wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Nam is also faster than the 00z run
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SREF mean is over 2 inches here now. I think this run of the NAM will be a little bigger. Energy looks a bit stronger so far
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Looks like the Euro is going to suppress the second storm too. Blah.
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That was the quietest Euro run ever less than 4 days from a storm
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QPF
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NW NC ends up doing well this run but less in the mountains and foothills. Snow axis is shifted north
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East Tennessee may be the big winner this run.
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Once again, the wave is weaker than the previous run and further north
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Looking solid on the Euro so far, a smidge north of last run
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Mostly a product of heavier rates and better forcing that allows some snow to accumulate despite warm surface temps
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The UK is farther north than the GFS and NAM. QPF is pretty good though
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I would like to see that trend animation with the Euro after tonight's run. I feel like it has been more consistent
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Some reason the 2nd system is getting sheared out and weakening on the models as it rounds the bend. Confluence too strong?
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Ouchie
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Yea that run sucked. Wave was weak and precip wasn't widespread
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NAM clown, hope for CLT and N GA folks
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Not a bad run, plenty of time for it to juice up qpf on the NW edges. Heaviest precip was in GA and upstate
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Looks like 12Z, its pretty far south. heavy snow into NE GA at 78
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The NAM suite is about 6 to 8 hours slower than other modeling so far
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SREF plumes are about to be in range and are pretty paltry through 12Z Friday even for Asheville
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#shanetrain #fail
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I think western NC will be the big winner from Brevard to Blowing Rock on the escarpment. SW VA should do well too, I think it will nudge north slightly the next few days as per usual.
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GFS clown Kuchera ratio
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Thanks I hope it starts improving soon, so far my family members who are positive are doing OK.
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The NAM is also much slower than the Euro and other globals. It's already snowing at 84 in WNC on the Euro and no moisture even close on the NAM
