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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. Probably not.. But not a bad spot for sure, temps may be an issue here and in Marion
  2. Yea, brings .8 QPF for me! Sadly a lot is wasted on rain/mixing...
  3. EURO will be interesting, really wish this weak ridge would go away and the cold air could fully entrench itself on the East side of the Apps
  4. If I get a dusting I will be pleased. GFS keeps temp in mid 30s during snow so it wont stick well..
  5. The GFS only shows good snow accumulation for the mountains... lighter amounts East due to being warmer
  6. Only bad thing is the temps on the NAM are borderline even for foothill areas
  7. Precip still struggling to make it into VA, better though for WNC
  8. Everyone too worried about it being too amped... I didnt think that was the case.. but isnt over yet
  9. The new SREF will be a good indicator of tonights NAM run, will be interesting if it backs off more or increases again
  10. Its fair to say the UKMET could be as out to lunch as the GFS with its extreme solution
  11. RGEM looks similar through 33, maybe a little slower and a tick further south with SLP placement
  12. Curious to see if the RGEM comes in more suppressed looking. Could be a sign on things to come
  13. I wouldnt worry about mixing at all in McDowell, lack of QPF is the big deal..This is in the EURO wheelhouse and its hard for me to think it is going to be a super amped bomb of a system when the Euro excels in handling southern stream lows
  14. Thats true but you usually want to see the NAM as the amped up and high QPF model.. not good for Western areas IMO...
  15. I expect the NAM to back off some from the weenie 12Z run, especially looking at the SREF (usually an indicator of the NAM)
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