Tatamy

I have been on vacation up there a few times and the whole region along Lake Ontario is really nice country. It actually reminds me of the north shore of Long Island in some ways but is more rural. There are a ton of wineries up there. Real estate values correspond to expected annual snowfall totals by community and region. The area going east from Rochester towards Oswego has progressively higher snowfall totals relating to the mean flow off of the lake. The area to the west of Rochester has less lake effect snow. The area to the south of Buffalo (Southtowns) which is affected by the Lake Erie snow belts gets much more snow and real estate values are priced accordingly. Very interesting climatology up there.

TV media reports of flurries and snow showers in many parts of the Philly area earlier yesterday morning.

Are you on X (formerly known as Twitter)?

Healthy looking squall line moving eastward across central PA. If this holds together it will be approaching the city during the early morning hours.

Up to .80” 46F

Light rain and 41F

There is light snow falling up along I84 in NE PA. This is a quick light burst and precip has already changed over to rain back around Wilkes Barre and Hazleton. The place to be for this one for snow is mainly going to be northern NE.

The Met on NBC 10 Philly led off his segment at 7PM with the 18z OP GFS for Tuesday. And so the fun begins.

18z GFS OP run does the happy hour tonight.

83 came in like a wall where I was on the north shore of LI as well.

If you have not already done so check out the 12z CFS.

We are going to need an SSW event in order to get the cold air needed down here for significant snow. For now, in spite of the record strong vortex the models just keep printing more fantasy maps. As they say delayed but not denied…

We were out in CO on vacation in September. We spent a day near Aspen and were up on a hill and saw my first cat paws of the season on the windshield during a rain shower. Even in the daytime it struggled to reach 60. Being near 10K feet above sea level will get you that. I know they have already had accumulating snow in the Denver area.

Low of 38 at my remote station at Cherry Grove on Fire Island. The atmosphere never did decouple there.

23 here. Our coldest so far this season.

Frost/Freeze warnings this morning from the NYC area all the way down to SE Texas. Looks like a very large section of the east coast and gulf coast all ended their growing season on the same night.

27 was the low here. Thick frost everywhere.

82 for a high today.

This would be a hurricane moving up from the NW Caribbean that hits Florida and then moves up the east coast and draws in cold air resulting in lights out for New England. Weenie candy anyways.

This event has been appearing on some operational runs and on some ensemble members for days now. The Euro had it at 0z as well. I will describe it for what it is which is a talking point for now. In any case there is the potential for an early season elevation event for areas well inland as we go through next week.

Depends on your location. 12z GFS for 10/31 - 11/01

The photo below was posted on FB earlier. It was taken on Great South Bay to the north of Fire Island Pines after 5:00 PM. This is looking towards Davis Park.

48 here. Has not even reached 50 today. 0.54” so far with the event.

There’s a lot of people on this board that would not want a repeat of that one.

Storm totals for the 10/2011 event