CT Rain
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Everything posted by CT Rain
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1-2"?
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It's fine assuming a decent front end thump and a meh follow up/CCB.
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Well this forecast could really go to hell. SHould be fun!
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Oh I was looking at regular RGEM and not the herpes. My bad lol
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lol
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Wow - we take the herpes.
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I mean they are the best.
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Yikes, does Tolland even get 2" on the NAM?
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You may... worth watching.
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Some bonus on Monday seems possible but I wouldn't bank on much here. Models look better west (NYC) and east (BOS).
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Updated forecast - mainly to shove Hartford in 3-5 and New Haven in 1-3.
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I'm really surprised how warm the HRRR/3km NAM are in low levels across SNE.
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RPM with about 2" in Tolland
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Seems like it's on the nose of the 850mb jet with some strong convergence there plus deformation on the NW side of h7 low.
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I want that NYC burst on Monday to come NE too. Connecticut is in sort of a hole here.
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Here's the NBM.
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Here's the RGEM clown map.
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Yeah it's a tough forecast for sure. I have 84 on north in 5-10" that could def be too high. Looks better across the border in Mass.
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Nice... it updates a bit slower on weatherbell. Very cold at 850/925 but borderline at 700mb so definitely some sneaky warm layers in there.
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How's it look back this way? The thump definitely is interesting as it is soooo close to some big totals.
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3km NAM isn't the most exciting.
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I don't buy the warmth at the surface... though the 3km NAM typically handles 2m temps the best.
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3km NAM is still very very torchy.
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I love the 6-9 hours of basically no QPF in the NE Hills of CT while it pounds Berks/W CT.
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GFS looks pretty good for many.
