wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Western NC could be in some trouble with flooding. Some places along the escarpment have had 3 or 4 inches of rain the past few days already..GFS and Euro paints 6 to 10 inches in that area and could be more with optimal orographic uplift.
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Well I was wrong it went even further SW into Georgia..Has to be an all time anomalous track if it happens.
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Don't think this run will take it as far to the SW still spinning on same spot off Jacksonville NC at 78.
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This run would be bad for Blue Ridge areas for flooding after it finally decides to come inland. I am growing more concerned for that area with each model run..
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Yes it would be horrible BUT not as horrible as other model solutions..
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It wont intensify much if any due to upwelling and it is still the best run I have seen for NC coasts compared to EURO and other solutions. 11 inches of rain compared to 35 on the EURO.
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GFS scenario is actually the best I have seen. It stalls the storm just far enough offshore to miss the worst effects of the eyewall and torrential rain. Still offshore by 120 but bearing down on Charleston as what would be a much weakened system.
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Doesnt look tough to me
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A lot less rain. Less than 2 inches for most. A little more towards 95. Very little wind as well.
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All the college football games cancelling will be eating crow with little to no bad weather if that run happens verbatim.. Just another option on the table. The HP just squashes Flo to the south.
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Inland flood threat west of 95 seems to be decreasing with each model cycle. Especially up my way in Southern VA and towards the triad and triangle.
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This isnt a traditional clipper by any stretch as modeled
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DIG BABY DIG! Hopefully the trends continue and it could become a nice storm for a lot of the central and and western areas of NC, VA
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I am trying to upload a clown map but it isnt letting me.. any-who it shoes 6-8 inches for a lot of Triad/Triangle areas with good ratios. Temps in 20s..
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GFS just went boom for Central and ENC... trying not to believe it... but it did trend to Euro type solution
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The EURO just doesnt have the precip coming in quick enough Monday morning, it starts to come in over the mtns as snow and sleet mix then the next wave holds off until it warms up. Still close to something better for wintry weather lovers
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Can I have some?
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God I wish I was back in Norfolk for this one. 6 to 12 looks easy possibly many more
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New RGEM coming in..
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I got 7 inches in that storm.. still a good one. New SREF out yet?
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For better or worse, it isnt the same without him
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It may take a while for this pattern to "reload" looking at long range
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Getting pretty close to Danville now if it keeps trending West but I think we are still 50-75 miles from getting an inch or 2
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Clemsons offense looks like a middle schools vs Bama..
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An all SEC championship... barf..
