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southmdwatcher

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  1. southmdwatcher
    Sorry for the delete, new tornado watch for western VA(south of CHO) and western half of NC down to the upstate of SC until 5am. Delayed timing for the southern half of our area??
  2. southmdwatcher
    The Chesterfield storm is heading for the southern Maryland magnet. And it certainly has parameter space all to it's self for a while.
  3. southmdwatcher
    Later tonight might look linear, but the low level jet will really ramp up, and there could be embedded tornadoes in lines. We are not accustomed to dealing with that scenario in this region.
  4. southmdwatcher
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0349.html Mesoscale Discussion 0349 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0449 PM CDT Sun Apr 14 2019 Areas affected...Virginia...Eastern West Virginia...Southwestern Maryland Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon Valid 142149Z - 142215Z Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent SUMMARY...The severe threat is likely to increase across parts of central and northern Virginia over the next hour. Weather watch issuance will likely be needed soon across the region. DISCUSSION...The latest radar analysis shows a small cluster of strong to severe thunderstorms in western Virginia. This cluster will continue to move northeastward into central Virginia where strong deep-layer shear and instability will be sufficient for a severe threat. Wind damage, hail and an isolated tornado threat will exist with this activity. ..Broyles/Guyer.. 04/14/2019
  5. southmdwatcher
    Watch coming soon for NVA and DC area, SPC meso issued just now, probability is 95%
  6. southmdwatcher
    It would be a rough takeoff, but Ive been on worse takeoffs and landings with surface winds.
  7. southmdwatcher
    Nashville Intl Airport has winds 20mph gusting to 35, ouch.
  8. southmdwatcher
    This is one of those days where the morning cloud cover could be less important than the moisture and shear available, and will be included as a mitigating factor. Either way it is a forecasting nightmare.
  9. southmdwatcher
    SPC has certainly not proven to be great at forecasting severe weather events northeast of Dixie Alley. This has my red flag up for tonight.
  10. southmdwatcher
    10 percent tornado chance dropped for OH/WV, looks like everything else stayed the same with the SPC update.
  11. southmdwatcher
    You shouldn't be stuck, but there is likely to be two rounds of storms. Prefrontal storms will come through between 6 and 10 pm and then the frontal storms after 1am.
  12. southmdwatcher
    Just drove from Fort Meade with steady moderate snow sticking on grass.and cars at 32.degrees. Now in Crofton, white rain and 33 degrees.
  13. southmdwatcher
    Snow continues, car topper now. Expectations met
  14. southmdwatcher
    Big fat flakes already, sticking on elevated surfaces...lol
  15. southmdwatcher
    Snow started here south of Waldorf
  16. southmdwatcher
    This Winter has been nice for the majority of the forum, nice cold spells and snowfall. February certainly has the history of bringing the goods. Count me in for another PD1, no storm has matched that spectacle of cold smoke, wind and rates. Especially for DC and eastward to the Bay.
  17. southmdwatcher
    Temperatures are in the low to mid 20's right now...…..problems even if we start as rain???
  18. southmdwatcher
    Four day weekend....Someone making decisions...made THAT decision.
  19. southmdwatcher
    That map above looks more realistic. Unfortunately...LOL
  20. southmdwatcher
    Verbatim UKMET is 5 to 10 inch snows from southern MD along eastern side of DC up to Wilmington DE. Then 12+ northeast from there. Richmond area and up toward Eastern Shore has another smaller area of 6 to 12 inch snow blossoming. Some ice, but minimal. With that flash freeze I am not so sure about that.
  21. southmdwatcher
    I am pretty sure it is paywalled.
  22. southmdwatcher
    UKMET has surface temperatures near 32 at 138, falling into the teens at 144 at DCA. RIC is 60 at 138 falling to 21 at 144. 700 mb level humidity is near 100 percent from the Blue Ridge to the coast at 144, 850mb humidity is near 100 percent from Columbia MD...Warrenton...CHO and east at 144
  23. southmdwatcher
    UKMET certainly has snow DC and south at 144....heavy snow in central VA...as per F5/former EuroWX
  24. southmdwatcher
    Storm total of 8.5", 6.5" on the ground. Liquid equivalent of 1.01" 2 day total. Sleet and freezing rain fell from approximately 1030am until 5pm. 2.5" after we switched back over. The heavy bands of snow from the upper low never set up over my location. Nice storm for most in the region.
  25. southmdwatcher
    Finally, flakes coming back here after 5 hours of rain/sleet.
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