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Ralph Wiggum

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Everything posted by Ralph Wiggum

  1. Ralph Wiggum
    Rain and 33 in Ivyland.
  2. Ralph Wiggum
    That AI model has performed atrociously wrt frozen vs non frozen precip fwiw
  3. Ralph Wiggum
    Nice burst of light snow here with some stickage. First measurable snow of the season. Aaaaand we're off and running
  4. Ralph Wiggum
    Rain and wet flakes here in Ivyland 34F
  5. Ralph Wiggum
    If things play out right, after this 2-week stretch with a couple chances embedded, probably gunning for 60s as the holidays approach.
  6. Ralph Wiggum
    While y'all are discussing an early season slop to cold rain situation, I happened across this today while setting up the Christmas inflatables. Early spring?
  7. Ralph Wiggum
    Gotta admire the CMC. Giving us all snow entire event even down to SE PA.
  8. Ralph Wiggum
    By "Old School" do you mean 8 months ago?
  9. Ralph Wiggum
    Said essentially the same last night, tho not as eloquently worded as you. Another 2 weeks would be a little bit better for climo. But like you said, antecedent airmass (which also ties in with climo timing) just isnt good here for the lowlands. But....this cant be a bad signal getting chances in the first week of December. Might be a season with ample tracking situations. Happy Thanksgiving !
  10. Ralph Wiggum
    Happy Thanksgiving to you turkeys! Early week systems looks meh for I95/fall line south and east. Maybe a brief start as frozen along that demarcation points SE. N and W should see their first accumulating snow and mixing event. Few more weeks for climo to favor areas SE of the city.
  11. Ralph Wiggum
    Now we have an amped up ~990mb tight to the coast. Preferred the weaker strung out wave we had been seeing tbh. That strength and track is going to torch BL for those areas right near the fall line. Congrats interior tho.
  12. Ralph Wiggum
    Still feel fall line s and e will have to wait for theirs. One gfs run doesn't change my thoughts.
  13. Ralph Wiggum
    Even with a demamp'd storm, notice how 'warm' it is. The writing is on the wall with this one. Flat flow we walk the tightrope, amped up it pumps in too much warmth. Fall line and east are toast. On to the Dec 6 system.
  14. Ralph Wiggum
    Its still too early in the season. We need a thread the needle this time of year which likely doesn't happen with this system.
  15. Ralph Wiggum
    All hail, the King! Welcome my liege!
  16. Ralph Wiggum
    Well that escalated quickly. Only ~5.5 days out for start of precip:
  17. Ralph Wiggum
    Who is creating a thread?
  18. Ralph Wiggum
    I very rarely bet against the Birds, but if the odds are screaming against them, I will. Let's just say, I too am enjoying my evening much better now.
  19. Ralph Wiggum
    Urging caution when going out beyond 180hrs in a Nina. But alas, majority here are already aware of this.
  20. Ralph Wiggum
    Welcome to Nina December reality.
  21. Ralph Wiggum
    I realize you are propagating out past this, but looking at the raw data presented here, I'll be damned if the Southwest US oriented trof doesn't seem like a recurring background state past several years.
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    This feels like Groundhogs Day.
  23. Ralph Wiggum
    Yep. 65F Christmas week is how we usually roll in Ninas round these here parts
  24. Ralph Wiggum
    Better than what he's usually full of
  25. Ralph Wiggum
    First flakes of the year in Telford. 38F
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