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yoda

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  1. yoda
    So far so good on our radar returning shortly NOUS61 KLWX 281817 FTMLWX MESSAGE DATE: JUN 28 2023 18:14:00 THE KLWX WSR-88D REMAINS OUT OF SERVICE AS IT UNDERGOES AN IMPORTANT UPGRADE TO REFURBISH AND REPLACE THE PEDESTAL. ESTIMATED RETURN TO SERVICE IS JUNE 30TH, BARRING ANY UNEXPECTED ISSUES. DURING THE DOWNTIME, ADJACENT RADARS WILL BE AVAILABLE, INCLUDING: WAKEFIELD, VA (KAKQ), ROANOKE, VA (KFCX), DOVER, DE (KDOX), CHARLESTON, WV (KRLX), PITTSBURGH, PA (KPBZ), STATE COLLEGE, PA (KCTP), AND FORT DIX, NJ (KDIX)...ALSO FAA TERMINAL DOPPLER RADARS FOR DULLES (TIAD), REAGAN NATIONAL (TDCA), THURGOOD MARSHALL BWI (TBWI), AND JOINT BASE ANDREWS (TADW). FOR DIRECT ACCESS TO ANY OF THESE SURROUNDING RADAR SITES, VISIT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE: HTTPS://RADAR.WEATHER.GOV/ $$ KR
  2. yoda
    Most likely... I just saw the MRGL risk on day 3 into our region. Would like a decent MCS to come rolling through the region... we haven't had one of those in awhile
  3. yoda
    Guess we'll be on MCS watch late Friday?
  4. yoda
    Preliminary Local Storm Report National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 237 PM EDT Tue Jun 27 2023 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0225 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Tysons Corner 38.92N 77.23W 06/27/2023 Fairfax VA Broadcast Media The ramp from eastbound VA-7 Leesburg Pike to northbound VA-123 Chain Bridge Road was blocked by downed trees. && Event Number LWX2301183
  5. yoda
    Mod risk coming for S KS and N OK in 1630z OTLK for wind - which means it's 45 and sig
  6. yoda
    Happy Birthday @mappy! I hope it is awesomesauce!
  7. yoda
    I'll put this here
  8. yoda
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/23062618_OBS/
  9. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 236 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Northwestern Rockingham County in western Virginia... Southeastern Pendleton County in eastern West Virginia... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 236 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Brandywine, or near Franklin, moving east at 25 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Franklin, Broadway, Brandywine, Tunis, Yankeetown, Cherry Grove, Fulks Run, Singers Glen, Deer Run, Rawley Springs, Linville, Bergton, Oak Flat, Moyers, Sugar Grove, Criders and Sparkling Springs. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.
  10. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 239 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Rockingham County in western Virginia... Northwestern Augusta County in western Virginia... Southeastern Highland County in western Virginia... * Until 330 PM EDT. * At 239 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 13 miles east of Monterey, moving east at 20 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Bridgewater, Verona, Dayton, Mount Sidney, Head Waters, Moscow, West Augusta, Palo Alto, Montezuma, Clover Hill, Mount Solon, Sangerville, Fort Defiance and Hinton. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Large hail and damaging winds and continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning.
  11. yoda
    Severe Thunderstorm Warnings coming out quickly for the storms firing out west
  12. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 229 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2023 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... North central Allegany County in western Maryland... * Until 315 PM EDT. * At 229 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Cumberland, moving northeast at 15 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Cumberland, La Vale, Ridgeley, Ellerslie, Corriganville, Flintstone, Wolfe Mill and Pleasant Valley. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
  13. yoda
    Correct for MD/VA/DC Basically all LWX CWA except for extreme S MD (Calvert and St. Mary's)
  14. yoda
    ENH risk nudged westward a tad on 1630z OTLK towards i81 corridor
  15. yoda
    02z HRRR has some explosive development in the i81 corridor at teh end of its run that looks like it matches the 00z NAM Nest a bit
  16. yoda
    00z NAM Nest has a large UD Helicity Swath just north of DC metro around 19z-21z (basically IAD to BWI)
  17. yoda
    Bye Cindy Remnants Of Cindy Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042023 1100 PM AST Sun Jun 25 2023 Satellite imagery this evening shows that the low-cloud swirl associated with Cindy has again become void of deep convection. In addition, imagery animation and scatterometer data indicates that the system no longer has a closed circulation. Thus, the cyclone has degenerated to a tropical wave or trough and this will be the last advisory. The initial intensity is set to 35 kt based on the scatterometer data and satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and SAB, and it is anticipated that the maximum winds will drop below tropical-storm force during the next several hours. The initial motion is 315/12. The remnants of Cindy should continue a general northwestward motion for the next couple of days, and then turn northward on the eastern side of a deep-layer baroclinic trough over the eastern United States and the western Atlantic. In the short term, there is little chance of any regeneration due to continued southwesterly vertical shear. However, after 48 h or so, the shear should diminish, and there is a chance that Cindy could regenerate after that time near or north of Bermuda. However, the model support for this has decreased over the last 24 h, and currently there is not enough confidence in regeneration to explicitly show it in the forecast. This is the last advisory on Cindy by the National Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 22.8N 60.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
  18. yoda
    I'm not buying the big mixing out of the HRRR... southerly winds and flow should keep DPs 65+
  19. yoda
    h/t @Bubbler86
  20. yoda
    Wouldn't mind the 18z NAM NEST sim radar around 5pm tomorrow
  21. yoda
    A more cellular event could lead to a better chance of large hail over damaging winds
  22. yoda
    Severe wording put in the ZFPs
  23. yoda
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 421 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2023 INC081-145-252045- /O.CON.KIND.TO.W.0020.000000T0000Z-230625T2045Z/ Shelby IN-Johnson IN- 421 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR WEST CENTRAL SHELBY AND NORTHERN JOHNSON COUNTIES... At 420 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located over Greenwood, or 13 miles south of Indianapolis, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado and half dollar size hail. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado west-northwest of New Whiteland. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. This tornado will be near... Boggstown around 435 PM EDT.
  24. yoda
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Indianapolis IN 338 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2023 INC011-023-057-159-252000- /O.CON.KIND.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-230625T2000Z/ Clinton IN-Boone IN-Hamilton IN-Tipton IN- 338 PM EDT Sun Jun 25 2023 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN CLINTON...NORTHEASTERN BOONE...NORTHWESTERN HAMILTON AND SOUTHWESTERN TIPTON COUNTIES... At 338 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located 10 miles northeast of Lebanon, or 12 miles southeast of Frankfort, moving east at 40 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and baseball size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. Hail reported by public IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Sheridan and Westfield. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. This is a dangerous storm, capable of producing large hail driven by severe winds! SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy structure and stay away from windows! If you are caught outdoors, cover your head and neck. && LAT...LON 4009 8641 4026 8643 4030 8603 4003 8613 TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 268DEG 33KT 4016 8634 TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED MAX HAIL SIZE...2.75 IN $$ Updike
  25. yoda
    So where are we on here? Still Yoda level? Or higher?
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