Jump to content

CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    26,154

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    You can see why the GFS sh*ts the bed with the storm in SNE. 700mb low and warm conveyorbelt just falls apart. Not sure it's right but definitely a caution flag IMO.
  2. CT Rain
    My biggest concern with the GFS is just how everything falls apart as it comes NE. Probably too much but I think a Euro/GFS blend makes sense.
  3. CT Rain
    Storm really falls apart on the GFS once it gets into SNE. That s/w goes into the shredder.
  4. CT Rain
    I mean it's possible. Some hellacious fronto.
  5. CT Rain
    12km NAM is beautiful for the QPF Queens. I do think it's overdone with such a wide swath of that kind of liquid? Seems fairly progressive and not that classic ML lows closing off and pivoting right under us?
  6. CT Rain
    Beast mode on the NAM. Pretty wild look there.
  7. CT Rain
    I wonder if the s/w sort of damping out/getting sheared opens the door for non-hydrostatic stuff to start taking over with convection offshore. We'll have less and less forcing from DCVA as that s/w weakens over SNE but may see convection start running the show over the Gulf Stream and messing with the WCB and other stuff.
  8. CT Rain
    I have a feeling there's going to be a pretty narrow band along the max fgen zone that gets slammed. I doubt it's nearly as widespread as the QPF queens would believe. I could see something like the 18z Euro (narrow band of really good stuff) and less on either side. Not sure, of course, where that band is.
  9. CT Rain
    Yeah I think they were saying that as a reason that confidence is low. I think they changed it last year. They also got rid of Blizzard Watches
  10. CT Rain
    There's actually no time limit anymore on the watches... just 50% confidence of reaching the criteria.
  11. CT Rain
    There's a ton of spread on the GEFS so still a pretty uncertain forecast with respect to SNE impacts I think. Would like to see a couple jumps on the GEFS to the north.
  12. CT Rain
    Plenty of time for the north trend to commence.
  13. CT Rain
    Was that the Sunday AM SE CT special?
  14. CT Rain
    Don't hate the look!
  15. CT Rain
    Heavy wet snow caked to the radome could do it though.
  16. CT Rain
    10.0" in Union!
  17. CT Rain
    What do you have in Enfield?
  18. CT Rain
    Back to rain. Blahhhhh.
  19. CT Rain
    Have you stopped pouting?
  20. CT Rain
    TBH, didn't look a ton yesterday besides thinking it would be windy. lol I'll look more when i get in at noon.
  21. CT Rain
    You'll flip. Give it time. I could see 1-3 in Hamden.
  22. CT Rain
    I'm not sure it's an overperformer. I had you guys in 3-6 and the only way that was happening is if you were accumulating by now. You probably have only until 3 for accumulating snow.
  23. CT Rain
    Starting to stick here in West Hartford. 33F and mod snow.
  24. CT Rain
    Their temperature grids were a disaster. Had to run raw guidance and correct it to show on air. Pretty frustrating.
  25. CT Rain
    Gotta say that radar out of OKX is beautfiul. Can definitely see the mid level magic coming together for CT. RA/SN here but down to 34F. I'm cautiously optimistic even in the valley we pound for a few hours today. NE Hills up through C Mass are going to get crushed.
×
×
  • Create New...