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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. yoda
    Hmmmm... the energy out west in UT is even further west at 18z 72 compared to 12z 78... by 100 miles or so I would guess roughly
  2. yoda
    I'm going to soon have a ignored user for the first time
  3. yoda
    Don't worry! Yoda is here! *ducks*
  4. yoda
    I want to say I like the 18z NAM h5 at 84... even though its the NAM.... at 84... yay or nay @stormtracker?
  5. yoda
    You forgot the most important part of the afternoon AFD from LWX... which was right after that lol A deepening trough will move from the central plains into the eastern US Friday into Saturday. Recent guidance has this trough becoming negatively tilted along the Atlantic seaboard, though where exactly the region of surface low pressure tracks and the position of the upper level trough will be critical in this pattern given no strong blocking over the Atlantic. The H5 ridge across Idaho is favorable for a storm along the eastern US coast. Recent runs of the GEFS, NBM, and EPS to some extent have trended significantly further northwest. Note the GEFS/GFS has statistically outperformed the EPS/EURO since late October with H5 height correlation. Caution should be given in not only the track of the surface low, but also if the surface low tracks too far west, there will be a region that receives lower QPF due to being displaced from the surface low and associated dynamics and the dynamics of being under the ULL. This is a complex situation that will become more clear over the next few days. Regardless, the western facing slopes of the Allegheny Front could have a prolonged upslope snow event with this system.
  6. yoda
  7. yoda
    I'd say 25 to 30 percent of the 12z EPS drop 4" or more at DCA
  8. yoda
    12z EPS snowmaps took a large jump just east of i95.... like 2-3" compared to 00z
  9. yoda
    @Maestrobjwa
  10. yoda
    Thanks @WxUSAF... I just spit my water out on the floor with that new thread title
  11. yoda
    Yay... Ji is back
  12. yoda
    If the EURO had kicked out the s/w out in the SW... hello big hit IMO
  13. yoda
    Not saying for sure... but sure looked like EURO was holding back too much energy in the SW, a known bias. Weenie rule #1 I know..... but maybe true here?
  14. yoda
    EURO seems to be holding energy back in the SW...
  15. yoda
    Welp... 12z EURO out to 24... hopefully it heads in the CMC/GEFS/GFS direction...
  16. yoda
    its out on the old school meteocentre site... slowly but its coming https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=na&mod=cmc_gdps
  17. yoda
    12z CMC would be a 10-12" storm in DC metro
  18. yoda
  19. yoda
    12 of the GEFS members give DCA 6" or more... 3 more are close by 4 are absolute monsters of over 18"
  20. yoda
    Had to clear some attachment space lol... compared 12z to 06z for you
  21. yoda
    @WinterWxLuvr just for you lol
  22. yoda
    oh hai there...
  23. yoda
    last nights
  24. yoda
    Hey now... remember when I would post the B AND W maps?
  25. yoda
    Run it after that hour lol
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