wncsnow
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Everything posted by wncsnow
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Not surprising. Betting warm is the safe bet .
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Exactly. The (cold) rainfall amounts are very heavy for this time of year due to the front stalling out and multiple disturbances coming up from the SW. WNC needs a couple inches of rain but not 5-7+
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Compare that to 00Z and its a pretty big step down.
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Major reduction in WNC..
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Euro is a textbook La Nina pattern through 16 days.
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The way its trending it will be a Lynchburg north storm. More likely to be a flood threat.
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Just an awful Euro run from day 6 onward unless you like cold rain. At least 3 different rain storms in 6-11 day period.
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And more cold rain a few days later on the Euro. At least it will help the drought.
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That ridge is going to be hard to beat. As models are now keeping the cold too far north
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Its not. Its cold rain outside of higher elevation ice along the Blue Ridge in NC. DC is the big winner (shocker)
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Euro looks a lot like the GFS. If the EPS trends north it might be over already for NC south.
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Front never really pushes through and gets hung up right over NC.
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Euro is no bueno for snow lovers
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Euro is finally running
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Fun times ahead I think. We are overdue for a February snow.
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Going to be a sharp cutoff between the haves and have nots. We need the front to push further south.
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Foothills and mountains and north are still very much in the game. South of 85 probably not.
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Euro AI still shows a significant winter storm.
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For now. But we are teetering on the edge. We need it to trend south like many systems have this year.
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Just doesn't look like the cold push will be strong enough. I hate 30s and rain. Give me the SE death ridge.
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We need the high to trend stronger but its trending weaker and this could be a cold rain for most in NC south.
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GFS looks totally different than the Euro
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I honestly think this one might not due to the confluence in the NE and the CAD high showing up. Of course that could all weaken but I'm more hopeful than usual.
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It's 10/11 days out but its the best look we've had all winter IMO. Lots can go wrong obviously we need the confluence to be strong in the NE and the high to be positioned correctly but there is legit CAD showing up and a strong system.
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Euro brings the goods
