wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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GFS confining snow to only mtns at 102
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Odd run.. track saves marginal temps and cold air wraps around
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Even warmer to me at 120
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12-16 from Marion to Burlington North of I 40 to Southern VA
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If only this was the Euro..
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Northern NC and Southern VA crushjob
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GFS is colder at surface showing nicer CAD
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Thats what I figured. Thanks though, I may have to pony up and get a subscription.
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Where do you get ensemble numbers?
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Still impressive for western sections. Keep in mind much of this would be sleet/slop
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Indeed. Sure seems like our area has been ground zero for events the past 3 months though including Michael remnants and flooding to ice and record breaking rain.
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I think SW VA is starting to look like the best area for heavy accumulations but its still 5+ days out,
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Doubt it, my wife graduates Saturday from her Masters program so I will be here in SoVa.
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I think one thing to keep in mind is the timing of this. It needs to speed up a little to better coincide with the cold air/HP. If it keeps trending slower it could be just rain for about everyone.
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The mountains would get raked with heavy wet snow if Euro is right. Nice orographic uplift from SE flow too
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Temps are terrible.. 850s dont support snow except for mostly mountains of NW NC and SW VA.
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God lol
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lol the GFS strikes again.. The sooner this version of the model is replaced the better. It doesn't even get moisture to Northern NC, Southern VA
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Those strong modeled highs do favor a more southerly track if correct.
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It's gusting over 60 mph in a lot of places around Morehead City, Beaufort, Atlantoc Beach. I expect some hurricane force gusts soon.
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GFS continues to track the system further north inland in SC
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Center tracks from Darlington to just N of Columbia to Spartanburg to Hendersonville.
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Much higher rainfall totals for the triangle and triad this run. Over a foot in places
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It seems to be turning more west than south with each run and is now moving north of Florence, SC instead of southern SC
