sferic

3 hours ago, crossbowftw3 said:

A thread. From one of SPC's lead forecasters, no less. Conclusion: significant outbreak is growing ever more probable.

 

I do not ever wish to experience a tornado but I feel for those who this will affect

@jfklganyc  Another possibility, never give up hope

4 hours ago, jfklganyc said:

54F

Beautiful day.

Good run...But a sad, abrupt end to it all.  

 

It's not over it took a vacation for a few weeks, we'll have more WSW's count on it

I think we'll have snow into April we easily have 6 weeks of potential snow

Liberty NY 11:10AM 32 degrees 1 inch of new snow OTG and snowing quite moderately; we'll wind up with 3 brand new inches

4 inches in Liberty NY with today's storm

@crossbowftw3 do you think tomorrow we can eek out an inch or two?

3 inches OTG in Liberty NY, will probably close out at 4 inches. Maybe another inch or two tomorrow @crossbowftw3?

3 hours ago, crossbowftw3 said:

2 at my elevation and maybe up to 4 for you. Just catching up since this evolved quickly 

Thinking along those lines still and an additional inch or so tomorrow. Just had 24inches plus  of snow snow raked off my roof too!

@crossbowftw3 @snywx @Ericjcrash I think we're good for 2-4 tomorrow. what do you think?

1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said:

A photo from this afternoon:

 

The snow is beautiful as is that million dollar house!

@crossbowftw3 @snywx @Ericjcrash Thoughts for this Monday. Could be a 2-4 type event for us

Close to 3 inches OTG in Liberty NY I think an additional 3-5 by tomorrow.

Thoughts ? @snywx @Ericjcrash @crossbowftw3

1 minute ago, snywx said:

That’s what it’s starting to look like. Time will tell I guess 

Hope so, it ain't over until it's over

Closing in on 2 inches Liberty NY, I can't see us reaching the 6 which is progged. Radar not good to our southwest

Agreed @Ericjcrash @crossbowftw3?   @snywx( You could easily see more)

Currently in Liberty NY

Liberty NY 1/2 inch on ground as of 2:30AM

2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

I'll never forget how accurate he was in 93-94, with many of those 30 plus storms we had that season.

He would do a 10:45 update with new model data the night before the storm and talk about how the storm would be more icy/snowy than anyone else was predicting and changeovers would be delayed and turned out to be correct.

He originally got his fame by predicting way in advance with when the first measurable date snow would fall for the 1980-81 winter; he nailed the date a month in advance on WCBS TV2

3 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

It's interesting how  this storm is viewed differently by different mets.  Mr G, who is ancient, but the only one remaining from the old era of mets we grew up with on TV, said this is basically a two wave snowfall, with the first wave delivering 1-3 on Thursday and the second wave delivering 1-3 on Friday and thats the reason it's a WWA.  

If ancient means longevity then yes

8 minutes ago, sferic said:

Liberty NY in Sullivan County 1:40am

 

light snow has commenced  17.9/11

Dusting already, Steady Light Snow

Liberty NY in Sullivan County 1:40am

light snow has commenced  17.9/11

1 minute ago, weatherfreeeeak said:

Euro?

In Sullivan county I gained 1/10 of an inch qpf and snow seems more north

1 minute ago, EpicHECS said:

They're now calling for 6" expected and 10" high end for my area. Would be nice to see some late magic pump this up just a few inches. 10"+ would be nice here in the HV, although there's less than a 10% chance of that. 

Hope there is snow love one county north in Sullivan

As long as I get 6-8 in Liberty I'll be happy. I love LONG duration with light to mod rates then heavy snow that's in and out

6 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

correct. generally speaking only 1-2" will be falling for every 6 hours of this storm's residence.

Same here..I love LONG duration events

10 minutes ago, crossbowftw3 said:

WWA for 3-7 here:

 

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 7 PM
EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 7
  inches.

* WHERE...In Pennsylvania, Pike and Wayne counties. In New York,
  Sullivan county.

* WHEN...From 3 AM Thursday to 7 PM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
  conditions could impact commutes starting with Thursday
  morning.

Why not WSW ? Because of the long duration threshold vs inches fallen?