sferic

15 minutes ago, uncle W said:

you can get highs and lows here...

Threaded Extremes (rcc-acis.org)

monthy data here...

xmACIS2 (rcc-acis.org)

 

@uncle W love it, i couldn't though find snowfall records for any given day of the year

Just now, uncle W said:

you can get highs and lows here...

Threaded Extremes (rcc-acis.org)

monthy data here...

xmACIS2 (rcc-acis.org)

 

Thank you so much !

4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

a trace of snow on long island in May is like winning the world series lol.

Since you were in Lynbrook and I was away in the Poconos were there two small periods of flurries and nothing stuck and did it get down to 32?  Or 34?

 

34 - 35 that night in lynbrook

2 hours ago, uncle W said:

last year NYC saw its first May snowflakes since 1977...

May's coldest temperatures in NYC...

32 5/06/1891

34 5/09/2020

34 5/05/1891

35 5/01/1880

35 5/09/1947

36 5/11/1913

36 5/10/1966

36 5/10/1947

36 5/09/1977

36 5/03/1874

36 5/01/1876

36 5/08/2020

I witnessed both and here in Liberty NY on 5.9.20 we had .5 of snow; barely a trace on Long Island

@uncle W do you have a source where I can browse through in an easy way record high/Low temps  and snow for each day of the year for Syracuse NY?

Thanks !

Up here in Liberty NY a half inch of snow is likely overnight into the early hours of May 1st

5 hours ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Were you able to see anything last night? Got nothing here in Narrowsburg.

NADA, next week is showing something; worth watching

Per my weather stations

.94 at My Lynbrook NY  home

.42 at my Liberty NY home

Current temp in Liberty 38.6 degrees with partly cloudy skies

Just now, Ericjcrash said:

I moved up here in December. Split time in Queens and Deleware co. previously 

Know Queens well, former Brooklyn guy

39 degrees here in Liberty NY

31 minutes ago, Ericjcrash said:

Whether I see snow or not is to be determined, but it's cold. Down to 42°

Amsterdam? I thought you were in Delaware county

31 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

But for nothing more than 2-3" at most. That'll be a win if it can happen

Correct, In Mid April that's a win. Temps now are crashing

8 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

you still have a shot for something at your place in Liberty, I am discounting anything more than car topping at 800' here. Gonna be fun to watch what happens in CT/MA tonight

I still you're in the game too with unpredictable atmospheric dynamics

12z suite  so far shows a more west bias; might be a little encouraging for the catskills..Nowcasting time

I know it's the CMC but 00z puts Catskills firmly back in the game

1 hour ago, crossbowftw3 said:

SImply put, everything failing to come together in time for everyone west of the Hudson.

Latest from BGM 2:20PM

A few inches of wet snow is expected to fall
at elevations above 1500 feet in the western Catskills, with up
to a few tenths of an inch of snow expected elsewhere east of
I-81

Should the track of the system shift a bit farther west, higher
accumulations will be possible in our area, especially across
the Catskills. Low temperatures Thursday night are expected to
be in the lower to mid 30s.

29 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

running out of time for major shifts, so I'm discounting anything significant this far west sans at elevation; however, everyone certainly can and probably even will still see some snow

Also is lessening of the snow threat for us  because heavier QPF further east or not enough cold air, or a combination of both?

19 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

running out of time for major shifts, so I'm discounting anything significant this far west sans at elevation; however, everyone certainly can and probably even will still see some snow

I thought I was the only one that ever uses the word "sans" !

1 hour ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Your assumption would be correct. For the rest of us we will probably have some in-air flakes, maybe even some slushy accumulations at elevation, but it’s SNE’s show at this point and not ours.

Agreed, BUT a slight shift South and west can make a difference with as little as 50 miles

5 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

still entirely plausible to see this happen, but might be fleeting a bit after today's runs now.

Agreed, if 00z suites are consistent with today's runs then I'll see the handwriting on the wall

45 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

the moment I saw that NAM run I fully committed to the idea that the Euro has the right idea with this whole thing, and that the Berkshires are set up to get pummeled on this one. Not like many of us will see the flakes fly anyway, even for those of us N&W of the city who could squeak in 1-3" if we get absolutely lucky. N&E of the City is where one needs to be here.

I understand your logic and interpreted the models the same way but this evening Binghamton TV mets said 3-6 for the Catskills

32 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

Midday GFS remains relatively consistent, definite consensus on where the biggest axis of snow is: for the rest of us to see anything, the devil remains in the details 

So clown maps a week out for the win?

Today and tonight's runs will definitely be more telling. Wobbling is part of it and we are 60 hours out

Would love mid April 3-6 inch snowfall in Liberty NY

@crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash @snywx  we're all in the game

11 minutes ago, wdrag said:

I will get a thread started by 715pm.  Need to check some guidance.  Big amounts possible northwest quad of the closer low in the deformation zone. Banding of a moist unstable lapse rate.  Am on the road and won’t have checked anything close til 7p.  Want to see the N latch on and then use the positive snow depth change as base amount.  If it indeed is 6+ 33F wet snow power outages would occur. Anyway, something to look at

Can't wait to read your take and analysis of this

This 12z Euro has my undivided attention

@crossbowftw3 @Ericjcrash  @snywx  intrigued ?