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Everything posted by yoda
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Gotten a little bit breezy outside
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
yoda replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Whens the last time we saw a PDS STW?- 2,785 replies
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URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 291 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1005 AM CDT Wed Jun 14 2023 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and northern Alabama * Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1005 AM until 500 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80 mph likely Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3 inches in diameter likely SUMMARY...Scattered supercells are expected to form through the afternoon across central Alabama, and an additional storm cluster will move east-southeastward from northern Mississippi. All severe hazards will be possible with these storms, including very large hail up to 3 inches in diameter, damaging outflow gusts up to 80 mph, and a few tornadoes (a couple of which could be strong). The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles northwest of Tuscaloosa AL to 10 miles south southeast of Auburn AL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 289...WW 290... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector 30035. ...Thompson https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0291.html
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Tornado Watch just went up for a good portion of Alabama 60/30 tor probs, 80/70 wind, 70/60 hail
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@George BM would enjoy the 18z GFS
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
yoda replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Afternoon AFD from LWX hints at maybe a non zero tor threat The aforementioned area of low pressure lifts and occludes into southeastern Ontario, with a cold front draped southward through the southeastern CONUS. The cold front is expected to traverse the region during the afternoon and evening hours. High temperatures reaching the mid 80s and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s should provide plenty of instability for thunderstorms to develop. This, paired with at least 30-40 kts of deep-layer shear, could bring some severe thunderstorms to the region during this time. Gusty winds would be the primary threat with these storms. Will have to watch the areas around the Chesapeake Bay and Potomac River for any small variations in surface winds however, as this may provide just enough localized shear to produce a brief spin-up. This is a low- probability scenario, but something worth mentioning.- 2,785 replies
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What exactly is a "dirty area of high pressure" that the afternoon AFD from LWX mentions in the long term? Does that mean like hot and humid weather comes out of it?
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2023 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx Thread (General Discussion)
yoda replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm craving just a good thunderstorm right now- 2,785 replies
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Why has the LWX radar been breaking so much this week? They've had 3 or 4 mechanical failures
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hopefully some of those storms in PA make it down here
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Whenever they stop having mechanical failures... right now it's down through noon tomorrow
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Decent looking SVR storm in Kent County MD... warned for hail up to ping pong ball size too
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89 at 1pm IAD was 89, BWI 92
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Nationals didn't exist when I was watching baseball with my Dad when i was younger, so when he was watching the Texas Rangers, I cheered for them as well. Been a Penguins fan for over 20 years now.
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Uh, no lol. Wizards, Commanders, Penguins, Rangers. Rangers because of my dad when they used to be the Washington Senators before moving to Texas
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My Rangers came to play tonight... 10-1 lead in the 4th
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Thursday and Friday next week look toasty
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Should be a good 3 game series between my Rangers and the Orioles starting tonight
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WPAC, Indian Ocean, and Southern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclones
yoda replied to 1900hurricane's topic in Tropical Headquarters
Just a little high wave action -
12z Euro has SLP in SC at 126... retrograde it into NE GA by 144 Looks like no rain makes it into the LWX CWA at all - no precipitation whatsoever through 06z Monday for the entire region