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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. lol you definitely did not have 8-10 and then shots. Will is definitely closer to reality.
  2. Should we lock in the Reggie? Interestingly, the RPM is much colder on the front end with a widespread 1-3"
  3. Pretty funny to see the changes from 12z yesterday to 12z today. There was a lot of spread on the Euro Ens yesterday that had me suspicious (could see huge max T spread in the box and whisker polots on wxbell).
  4. Definitely big change from yesterday with a decent high over QC (wasn't much yesterday) and obviously the tick south with the boundary.
  5. Gonna shut off fast. Dry slot already to NJ.
  6. You're probably watching teh wrong station.
  7. I think it's a lot of low level stuff to be honest with some good forcing in the low levels... not your classic mid level fronto look.
  8. I agree. None of the HREF members are biting so clearly the mesoscale/CAM guidance isn't biting. Wouldn't be shocked to see the globals like GFS and Euro tick NW some based on that 12km NAM depiction.
  9. The RPM loves the amped up 24h out solution followed by a total whiff in the 21z run or something lol
  10. There's one amped HREF member and about 1/3 of the SREF members that have a similar soln.
  11. Yeah, now that I think of it, we had a great ZR event in HVN but up north it was snow.
  12. They definitely get some decent upslope events once in a while... they've had a few 12" upslope events I can remember. Not that common but it can definitely pad their seasonal total too. I do think there was some change in how they measure snow as there has been a drop off recently.
  13. Almost seems like the narrow thump just wound up a bit south along the best 850 mb speed convergence? I'm not sure why that happened but yeah that 12z run was a burp yesterday. It was weird seeing all of the HREF members and HRRR go big and then immediately start to pull back.
  14. Any thoughts on why the initial thump flopped? The 12z HREF yesterday had about 0.5" of liquid by 12z today in the Hartford area. BDL recorded 0.04" of liquid by 12z. Obviously convection to the south played a role... maybe screwed up moisture transport and less convergence along the 850mb jet?
  15. Gotta imagine the convection in the SE today gave the hires stuff fits today. But what a huge change 12z to 00z.
  16. HRRR with quite a weenie stripe through centrtal CT
  17. 10.5" storm total here. Loving the 16.3" at BDL too. What an event!
  18. We were at 7.5" total a bit ago... will probably wind up with 10" or so.
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