Jump to content

Tatamy

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    2,037

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Tatamy

  1. Tatamy
    Light flurries 33• 1.5” new OTG
  2. Tatamy
    My bad- it was the 0z.
  3. Tatamy
    Next Friday on the Euro
  4. Tatamy
    Steady fall of parachutes. 32•
  5. Tatamy
    Getting a steady fall of parachutes.
  6. Tatamy
    Steady snow falling here. 32•
  7. Tatamy
    Steady snow falling here. 32•
  8. Tatamy
    As of now I would agree that forecasted snow amounts are going to bust in a lot of places.
  9. Tatamy
    Mix of snow/sleet here in Bethlehem Twp.
  10. Tatamy
    Mixed snow/sleet 31/25
  11. Tatamy
    Depends on your location. If you are in the NYC area you will only see rain that develops this afternoon.
  12. Tatamy
    It did tick cooler. Expected snowfall amounts in your area increased some.
  13. Tatamy
    It’s to be determined.
  14. Tatamy
    I give you guys a lot of credit with these long range progs. I am dealing with an event out here today and the models literally cannot tell me if I am going to be throwing ice melt on my driveway or dragging the snow blower out of the shed just 6 hours from now.
  15. Tatamy
    Snow is breaking out on the west side of Allentown currently. Looks to be coming down moderately as shown on radar / webcams to the west of there.
  16. Tatamy
    Models are really struggling with the snowfall gradient across NW NJ and the Lehigh Valley of PA. Compare the 0z and the 6z Euro. The 6z HRRR and the 12z HRRR are another pair to look at.
  17. Tatamy
    Precip in the form of snow and sleet now starting to break out in the Reading area of PA and areas south of there.
  18. Tatamy
    The model is seeing strong lift in the atmosphere which is producing heavier precip. This in turn is bringing colder air down from aloft and changing the precip to snow.
  19. Tatamy
    What you see near Scranton is the same orographic effect that you see in the Hudson River valley. The easterly flow near the surface experiences downsloping as it descends from the mountainous terrain to the east of these locations. This has the effect of drying out the atmosphere. The terrain just east of Scranton is up to 2000’ above MSL while the city itself is in a much lower valley location.
  20. Tatamy
    I am sticking with my thoughts from earlier. Lower elevations primarily get 1-3”. Most places south of I84 will be mainly rain tomorrow night.
  21. Tatamy
    That’s the one. We did get rained on however we had a tremendous wind storm after the passage of the frontal trough. If an analysis was done of the pressure fields associated with this event I believe that the conclusion would be that the winds were caused by a sting jet.
  22. Tatamy
    Overnight models continue with the theme of the significant snows being north and west of I287 and I80 and west of the Hudson River. Snow during the day Thursday mixes with other forms of frozen/freezing precip at night. I am thinking 3-6” with higher amounts up towards the Catskills. GFS with its consistent theme of higher snow amounts between I78 and I80 is an outlier solution.
  23. Tatamy
    0z NAM continues to be toasty at the mid levels. You need to be in the Catskills to see meaningful snow accumulations on this run.
  24. Tatamy
    The 12z runs are coming into good agreement on a paste job for interior sections particularly to the north and west of I80 and I287. I think 6-10” for elevations over 800-1000’ are possible. Places to the east of the Hudson River get less. Areas in NJ between I78 and I80 are definitely in the hunt with this one (lesser accumulations). This will be a front end thump and many of these areas can ultimately go over to rain before it wraps up.
  25. Tatamy
    12z NAM takes a big step towards joining the GFS/GGEM camp with higher snow totals to the N&W of I287 and I80. Colder run this cycle.
×
×
  • Create New...