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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Minimal icing here too and 31.8. It just dropped below freezing recently and the rain looks to be about over for a few hours at least
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Shows a big time cold shot at least. That's step 1
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We went from 29.5 to 36.1 but the breeze has kicked in from the NE
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We have already reached our forecasted low of 29. Clouds are coming but I think we can get down to 27 before they get thick
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29.7
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Yep, I have family in Java and Chatham and it's higher than Danville too.
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That app sucks honestly as do most phone weather apps. I live very close to a river so I'm almost always colder than the closest airport on clear, calm nights
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32.7 here. Dropped 13 degrees in 2.5 hours
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It's dropping fast, we may make a run at the 20s before clouds roll in
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Gonna get some good radiational cooling here. Already dipped down to 40 and mostly clear still
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I noticed that it was colder in the upper levels for the mountains too, close to being all snow and sleet for Mitchell County up to Watauga
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The wet ground surely isn't going to help if we get heavy accrual on trees...
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I'm afraid of that too. The new NAM suggests it but the HRRR think we get a heavy dose of sleet. I have seen models overdo zr and underdo sleet in these setups.
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25 tonight, colder than expected
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Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
wncsnow replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
anyone chasing this one? Some models have over 2 feet in PA. -
It's the long range HRRR but I have seen a few models showing a changeover to snow before ending for the mountains and adjacent foothills. Could be totally bogus but worth a mention.
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I hope they are right, great post Grit..
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Was NOT expecting these type of wind gusts this morning. Power has went off once already and it has to be gusting 45+
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Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
wncsnow replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
The RDPS looks similar to past runs. Maybe a bit more moisture -
Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
wncsnow replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
I'm thinking it's more of a nuisance event for most with little impact on power issues. Possibly some travel issues. -
Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
wncsnow replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
DC and most of the mid Atlantic isn't going to like the NAM model. Things are trending towards an inland low track and snow only in the mountains. It still produces a decent amount of ice for the foothills -
Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
wncsnow replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
One thing I have noticed on basically all the models is this isn't a QPF bomb. Less than .5 for western NC and many places less than .3 Miller B suckiness -
Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
wncsnow replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
Euro looks meh. Warm and light precip. Has a stronger low in the TN Valley and less CAD. That run was not good for wintry precip even DC is rain -
Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
wncsnow replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
The precip doesn't look all that heavy especially for western areas. -
Ice Time? Dec. 16ish Possible CAD Event
wncsnow replied to Tar Heel Snow's topic in Southeastern States
I'm hoping for more sleet than ZR here near Marion and thats usually the case here in these setups but thats quite the warm nose