Tatamy

That bow looks to be heading in the general direction of Flemington and the I287 area of central NJ in the next 30 minutes.

I am looking forward to seeing how strong the winds will be with this when it reaches my location in about 20 minutes.

Interesting feature. The actual cold front is following just behind the squall line. With that feature the temp just dropped 7 degrees and I had a wind gust to 38 mph.

Swing and a miss out here. Brief hard downpour with a wind gust to 25 mph and 0.25” of rain.

That bow echo near Allentown is coming in now to my location.

I am seeing lightning flashes in the distance as it approaches.

Squall line is at my doorstep now - looks good on radar.

Highest wind gust here is 30 mph in the past ten minutes. Wind gusts along the south shore of LI (Fire Island) currently gusting to 45 mph.

Severe Thunderstorm warnings out here for the expected winds with this squall line. I am not presently detecting lightning with it.

You will see some impressive winds with the squall line in a few minutes as a bow echo passes you.

Wind gust to 63 mph reported at Altoona, PA with the passage of the squall line. Wind gusts of between 20 - 30 mph are occurring ahead of this feature across eastern PA at this time.

That was the year of our Thanksgiving snowstorm with 4.7” in Central Park on 11/23/89.

My max here has been 37 mph at 9:25 and 10:05.

Wind is howling out here in eastern PA with the passage of the cold front. Wind gusts to 33 mph within the past 15 minutes.

06z GFS has it east of Cape Hatteras at 348 hours. 12z GFS has it west of Key West at 342 hours. It’s an interesting thought anyways...

0.09” Event total in Bethlehem Twp. PA

Same out here. I am a native LIer and can tell you that there was an early season Arctic air mass that impacted the area back around 1974/1975. This event produced high temperatures in the 40s and lows of about 30 on the north shore of LI during mid October at that time. For the time of year it was impressive. In any case I have personally never seen frost anywhere this early in the season until today.

35 out here with patchy frost in the area.

Any one take notice of the shadowing effect on the cloud deck caused by the easterly flow drying out slightly as it crossed LI and NYC extending into eastern PA. This has been seen on visible satellite almost all day. This is not something that I can recall seeing.

Did they decide where he was going to do his live shots from?

There has been a lot of talk about the hype regarding this storm. One of the things that I like to track is when it actually dawns on the populace down in S Florida that this threat is for real. I measure that by looking at the traffic apps showing highway speed conditions. In other storms I have seen those interstates backed up for hundreds of miles as people flee the storm. So far I have not seen any sign of the expected mass exodus on the highways down there. My thinking is that the West Palm Beach area is at the greatest risk of a direct hit early next week. If you or your friends or family are even considering leaving the area ahead of the storm I would not wait too much longer. My two cents anyways.

I would go with 2/78 and 1/16. 2/78 was especially dramatic with high winds and low near zero visibility’s for hours on end along with 30” of snow. 1/16 also brought 30” of snow with very high rates. As dramatic as Boxing Day was its most significant impacts were felt in eastern NJ and places to the north and east of there in the region. We only had a couple of inches from that one here.

I live in the Lehigh Valley of Pennsylvania. We had a snowstorm on 11/15. Similar to this situation the models were showing heavy amounts for my area. The FV3 consistently showed 10”+ for me for 2 - 3 days prior. The Mets blew them off. The model outputs were contaminated by sleet they said. We were forecasted to get 1-3” by the NWS office. On the 15th as the storm was getting underway at 12pm and I was out on my back deck photographing the arrival of a wall of snow we were upgraded to a WSW. By 6pm we were at 8 1/2” of snow before we changed over to sleet. We picked up another 1 1/2” by the next morning to bring the storm total up to 10”. The bottom line is those who are blowing off these model outputs do so at their own risk. The FV3 proved to be correct. Many many people spent the night out on the highway because they could not get home.

Looked at the traffic map this evening and there is a lot of heavy traffic going south down through VA on I-95 and I-81. I am guessing that this is in part related to the eclipse. Hotels all over SC are booked in anticipation of this event.