I had 2 winters already in that stretch that were basically snow less. In the past 20 years or so it has been cyclical with there often being back to back to back bad winters and back to back snowy winters. Just look at my signature
Like you said, its bias for overamping storms is obvious with this one. Pretty much every other model is progressive with the storm and only gets lighter precip into WNC either way,
Yes I believe so. Originally it had my 30 year average at 3.3 which was not even close. I called them out on it and they admitted they were missing snowfall data for a couple years and remade it.