yoda

LWX LSR's reporting downed tree/large branch on house out your way PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 845 PM EDT THU JUN 04 2020 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0810 PM TSTM WND DMG ROSE HILL 38.79N 77.11W 06/04/2020 FAIRFAX VA PUBLIC LARGE BRANCH FELL ON HOUSE AT THE INTERSECTION OF WESSEX LANE AND KERRYBROOKE DR IN ROSE HILL, VA

so you got a hit today and didn't bat zero lol

Good amount of wind reports/LSR's from LWX... def supports and confirms the watch box issued by SPC today for us

Getting crushed lol

power just flickered twice here ETA: TORRENTIAL amount of rain and wind here

This was interesting to read in the MCD... bolded mine... talks about heat bursts later tonight -- https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0825.html Mesoscale Discussion 0825 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0637 PM CDT Thu Jun 04 2020 Areas affected...western Oklahoma...far eastern Texas Panhandle Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253... Valid 042337Z - 050130Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 253 continues. SUMMARY...A cluster of storms is beginning to congeal into a line across western Oklahoma. These storms will continue moving southeast with the potential for damaging winds and large hail. DISCUSSION...Storms with a history of severe wind including reports of 70 and 80 mph and large hail (1 inch) are moving southeast across western Oklahoma. Storms are beginning to form a more coherent line with some evidence of an increasing rear inflow jet developing behind the center of the line. Surface temperatures of 95-105 F and a deep, well mixed boundary layer with surface dewpoint depressions of 35-50 F are likely to contribute to efficient mixing of strong to damaging wind gusts to the surface. If the line continues to organize, the threat for damaging winds will increase in the short term. Large hail will also remain possible. These storms will begin to weaken after sunset, but the severe threat will remain for the next 2-4 hours. As these storms begin to collapse later tonight, strong winds could emanate outward from the cluster with heat bursts possible.

I suggest you stay at home in NH... just to be safe so you dont have to complain about wearing masks

Front Royal area storm that had been moving NE has turned right and moving east now per latest STW

Numerous trees down in Albermarle county Emergency management reports numerous trees down near Great Cacapon as well

Take it to the Political forum then

Trained spotters reported damage to trees in NW Hardy county

Lol 4 warnings already from LWX... watch till 10pm... and it's too late?

SPC added a small MRGL risk for damaging winds tomorrow in their 1730z SPC OTLK update for parts of the LWX CWA

First STW of the day down in Nelson/Augusta counties... moving NE. Winds to 60mph and quarter size hail

Watch disco did mention afternoon hail threat with discrete storms which may have transient supercell characteristics too. Wind probs in the watch are 50/10... hail probs 30/20

80% chance of a watch from C VA to C PA... MCD just issued

@high risk is correct... new morning Day 1 OTLK has SLGT for most of LWX CWA... 5% hail and 15% wind 0600z OTLK disco:

Maybe some get the storms warned in N WV that are moving SE later?

or this Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1244 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 NYC003-009-030530- /O.CON.KBUF.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-200603T0530Z/ Cattaraugus NY-Allegany NY- 1244 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 AM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CATTARAUGUS AND SOUTHERN ALLEGANY COUNTIES... At 1243 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Cuba, or 7 miles north of Olean, moving southeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Expect considerable tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, roofs, and outbuildings. Locations impacted include... Olean, Salamanca, Wellsville, Allegany State Park, Ashford, Allegany, Franklinville, Belfast, Cuba and St. Bonaventure. This includes Interstate 86 between exits 21 and 31. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. This storm has the potential to produce widespread wind damage across eastern Cattaraugus and western Allegany counties. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows! Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

Don't see this often at 1 am in NY Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Binghamton NY 1250 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 NYC109-030515- /O.CON.KBGM.SV.W.0026.000000T0000Z-200603T0515Z/ Tompkins NY- 1250 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2020 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 AM EDT FOR TOMPKINS COUNTY... At 1249 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Ithaca, moving southeast at 55 mph. HAZARD...Ping pong ball size hail and 60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. Locations impacted include... Ithaca, Newfield, Cayuga Heights, Lansing, Enfield, Danby, Caroline, Dryden, Trumansburg and South Danby. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. This storm is producing large hail. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows. Heavy rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

STW up for ping pong ball sized hail till 1245 am... impressive... for parts of Wyoming/Erie/Allegany counties

Very interesting notes from SPC today about May 2020 severe weather wise

I've been watching some of what has been going on in MN/WI... and seems like HRRR was a big whiff

SPC morning Day 2 disco