sferic

2 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

I’d gladly take the 16 inches. Am I counting on it - no. I expect the heaviest snow to be just north of me and we’ll be lucky to get a couple of inches with the Arctic fropa. 

Think positive ! I'll gladly take 7 inches but it more than doubled on the probabilistic from 1am to 7am; but we'll see

Wow, looking at the probalistice forecase for N Onondaga, wow; 14",? I'll gladly take it

Can actual  these exceed these  amounts in my part? We'll see, but geared up with food, salt and will be up for next 24 hours which i guess is par for the course

Is Kuchera a better representation of snow with high ratios?

1 minute ago, sferic said:

On my PC and android phone I get this, How do I get your view? Thanks !

I figured it out, you were using Kuchera, I wasn't.

11 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Yes pivitol. Hrrr

On my PC and android phone I get this, How do I get your view? Thanks !

9 minutes ago, tim123 said:

This is just with front with main lake band. After this is the nnw flow.

Is this graphic from pivotal? Which model?

2 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Yes, it happens. However, it's more common the further north you go in Onondaga county. We're more susceptible to get in on the solid band (for example, the one wolfie's going to get) as it swings south. The further south it goes, on a NW flow, the main band splits up into less intense multi-bands. The best Lake effect snow warning events for Syracuse are on the backside of lows that sit off the New England coast. But those have been rare the past several years with the patterns we've been in.

Matt,

So in theory, Cicero and Clay can get a LES Warning while Syracuse itself does not?

Guys,

I know obviously Syracuse and surrounding immediate towns get LES, but , and pardon the lack of background info, does the city of SYR itself  get  the " Lake effect Snow warnings" too?

Thanks!

5 hours ago, CNY_WX said:

The official low between hourly readings at Syracuse was -2, the coldest in 2 years.  Watertown got down to-26, the coldest reading in the nation. 

WOW !!

11 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

The official low between hourly readings at Syracuse was -2, the coldest in 2 years.  Watertown got down to-26, the coldest reading in the nation. 

WOW !!

Just got a delivery ( 3 large desks for my computer work area) from Fed Ex

Young lady driving said she's from Central Square where there's a foot of snow OTG, wow got to take a drive up there ( 9 miles from me) 

12z HRRR gives N Onondaga hope

1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said:

Syracuse made it to "-0" whatever that means. Lol...

 

I guess the suburbs of SYR like NYC are always a bit colder ?

1 minute ago, wolfie09 said:

Is that today's high? If so that looks off as even KSyr was 15° around 11am..

that sensor is in direct sunlight actual PWS had high in upper teens or so. Have to get enclosures for remote sensors

Corrected Cicero Low Temp this morning

23 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Boo, the Rgem took N. Onondaga out of the game.

 

Darn, but that's the fun too how run to run things can shift.

Surprises work both ways too!

2 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

Yeah, rt 31 has a lot of retail these days. I live just north of there. I like my location, semi rural but a short drive to Rt 31 for the 3 trips to Home Depot when working on home projects. 

I love the Friendly's there,  and The Olive Garden. There too is where I discovered Price Chopper only to realize there is one on Brewerton Road in Cicero

However glad to hear there is a Raymour and Flanigan since we're furnishing our home from scratch

1 hour ago, LakeEffectKing said:

Ratios will be sky high late Sun. Night into Monday.

IF this locks in, 2' amounts should be easily obtainable from between Mexico/Pulaski to Adams and inland from there.

I received 2" more last night for an event total of just over 8"....not too shabby!

Can't wait for Northen Onondagea to get those amounts as the towns north of us do

5 minutes ago, Syrmax said:

"Tea Kettle Effect" snow attm here in Clay. Strictly speaking it's probably not tea kettle snow but similar. Clear sky, no wind, very fine crystals falling...

Yup, fine crystals indeed falling here too, driving to Clay later on today for shopping; great stores!

-3.4 this morning in Cicero, ouch

11 minutes ago, DeltaT13 said:

Look at this steam plume on the West end of Erie. Definitely an unusual look to that band and how it diffuses and spreads out. 

Is this from  Pro Tier 2 of RadarScope ? I have Pro Tier one and can't get those plumes

Thanks!

1 minute ago, TugHillMatt said:

Thanks! I am an educator, so I love talking about things and helping others/showing hospitality. Wolfie shared a great post as well in reference to the cloud tops.

It's quite rare to have a day where the highs don't get above 0. Maaaybe single digits. Days with highs in the teens are more common in the colder "cold outbreaks" of winter. Many in Upstate New York prefer those days in the 20s with a calm wind and fresh snow. Perfect for outdoor recreation! Low temps will usually fall below zero several times in a winter.

Educator here too Matt, Math and Technology

15 minutes ago, TugHillMatt said:

Radarscope is probably one of the best options for that. It's something you'll just have to accept about living here. When the temps get into the teens like this, precip. often doesn't show up on the radars. They have trouble picking up on the limited moisture in the cold air (that is still enough to produce for us.) Also, not sure if you saw my post earlier, we're on the fringes of the 3 different radar areas in Upstate NY, so sometimes it appears as a black hole of no precip. no matter what radar you look at.

Still enjoying watching the flakes fall here as well.

Your posts are great , Matt

I'm slowly acclimating and learning the meteorological nuances that are specific to this part of the state

What is you guess on high temps on Tuesday? Do you think we can stay in the single digits?

I know this is not the Adirondacks or Southern Tier but have there been days where temps in our area don't make it above zero?

Thanks again

Hey guys,

Still snowing lightly in Cicero at 8:40PM even though radarscope pro and other radar apps show nada.

Is there a radar product that you can recommend that can pick up precip in situations like this?

Thanks!

5" OTG in Cicero as of 7:15PM