yoda

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1200 PM EST Fri Jan 17 2025 MDZ001-501-VAZ503-WVZ501-503-505-180100- /O.NEW.KLWX.EC.A.0001.250120T0900Z-250123T1200Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Western Highland-Western Grant- Western Mineral-Western Pendleton- 1200 PM EST Fri Jan 17 2025 ...EXTREME COLD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... * WHAT...An extended period of temperatures up to 30 degrees below normal. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero possible. Wind chills as low as 30 below zero are possible for higher elevations. * WHERE...In Maryland, Extreme Western Allegany and Garrett Counties. In Virginia, Western Highland County. In West Virginia, Western Grant, Western Mineral, and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...From late Sunday night through Thursday morning. * IMPACTS...Periods of dangerously cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero could cause frostbite on exposed skin in as little as 30 minutes. Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures. An extended period of well below freezing temperatures could cause ruptured water pipes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Dress in layers including a hat, face mask, and gloves if you must go outside. To prevent water pipes from freezing, wrap or drain or allow them to drip slowly. Keep pets indoors as much as possible. Make sure outdoor animals have a warm, dry shelter, food, and unfrozen water. Make frequent checks on older family, friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside. Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates.

Wes would take this run

I'm worried about the Penguins winning

Probably tomorrow morning in the 4am package if there are any

Don't bother with the 12z CMC unless you are in W MD

Ugh, management just texted me saying what's this about snow on Sunday...

Please sir, I want some more

I'd love another WSW storm... but I'm fine with another 2" at the least

If I'm guessing the scale right... pink is 0.5"+

Sort of falls apart after... but still some snow

426am AFD from LWX A relative lull is expected Saturday late afternoon and evening as the initial Arctic front pushes to the east and a wave of surface low pressure goes with it, at least outside of the mountains, where snow looks to continue. A second wave of low pressure will take shape over the TN Valley, which will become our Sunday winter storm. Precipitation chances continue to increase on Sunday with guidance trending towards a snowier solution areawide. At least a light accumulating snowfall is becoming increasingly likely across most of the forecast area as a fast-moving, yet potent, low pressure system slides by to our south. The arctic front Saturday will have ushered in sub-freezing air to much of the region by the time of precipitation onset. There may be some thermal issues towards southern MD and the VA Piedmont, but for the most part, looks like an all snow event for many. Initial forecast amounts are in the 1 to 3 inch range in those areas where thermal issues may exist at the onset, with 3 to 4 inches seems most likely along and north of I-66/US-50. The upslope areas will of course see substantially more, and over a bit of a longer timeframe. For most, this system will be very quick-moving, lasting around 6 to 12 hours or so.

Will folks want to pay attention?

I guess I wasn't thinking when i posted that I liked hr 69 on the 18z GFS

I like the look at 69

18z ICON was going to be even more suppressed lol.

18z ICON did make a noticeable shift NW though in its QPF field compared to 12z

RGEM steadfast though... unfortunately you have to be NW of i81 corridor

Better west of BR

Road trip?

Well if you call 6" for DC metro scraping lol... but I get where you are going

It has a 1005mb SLP SE of HSE at 144

Was 30 to 50 percent on the 4am SPS... Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1110 AM EST Thu Jan 16 2025 DCZ001-MDZ004>006-008-011-013-014-503>508-VAZ053-054-505-506-526- 527-170200- District of Columbia-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- Including the cities of Washington, Frederick, Ballenger Creek, Eldersburg, Westminster, Reisterstown, Cockeysville, Elkton, Baltimore, Bowie, Suitland-Silver Hill, Clinton, College Park, Greenbelt, Laurel, Camp Springs, Glen Burnie, Annapolis, Severn, South Gate, Severna Park, Arnold, Odenton, Germantown, Damascus, Bethesda, Rockville, Gaithersburg, Silver Spring, Lisbon, Columbia, Ellicott City, Jarrettsville, Aberdeen, Reston, Herndon, Annandale, Centreville, Chantilly, McLean, Franconia, Arlington, Alexandria, Falls Church, Purcellville, Leesburg, Ashburn, Sterling, Haymarket, Dale City, Manassas, Woodbridge, Lake Ridge, and Montclair 1110 AM EST Thu Jan 16 2025 ...POTENTIAL WINTER COMMUTING HAZARD FOR THE BALTIMORE MD / WASHINGTON DC METRO AREAS THIS EVENING... There is a potential for hazardous commuting conditions for this evening`s commute. Scattered to numerous snow showers are anticipated (a 60 to 70 percent chance) this evening across the Baltimore MD / Washington DC metro areas with up to a half inch accumulation possible on area roads and walkways. If this threat does materialize during the evening rush-hour, many roads could quickly turn icy. This could lead to dangerous traveling conditions, multiple accidents, and extensive delays. If commuting this evening, be aware of the possibility of significant travel disruptions. Plan ahead by allowing for extra travel time, and consider using public transportation and telework options. Stay tuned for updates on this potential winter weather episode.

When is anyone amused by it? It's old and childish