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CT Rain

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CT Rain

  1. CT Rain
    As the mid level magic shifts toward Albany we're going to get low level stuff off the fire hose 850 jet. You can see the best 700mb frontogenesis forecing up toward Albany and S CT but SNE should see a lot of low level stuff continuing. 850s cool to near -10C for a while so we'll still get snow growth - just not dendrites. Will pile up eventually but sort of an ugly look on radar for a bit I think especially south.
  2. CT Rain
    IR loop shows a lot of warming cloud tops over NJ and E PA. That's all low level junk on the 850mb jet over S NJ and such. May have some crap ratios for a while southern areas.
  3. CT Rain
    The radar does look great
  4. CT Rain
    GFS definitely hitting the ML goodies through the Berkshires back into NE PA
  5. CT Rain
    I'm contemplating a 16-24 kind of deal up there.
  6. CT Rain
    Agree
  7. CT Rain
    The NAM is pretty far north with the 700mb low. Deform special for Albany into S VT and NH. Would like that south.
  8. CT Rain
    The most intense part of this storm will be tonight 10 p.m.-1 a.m. around CT. Maybe we get a surge again just prior to daybreak again but the man stuff is going to be early on around here.
  9. CT Rain
    Sweet run. Looks a little warm in boundary layer for SE areas with that low tucked in good. the QPF queen in me likes the run for sure lol
  10. CT Rain
    Those streamlines are pretty funny looking when you compare them to the height pattern and wind fields.
  11. CT Rain
    HREF through 12z Thursday.
  12. CT Rain
    Tolland County lowest in SNE? Ouch.
  13. CT Rain
    I strongly approve of the 700mb low track on the GFS.
  14. CT Rain
    We take that. The NAM is pretty similar.
  15. CT Rain
    Pornographic NAM run IMBY
  16. CT Rain
    lol
  17. CT Rain
    We've reached peak "north trend" New England forum.
  18. CT Rain
    I wouldn't read into that much lol
  19. CT Rain
    I've only seen the mean on wxbell - wish they had more products available.
  20. CT Rain
    Is it easily available online?
  21. CT Rain
    What a disaster
  22. CT Rain
    Thinking about a generic 8-16" statewide right now. Just not enough confidence to pin down best banding.
  23. CT Rain
  24. CT Rain
    I feel like the synoptics on the GFS were pretty similar but the evolution of the WCB and associated QPF was way different. Probably wrong. But I do think shearing out the shortwave and letting convection go wild can do some weird things. The NAM, on the other hand, just does the classic huge jump NW with the southern stream.
  25. CT Rain
    Nice call. The southern stream shortwaves always like to come in amped and NW. I guess my biggest concern was always that this thing would get shredded and weaken some as it moved east to prevent the big totals in SNE.
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