. 32F