wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Latest HRRR is much better than previous runs
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The 00Z Euro shows something I have never seen here and more like the plains- It has Asheville getting down to 10 degrees or colder on Sunday night then rain/mix less than 8 hours later.
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Earlier run for reference
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Euro cuts back some
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The Para GFS is better and has been more consistent
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Lol the GFS reverts back to showing very little moisture
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Someone's gonna be shafted near us with downsloping away from the main bands. Probably me.
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I'm gonna pretend I didn't see the latest RDPS. Gives me less than an inch after multiple runs with 4 to 6
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Same for me
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Hi res Nam switches some foothills areas to rain before ending. Timing isn't ideal now
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Small step down for many western areas but still a solid run
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Why I said so far lol it ramps up for sure for our area
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Yea its splotchy again with the precip so far
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Meanwhile the NAM continues to inch north
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I'm about 12 miles south of Little Switzerland but 2,000 feet lower almost lol. What would you forecast for Marion?
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Temps may be an issue here but I think we are in a prime spot for heavy precip with the flow direction. I'm sure there will be some surprises with this storm good and bad. I don't think your forecast is bad just think Asheville may have slightly less precip especially with this type of flow
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Where can you access it?
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Ward only has me at 1-3 in the foothills but 6 to 10 in Asheville. We'll see.
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The GFS has been bad since it was created to be honest
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Hi Res Nam is getting a bit concerning for foothill peeps don't want it to trend anymore north
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I should have been more specific it had downtown AVL getting 4 to 6 inches and it didn't. I have watched the HRRR for years its not bad but not as good as the Hires Nam
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It didn't do that well for the Christmas eve storm, it had 4 to 6 inches in Buncombe when in reality it was 2 to 3.
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All of McDowell County is over 6 inches with many approaching a foot
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HRRR is a crush job for WNC
