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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. The NAM is a raging sleetstorm for many with the big warm nose. Thats why the kuchera maps look so much different than the one brick posted..
  2. That map is highly inaccurate with all of the sleet and ZR included
  3. NAM is a nasty ice storm for many
  4. Still early in the game its still possible. But I do HIGHLY doubt Charlotte will get 6 inches more than AVL
  5. Anyone looked at the Euro for later next week, heavy rain, possible t storms with a strong upper low and then wraparound snow for mtns.. could be flooding issues in areas especially in locations with over 6 inches of snow
  6. The simulated radar progressions and locations of the snow/mix/rain on the 12Z euro really matches well with climo
  7. But when I said last night there were trends for less QPF in western sections everyone jumped on me
  8. Noticed that no one posted the UKMET.. anyone have some snow maps?
  9. Starting to look like your typical winter storm for WNC/Foothills and triad. 4-6 inches of snow then sleet and ice on top... Nothing too special about it
  10. Snow maps starting to look more realistic
  11. Freezing rain showing up much further north now into the triad on the GFS
  12. Doubt it. Had already started to switch to sleet in our area at 84. Look at the sounding.
  13. Yes it isn't finished but.. the front end thump being advertised isn't looking as impressive on the NAM.
  14. Total QPF for NAM... very dry for triangle and no way it gets to 1 inch qpf there as modeled
  15. The nam is definitely on the drier side for the whole area, which seems odd considering it used to be the most amped up/heavy qpf.... It shows the front end thump being not much more than a nuisance
  16. You can see the effects o the strong confluence on the simulated radar
  17. 12Z Nam is already looking more suppressed out to 42..
  18. We need a more expansive precip shield on the north side of the storm. Out totals are dropped from 18 to 12 to under 8 now on the Euro..
  19. Ouch. Getting close to being a whiff here. We still get .75 to 1 inch qpf but its trending south. Nothing as close Lynchburg
  20. As expected the snow map wasnt quite as crazy with amounts due to slightly less QPF.
  21. West of Asheville there is definitely less. The heavisst band sets up more over the piedmont on that iteration of the model. I'm no newbie.

  22. It is less in the mountains of NC. Many more places with less than 1 inch total qpf at 96 compared to 18z. Maybe .25 to .50 less in places the western most part of the state on GFS
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