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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. Day 2 MRGL risk (Thursday) for a few damaging wind gusts possible
  2. So @Damage In Tolland did lose power then? For days and days? My bad for betting he wouldn't
  3. I bet you keep your power
  4. Read the disco I bolded lol... good luck up there with your damage
  5. You're gonna have to travel to see a tornado
  6. Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0704 AM CDT Tue Aug 04 2020 Valid 041300Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely through this afternoon from Delaware into southern New England, with a lingering threat for a couple tornadoes across northern New England this evening. Scattered large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible across the central High Plains from mid-afternoon to mid-evening. ...DE to New England... As T.C. Isaias rapidly shifts northeastward today, an accompanying very moist low-level environment will permit maintenance of weak buoyancy across the coastal plain of the Northeast into southern New England. Clusters and cells of shallow convection to the north and east of the circulation center will continue to pose a risk for tornadoes. The greatest risk will be where mid 70s surface dew points can become coincident with immense low-level hodograph curvature from DE to the NYC tri-state area. Most guidance is consistent in suggesting the very rich surface moisture will become pinched off across parts of southern New England later today. This suggests the overall tornado risk should decrease this evening as it spreads into northern New England
  7. Wiz wont be pleased with the 1300 SPC OTLK disco lol
  8. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1393.html
  9. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 450 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 The National Weather Service in Mount Holly NJ has issued a * Tornado Warning for... East central Sussex County in southern Delaware... * Until 515 AM EDT. * At 449 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Millville, or 15 miles east of Georgetown, moving north at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Henlopen Acres and Long Neck.
  10. And 94L is gone pretty much Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Isaias, located inland over southeastern North Carolina. 1. Showers and thunderstorms have mostly dissipated near a trough of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Bermuda. Although a weak area of low pressure is expected to form over the next day or so, abundant dry air surrounding the system is likely to limit significant development. This system is forecast to move northwestward at about 10 mph over the southwestern Atlantic today, stall several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda tonight, and then drift southwestward on Thursday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Berg
  11. Surprised @weatherwiz isn't taking the 05z HRRR into the back room for some... fun...
  12. Pero tengo malas noticias para ustedes, tipos.
  13. The trolls have arrived and ready to storm cancel before it starts lol
  14. Carlson not playing makes me wonder though... is he just taking the game off for "rest" since the games don't really count for much... or is the supposed injury more serious?
  15. NHC disagreed on the 2AM TWO Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 3 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Isaias, located just offshore of east-central Florida. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the area of disturbed weather located a few hundred miles north of the northern Leeward Islands does not have a surface circulation, and the associated shower activity is not well organized. However, environmental conditions could allow for some slow development of this system during the next several days, with a tropical depression possibly forming later this week. This system is forecast to move northwestward at about 15 mph over the southwestern Atlantic today and on Tuesday and then stall several hundred miles southwest of Bermuda by the middle to latter part of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
  16. Let's see if Holtby can bring home the bacon again in the playoffs for you all... otherwise Copley in net
  17. Never playoff hockey without a Crosby goal
  18. BULLETIN Tropical Depression Ten Advisory Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 800 AM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 ...DEPRESSION FORECAST TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY... SUMMARY OF 800 AM CVT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 21.6W ABOUT 200 MI...325 KM NE OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 800 AM CVT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Ten was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 21.6 West. The depression is moving toward the northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h). A turn toward the west-northwest or west is expected by Saturday afternoon. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is expected to move north of the Cabo Verde Islands later today. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The depression is forecast to weaken and become a remnant low later today. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
  19. And... bye Tropical Depression Ten Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102020 800 AM CVT Sat Aug 01 2020 Satellite images indicate that only a small area of deep convection remains with the depression, and the center is partially exposed on the southeastern edge of the thunderstorms. The initial wind speed is kept 30 kt based on persistence. It seems like the chance for the depression to become a tropical storm has passed with it now moving over cooler waters into a drier air mass. Thus weakening is forecast, and the system will likely degenerate into a remnant low later today. The depression continues moving northwestward, and that course should persist today before turning towards the west-northwest around a larger cyclonic gyre on Sunday. A slight northward adjustment has been made to the forecast, a bit south of the GFS model. All of the model guidance dissipate the small low within 36 hours, so this is indicated in the new forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 01/0900Z 17.8N 21.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 01/1800Z 19.2N 23.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 02/0600Z 20.5N 26.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
  20. Since Day 2 (Sunday) looks meh... here's Day 3 (Monday)
  21. FWIW, MRGL risk for Sunday and Monday as well from SPC
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