yoda

Euro SEAS-5 h5 height anamoly forecast for January was vomit-worthy. It was the ensemble mean for January as well. You guys might be able to sneak something... but down south... ugly ETA: From August 1st though

Here we go again lol Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 346 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020 DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ025-026-029- 036>040-050>057-501-502-505>508-072215- /O.NEW.KLWX.FF.A.0019.200807T1600Z-200808T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys- Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Augusta-Rockingham-Page-Nelson-Albemarle-Greene- Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Including the cities of Washington, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Harrisonburg, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Madison, Orange, Gordonsville, Culpeper, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Big Meadows, and Wintergreen 346 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Maryland, The District of Columbia, and Virginia, including the following areas, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, and St. Marys. The District of Columbia. In Virginia, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Augusta, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Culpeper, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, Greene, King George, Madison, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Orange, Page, Prince William, Rappahannock, Rockingham, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, and Western Loudoun. * From noon EDT today through late tonight * Scattered slow moving showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and tonight which may pose a risk of flash flooding.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 455 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Madison County in northwestern Virginia... The City of Charlottesville in central Virginia... Southwestern Orange County in central Virginia... Northeastern Albemarle County in central Virginia... Southeastern Greene County in central Virginia... * Until 600 PM EDT. * At 454 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Free Union, or 9 miles northwest of Charlottesville, moving northeast at 10 mph. This is a very dangerous storm. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and golf ball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Expect considerable damage to trees and power lines, especially near Free Union and Earlysville. Your life is at significant risk if outdoors. In addition to some trees falling into homes, wind damage is possible to roofs, sheds, open garages, and mobile homes. * Locations impacted include... Charlottesville, Stanardsville, Free Union, Campbell, Westmoreland, Hollymead, Ruckersville, Ivy, Quinque, Eheart, Barboursville, Stony Point, Flordon, Newtown, Amicus, Cobham, Cismont, Newcomb Hall, Keswick and Carrsbrook. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Remain alert for a possible tornado! Tornadoes can develop quickly from severe thunderstorms. If you spot a tornado go at once into the basement or small central room in a sturdy structure. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

CHO under the gun Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 502 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 VAC003-540-062130- /O.CON.KLWX.TO.W.0019.000000T0000Z-200806T2130Z/ City of Charlottesville VA-Albemarle VA- 502 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN ALBEMARLE COUNTY AND THE CITY OF CHARLOTTESVILLE... At 502 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located over Charlottesville, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. This tornadic thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of northeastern Albemarle County and the City of Charlottesville, including the following locations... Scott Stadium, Westmoreland, Newcomb Hall and Carrsbrook. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

I see Wilson is back to his boarding days

Torrential downpours here

Looks like some rotation in the storm down in Augusta County per radarscope near the city of Grottoes ETA: Updated SWS mentions possible tornado in text

Pretty quiet right now in the LWX CWA

Good morning from Mother Nature BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 433 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northern Anne Arundel County in central Maryland... * Until 515 AM EDT. * At 432 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Odenton, or near Crofton, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Severn, Crofton, Riviera Beach, Magothy River, Dobbins Island, Fort Smallwood State Park, Pinehurst, Gibson Island, Bodkin Point, Sillery Bay, Glen Burnie, Severna Park, Odenton, Pasadena, Arnold, Lake Shore, Parole, Fort Meade, Millersville and Green Haven. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.

looks like moving ENE... but that's about an hour away lol

00z EURO shows nothing in the tropical department either tonight except for a small SLP north of the islands (Leeward) at 240

00z GFS tonight shows no hurricanes at all during its entire run... there is a tropical disturbance late in the run but it mills around the Yucatan peninsula and never really develops into much of anything due to land interaction... though it tries to develop as the run ends

Seeing flashes of lightning out my window every few seconds but with no thunder... so must be just missing the storm off to my NW where you are ETA: Speaking of: Short Term Forecast National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 314 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 MDZ004-503>505-VAZ053-506-060745- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Montgomery-Frederick-Northwest Howard-Fairfax-Eastern Loudoun- 314 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN HOWARD AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES IN CENTRAL MARYLAND...SOUTHEASTERN FREDERICK COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MARYLAND...SOUTHEASTERN LOUDOUN AND NORTHWESTERN FAIRFAX COUNTIES IN NORTHERN VIRGINIA... At 313 AM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located over Herndon, moving northeast at 25 mph. Locations impacted include... Germantown, Rockville, Bethesda, Gaithersburg, Reston, Leesburg, Olney, Herndon, Vienna, Damascus, Broadlands, Lansdowne, Lowes Island, Brambleton, Pimmit Hills, Poolesville, American Legion Bridge, Aspen Hill, Potomac and North Bethesda. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may reduce visibilities. Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 246 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 VAZ026-029-038>040-051-507-062145- /O.EXT.KLWX.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-200807T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Rockingham-Page-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Culpeper- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Including the cities of Harrisonburg, Luray, Shenandoah, Stanley, Stanardsville, Madison, Washington, Culpeper, and Big Meadows 246 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of central Virginia, northern Virginia, northwest Virginia, and western Virginia, including the following areas, in central Virginia, Greene. In northern Virginia, Culpeper. In northwest Virginia, Madison, Northern Virginia Blue Ridge, Page, and Rappahannock. In western Virginia, Rockingham. * Through this evening * Numerous slow moving showers and thunderstorms continue to develop across the region and should expand and redevelop with time. Locations which are repetitively affected could receive multiple-inch rainfall totals. This could lead to rapid rises on streams and flash flooding of low lying areas.

here come the FFWs Flood Watch National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 246 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 DCZ001-MDZ004>006-011-013-014-016>018-503>508-VAZ025-036-037-050- 052>057-501-502-505-506-508-062145- /O.EXB.KLWX.FF.A.0018.000000T0000Z-200807T0400Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys- Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Orange- Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Central Virginia Blue Ridge- Including the cities of Washington, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, St. Charles, Waldorf, Lexington Park, California, Chesapeake Beach, Huntingtown, Dunkirk, North Beach, Lusby, Prince Frederick, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Staunton, Waynesboro, Stuarts Draft, Lovingston, Charlottesville, Orange, Gordonsville, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Falmouth, Fredericksburg, Dahlgren, Warrenton, Turnbull, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, and Wintergreen 246 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2020 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has expanded the * Flash Flood Watch to include portions of Maryland, The District of Columbia, and Virginia, including the following areas, in Maryland, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Carroll, Central and Southeast Howard, Central and Southeast Montgomery, Charles, Frederick, Northern Baltimore, Northwest Harford, Northwest Howard, Northwest Montgomery, Prince Georges, Southeast Harford, Southern Baltimore, and St. Marys. The District of Columbia. In Virginia, Albemarle, Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria, Augusta, Central Virginia Blue Ridge, Eastern Loudoun, Fairfax, King George, Nelson, Northern Fauquier, Orange, Prince William, Southern Fauquier, Spotsylvania, Stafford, and Western Loudoun. * Through this evening * Numerous slow moving showers and thunderstorms continue to develop across the region and should expand and redevelop with time. Locations which are repetitively affected could receive multiple-inch rainfall totals. This could lead to rapid rises on streams and flash flooding of low lying areas.

Looks like it... BTW, does radarscope overdo the rotation markers? Like there is one for the tiny storm by Boyce, VA right now

Day 2 MRGL risk (Thursday) for a few damaging wind gusts possible

So @Damage In Tolland did lose power then? For days and days? My bad for betting he wouldn't

I bet you keep your power

Read the disco I bolded lol... good luck up there with your damage

You're gonna have to travel to see a tornado

Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0704 AM CDT Tue Aug 04 2020 Valid 041300Z - 051200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST... ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Tornadoes will be most likely through this afternoon from Delaware into southern New England, with a lingering threat for a couple tornadoes across northern New England this evening. Scattered large hail and severe wind gusts will be possible across the central High Plains from mid-afternoon to mid-evening. ...DE to New England... As T.C. Isaias rapidly shifts northeastward today, an accompanying very moist low-level environment will permit maintenance of weak buoyancy across the coastal plain of the Northeast into southern New England. Clusters and cells of shallow convection to the north and east of the circulation center will continue to pose a risk for tornadoes. The greatest risk will be where mid 70s surface dew points can become coincident with immense low-level hodograph curvature from DE to the NYC tri-state area. Most guidance is consistent in suggesting the very rich surface moisture will become pinched off across parts of southern New England later today. This suggests the overall tornado risk should decrease this evening as it spreads into northern New England

Wiz wont be pleased with the 1300 SPC OTLK disco lol

Tornado warning for PHL proper

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1393.html