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wncsnow

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Everything posted by wncsnow

  1. wncsnow
    Yea the NAM has temps here in the upper 20s so it would get dicey with ice.
  2. wncsnow
    Take it for what its worth but at the end of the 18z nam it does not look impressive with the CAD.
  3. wncsnow
    Where's lookout he is very knowledgeable with CAD events
  4. wncsnow
    Well the Euro is still the warmest model probably and shows it going over to rain for most
  5. wncsnow
    It could start as sleet there for a while too
  6. wncsnow
    The UK is starting to look nice too. Some of this would be sleet and ZR
  7. wncsnow
    I think the foothills will start out as snow and sleet then switch over. GFS hints at this. Maybe an inch or 2 before switching to ZR
  8. wncsnow
    The Blue Ridge escarpment begs to differ. Elevation can make things worse trust me.
  9. wncsnow
    Some of this is from the first storm but West Virginia to Central PA turns into snow central. 2 feet lollipops
  10. wncsnow
    Euro doesn't quite get it done. Starts off as mix in western NC North of 40 then goes over to rain. Not heavy qpf west of 77 but about .5 for most. The low is too far north even DC goes over to rain
  11. wncsnow
    The first wave is trending stronger and stronger for Sunday night/Monday. West Virginia could get over 6 inches in spots and most of Western NC gets 1.5 to 2 inches of rain.
  12. wncsnow
    Interesting map, I would have expected the darker blue and white to follow down the eastern slopes of the blue ridge more. I have seen nasty ice storms right along the escarpment and rain in the piedmont plenty of times.
  13. wncsnow
    CAD almost always overperforms here, and with the NAO going negative I don't think the high is going to retreat that quickly. Miller B type systems like this are perfect for CAD setups. The coastal low can help funnel the NE winds down and keep the CAD in place
  14. wncsnow
    Good to hear. I'm hoping we can get sleet and snow here instead of ZR but usually we get all 3 in these type of setups if the parent high is strong enough.
  15. wncsnow
    It will be interesting to see how the NAM handles the CAD once it gets in range since it's usually closest to verification in these setups.
  16. wncsnow
    Take with a grain of salt because of the cold bias but I 40 north should be paying this one close attention for ice storm possibilities.
  17. wncsnow
  18. wncsnow
    The Euro is very interesting, if the CAD is stronger it could be a serious ice storm for I 40 north
  19. wncsnow
    Yea the Euro gives me hope as well.
  20. wncsnow
    I think there is a chance for some light freezing rain for the foothills and maybe light snow for the mountains but I'm not seeing a big system, it looks miller b-ish to me.
  21. wncsnow
    GFS is still no dice for the mid week storm after heavy rain Sunday night/Monday morning. DC gets a nice snow so there's that!
  22. wncsnow
    Yea the models have went to big time suckage for both systems next week. The first one now more amped and stronger with 1 to 2 inches of rain area wide and the next one too weak and forms too late for any significant wintry weather. And after that it looks like a pattern change to warm. Afraid we may have to wait until January for our first legit winter storm threat...
  23. wncsnow
    Its fascinating to see the differences when I drive to work in the mornings. Often at my house near the Catawba its in the 20s or near 30 and by the time I am halfway up Old Fort mountain it will be 45 and then back down in the 30s in Swannanoa.
  24. wncsnow
    I don't think we have enough cold air around for a repeat of that one but that would be awesome. I think this could be more Elevation dependent unless the CAD high trends stronger.
  25. wncsnow
    Going to be an interesting week for sure, especially for northern mountain folks.
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