wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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GFS clown Kuchera ratio
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Thanks I hope it starts improving soon, so far my family members who are positive are doing OK.
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The NAM is also much slower than the Euro and other globals. It's already snowing at 84 in WNC on the Euro and no moisture even close on the NAM
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Not for WNC where temps would be more supportive of snow. Interesting though since the NAM used to be the most amped model
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Easy now that's too far south
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Even here in McDowell its always crowded. Favorite fishing and hiking spots are flooded with people. It sucks honestly
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With the SE flow from the low the eastern escarpment will get pounded. Mt Mitchell and the Blue Ridge will maximize amounts due to the orientation of the flow.
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Low pressure looks elongated but moving slowly and western NC gets hammered
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I 85 north good snow
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Wave does look weaker this run
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Snow breaking out in Western NC at 84
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Wave looks similar to 00Z at 72. Southern Arkansas/Northern Louisiana
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UK is a good hit for mountains and foothills
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And Covid numbers are skyrocketing here including my own family unfortunately
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GFS has storm 2
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Even the new version shows splotches of heavy accumulation and is a step down from previous runs
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Surface temps are causing issues too
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Its kind of like the 06Z run with not a whole lot of moisture
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Definitely farther south this run and more snow into the upstate even less in Northern NC
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The ICON looks pretty crappy on snow totals outside a few pockets and the mountains. Thankfully it's the icon
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It looks to have a nice result with the position of the upper low and surface reflection. Moisture looks a bit meager at 84 but should be fine.
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Total snow map from the 2 systems. This is 10-1 so likely overdone but lots of potential
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VA and DC get hammered and its a nice system for central NC but temps are really marginal
