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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    I've literally never heard anyone say that before lol
  2. CT Rain
    Yeah and they have figured out bias correction quite well. Their verification scores are pretty remarkable - I believe they're beating NWS for most variables and all times too. Going to have issues with highly anomalous or high impact events though which is where humans add value... otherwise humans FTL.
  3. CT Rain
    It's straight model blend from IBM. They don't even touch it.
  4. CT Rain
    Yeah....
  5. CT Rain
    Midday newscasts are tough to make wholesale changes unless it's a real short term thing. No point in jumping on things before the full suite of 12z guidance and ensembles is in.
  6. CT Rain
    lol
  7. CT Rain
    With a MAUL above and below. We take.
  8. CT Rain
    Also super nice snow growth along that mid level warm front from I-84 corridor up toward Ray.
  9. CT Rain
    I wonder if it's better to just ditch Sunday and see what we can do with the Monday/Tuesday s/w.
  10. CT Rain
    EPS snow probs aren't great but the op is certainly juicy.
  11. CT Rain
    You in Worcester tonight?
  12. CT Rain
    Gotta be concerned for spring water table issues at this rate. Brush fires on the Massif?
  13. CT Rain
    Hires NAM with ~0.4" of QPF for Tolland.
  14. CT Rain
    Here's our running forecast. Best chance for highest totals locally is in W CT I think. I do think a pretty prolonged period of junk with the dry slot south and east of I-84 so a lot of snow grains, freezing drizzle, and sleet.
  15. CT Rain
    700mb track on euro definitely pretty funky. Brings it all the way west into C NJ
  16. CT Rain
    Let's get another shuffle east with it!
  17. CT Rain
    700mb track definitely a bit more favorable. Keeps the dry slot shunted farther SE.
  18. CT Rain
    I mean if we can get that 700 low a bit farther S&E when it stalls out it would be epic for SNE.
  19. CT Rain
    the NAM would be unreal for NYC and especially suburbs just N&W with that 700mb low stall.
  20. CT Rain
    Time to disrobe for the NAM
  21. CT Rain
    Yes, though I have definite concerns with dry air advecting south in the boundary layer through W Mass and N CT. The Euro keeps pretty high sfc dew point depressions through the event.
  22. CT Rain
    Looks like <0.5" QPF for Tolland.
  23. CT Rain
    We take that.
  24. CT Rain
    Sure is
  25. CT Rain
    GFS v16 is not enthusiastic!
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