wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Euro already looking much slower with the cold push
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If I get put under a winter storm warning (already under a watch) and get less than 3 inches, it will mark the third time in a row that this has happened. First storm was .75 under a WSW, last storm was 2.5, can we go 3 for 3?
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The Euro barely gives me 2 inches, which will invariably turn into a dusting. #winning
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That's a good point actually, it does look similar for western NC especially
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I did not expect that type of Euro run. Look at the lack of moisture over WNC
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The Euro looks nothing like last night. Its weaker, with less heavy precip so lighter amounts and warmer.
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May turn into an elevation dependent system with a few more nw trends. Let's see what the Euro shows.
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My living room has a winter storm watch and my bedroom has nothing.
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DC is going to get nailed but I'm sure they will complain somehow
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I will take 2 to 4 here but expect 1 to 3
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If you think about it the GFS makes sense in the fact that Ninas love to pop a SE ridge in February historically. It's a battle between that and the -AO, NAO
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I'm technically on the western side of McDowell but pretty much right smack dab in the middle. I hope we can do a little better in this setup than Dysartsville or Glenwood and Nebo
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Canadian coming in more amped too
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Can someone post it? thanks
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Is that the latest run? I feel like it has shifted NW
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It was because it has a lot of moisture at the front end. The low in the TN Valley screws up thermals towards the end in mby
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GFS is more amped too but front end thump helps. We all know where this is going
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It would be typical for it to turn into a rain event for NC and a big snow in Central VA up to the NYC.
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I would wait until the GFS, Euro and UK to exclaim any sweet spots. NAM is the furthest North, even the Hi Res Nam is south
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I don't think this will Amp up more than what it's showing now on the nam. Euro has been pretty consistent and GFS and their ensembles
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The 6Z runs give me hope for a decent storm but the RDPS and especially the HRRR look wonky and have quite a bit less. I know the HRRR isn't that great but it looks completely different than the NAM or Euro. Hopefully it's just out of range
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The Euro waits until the cold air is retreating to push a wave in
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Can't say I ever remember a Euro precip map like this
