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danstorm

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by danstorm

  1. Congrats Will, you are the envy of snow weenies everywhere
  2. This is a healing thread for snow-starved weens around the Megalopolis. I'm taking my family up to Lake Placid/Saranac Lake this weekend and can't wait to get out in the depths. I need some snow in my life and I have no problem traveling for it.
  3. what's the current rate? i'd imagine you are pushing 3/hr
  4. Hey man, looooong time!!! I'm good, living the dream in the NYC suburbs with my wife and two beautiful kids - Levi is almost 6 and Sadie is 3. Not working as a met though I still have a side business I founded in the space. Work in analytics in the city for a financial services consultancy. Too many hours but what can you do, Montclair is expensive. How are you? Was up in your neck of the woods a few weeks back meeting with a few of our asset management clients in Boston. What a shit-tastic winter we are having, eh? My town lucked out with 6" (local max for the NYC Metro) from the early Dec storm that hit CNE very hard, then had a large ice storm later that month... since then, it's been a fight between rain, torch, and just regular above normal temps. Of course you guys know that as you've been experiencing the same.
  5. A state legislator fed up with CT seat belt laws?
  6. I shouldn't have wasted my time on the initial response.
  7. Yeah, because scientists are trained to lie. Makes sense. Of course you aren't noticing it - it aligns with your Moscow/200 year point.
  8. Just curious, do you ever follow day to day weather or do you wake up dreaming of the GEFS temperature projections relative to normal? Doesn't it get old?
  9. Don, always enjoy your posts and analysis. However, can you elaborate on the method by which you determined a 76% probability of finishing above normal? Seems way too low, considering we'll be roughly +10 at month's midpoint. Is there really a 24% chance of the back half of the month having a departure <-10?
  10. Posters here are like cartoon characters of themselves. Same well-worn tropes day after day.
  11. This is hyperbolic - you’re essentially griping about 4 consecutive winter months - Dec-Feb last hear and Dec this year without sustained snow cover. Do you realize how many times such a stretch has occurred in NYC in its history?
  12. I actually gave up on it, you're right, there is a period of snow at 51-57 hr that may salvage a decent event. We'll see - certainly doesn't seem to come together fast enough
  13. I can speak firsthand that it's a miserable place for snow. Quintessential nickle and dime. There is literally snow in the air for weeks at a time (the dying lakes squalls that get squeezed out over the big ridge to the west) that never accumulates.
  14. Agreed... the NWS came into the NYC forum to clarify that the 24-36" shading really meant 24-30... anyway, when your low amount is already a top 3 storm for the city, it's tough to justify. 18-24", hell, even 12-18 will get the public's attention! And you can always ramp up gradually if need be, and no one will notice. People at work were just throwing out, "well, it looks like 3 feet for the city", as if that is something that is so easy to attain. That 24-36" range is a 1/50 - 1/200 year event for the city. Not irresponsible, and certainly could have occurred (I was always skeptical for NJ), but let's just say overzealous.
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